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Cubs vs. Pirates Over-Under Pick from Brandon Lee: September 26th 2016

CUBS VS. PIRATES BETTINGChicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
MLB Over-Under Pick: Under 7.5 runs -110 odds (September 26th 2016)

I see some solid value here on the UNDER in Monday’s series opener between the Cubs and Pirates. Chicago will send out Cy Young front-runner Kyle Hendricks, who has a 2.03 ERA and 0.961 WHIP over 28 starts. Hendricks has been even better than that of late, posting a 1.37 ERA over his last 17 outings. He’s been really good in each of his two starts against the Pirates this season, allowing 1 run on 10 hits with 16 strikeouts in 13 innings of work. With Chicago already having locked up everything for the playoffs and coming off a big win last night against the Cardinals, I look for the offense to come out flat here against Chad Kuhl, who has pitched well in each of his last two outings, giving up just 3 runs on 9 hits with 11 strikeouts in 12 innings of work. UNDER is 11-3 in Hendricks 14 night starts this season and I look for the trend to continue. Give me the UNDER 7.5!

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St. Louis Rams vs. Tampa Bay Bucs NFL Betting Pick from Jack Jones: September 25th 2016

RAMS VS. BUCS BETTINGSt. Louis Rams vs. Tampa Bay Bucs
NFL Betting Pick: Bucs -4 points (September 25th 2016)

There is some serious line value here with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. They are coming off an awful performance at Arizona last week, while the St. Louis Rams are coming off an upset win over the Seattle Seahawks. I look for the Bucs to bounce back in a big way here at home.

The Rams beat the Seahawks 9-3 last week as 5.5-point home dogs. But road teams who are coming off an upset win as a home underdog are just 106-151 ATS the next week. Also, the Seahawks seem to have a negative effect on teams the next week. Teams who played the Seahawks the previous week are 34-58 ATS since Pete Carroll took over.

Last week the Bucs lost 7-40 at Arizona in what was a great spot for the Cardinals to bounce back. But the Bucs basically gave that game away by committing five turnovers. Teams coming off a loss by 28 or more points are 142-108 ATS in their following game since 2003. This just shows that there is value in backing these teams off blowout losses.

I expect Jameis Winston and company to be much better here offensively. And it’s clear the Rams have problems on offense and can’t keep up with the Bucs here. The Rams have scored a TOTAL of 9 points all season. They have the worst offense in the NFL through two weeks at 4.5 points per game and 234.0 yards per contest.

The Rams are 14-30 ATS in their last 44 games as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points. Los Angeles is 0-6 ATS in its last six road games following a win over a division opponent. The Rams are also 0-6 ATS off a win by 6 points or less over the last three seasons. The Buccaneers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Tampa Bay is 10-4 ATS in its last 14 games following an ATS loss. Bet the Buccaneers Sunday.

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Vikings vs. Panthers Week 3 NFL Over-Under Pick from Tony George: September 25th 2016

VIKINGS VS. PANTHERS BETTING WEEK 3Minnesota Vikings vs. Carolina Panthers
Week 3 NFL Over-Under Pick: Under 42 points (September 25th 2016)

Yes, the oddsmakers have put a big number, for the NFL anyway, on the Carolina Panthers here at -7, a full touchdown favorite over the Minnesota Vikings, fresh off a great showing in their new stadium home opener against the hated Green Bay Packers. Sam Bradford actually looked like an NFL Quarterback in that game, but the worst news out of that game was Adrian Peterson was lost for the next 8 weeks minimum with a knee injury that has already been surgically repaired.

The Panthers won with ease in a score fest against the Niners last week at home but I want everyone to hold the presses a minute. The last time Carolina faced a good defense they lost to Denver to open the season and scored 20 points. The Vikings managed 17 points last week against a bad defense. Let’s do the math here for a minute. The strength of the Panthers is their defense and they will get after Sam Bradford like none other today. I am not sold on Bradford and never have been since he left Oklahoma, he likes to turn it over and hang on to the ball too long, and against this pass rush of Carolina, that is doom. Also the Vikings after 2 weeks rank 28th in total yards on offense in the NFL.

On the other side of the ball for the Vikings is a well-coached, lean and mean defense that can give any QB fits, just ask Aaron Rodgers. Cam Netwon will be held in check and without RB Stewart this week, that also opens the door to a nonproductive offense for the Panthers against this Vikings defense. The Vikings defense after 2 weeks ranks 5th in the NFL.

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All in all, I can see the Vikings making a game of this and taking the 7 points with the underdog Vikes in a low scoring affair is very tempting, but I am not sure Bradford and company can put up more than 10 points here in all honesty. When looking at the Las Vegas Line value, in my opinion it is not the side play, but the Totals play and the line at 43 totals points that has value. I can easily see neither team getting past 17-20 points here and I think this will be a defensive battle from wire to wire and points at a premium.

Play the UNDER 42 Points on the Total

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