Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins
MLB Baseball Betting Pick: Washington -113 odds (April 24th 2015)
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I think this is a good time to back the Nationals with Zimmerman on the rubber as they open up a 3 game set with the Marlins. The Washington Nationals are 8-2 SU the last 10 meetings vs. the Marlins and have won 5 straight meetings in Miami. This is a game where the Nationals are usually a -140 or higher favorite, but the odds makers have adjusted this year because the Marlins are expected to be better.
The Nats will call on Zimmerman who is 7-3 career vs. the Marlins with a 1.05 WHIP. He is coming off back-to-back subpar starts and I think he bounces back in this game. The Marlins are the lowest scoring team when playing at home in the Majors at only 3 runs a game. While the Nationals bats have not gotten heated up yet, they have a good chance to vs. Mat Latos.
Latos got traded in the off-season and the Reds knew what they were doing. After a rough Spring when opponents were hitting .300 vs. him, things have not gotten any better has he is 0-3 with a 10.24 ERA. The 3 starts have been vs. the Braves (2x) and the Mets so it’s not like he is facing so offensive juggernauts. He is giving up 2.5 more times fly balls than groundballs and right handed hitters are killing him going 10-for-20 (.500). The Nationals have a lineup full of right handed hitters except for Bryce Harper basically and I can see them getting a hold of Latos in this game.
The truth of the matter about this game is that the Marlins starting pitcher (Latos) sucks and so does their bullpen who has a 6.66 ERA at home. Head to Head, Zimmerman is 1-0 vs. Latos. Latos has lost his last 4 teams starts vs. the Marlins. Zimmerman has won 5 of his last 6 team starts when pitching @ Miami. I can go on for days with more stats. The bottom line is this is a huge mismatch and a cheap price. Lay it and Play it with the Washington Nationals this Friday Night.
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres
MLB Pick: San Diego Padres +115 odds (April 24th 2015)
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The San Diego Padres get the call Friday as nice-sized home underdogs to the Los Angeles Dodgers. This team has quietly been one of the best home teams in the league over the past two seasons, and they’ll be motivated to bounce back from two straight 1-run losses to Colorado.
Andrew Cashner is one of the most underrated starters in the league. He went 5-7 with a 2.55 ERA in 19 starts last year for the Padres, and he’s 1-2 with a 2.65 ERA over three starts thus far in 2015.
Cashner has really pitched well against tonight’s opponent, the Los Angeles Dodgers, in the past. Indeed, he has gone 1-2 with a 2.15 ERA in seven career starts against the Dodgers.
The Dodgers are 1-7 in their last 8 road games. The Padres are 37-16 in their last 53 home games. San Diego is 6-0 in Cashner’s last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Padres Friday.
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Cleveland Indians vs. Detroit Tigers
MLB Pick: Cleveland +122 odds (April 24th 2015)
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Great value here with the Cleveland Indians as road underdogs to the Detroit Tigers. Detroit is overvalued right now due to its blistering start this season. Cleveland really needs a series win, and it starts with Game 1 today. Danny Salazar is one of the most talented young starters in the game. In his lone start this season against Minnesota, he gave up 2 earned runs in 6 innings while striking out 10 batters. Shane Greene is off to a great start for Detroit, but he’s overvalued as a result. The Indians are 5-0 in Salazar’s last 5 Friday starts. Take Cleveland.
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