Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Prediction: Tampa Bay -126 betting line (July 28th 2014)
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The Tampa Bay Rays (51-54) have not quit on their season. They have won five of their last seven overall to continue their torrid run over the past month-plus as one of the best teams in baseball during this stretch. I like their chances of winning again Monday against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Jake Odorizzi has really pitched well this season for Tampa Bay, especially at home. The right-hander has posted a 2.73 ERA and 1.117 WHIP over 11 home starts this year. He is also 2-1 with a 2.94 ERA in his last three starts.
Kyle Lohse has also pitched very well at home this season for Milwaukee, but he has been much worse on the road. Lohse has posted a 3.74 ERA and 1.286 WHIP over 12 road starts in 2014.
Tampa Bay is 20-6 (+14.5 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 3 seasons. The Brewers are 15-38 in their last 53 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter. The Rays are 8-1 in their last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter. Bet the Rays Monday.
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Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies
MLB Pick: Chicago Cubs -132 odds (July 28th 2014)
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I’m backing the Chicago Cubs on Monday. Yohan Flande makes his 5th start for the Rockies. When the left-hander made his first start of the season, we went against him, won with the Cardinals, and wrote that Flande is in the “bigs” for two reasons and two reasons only: 1) He’s a lefty. 2) The Rockies’ rotation was in shambles. We have played against Flande twice and won both. The Rockies are 0-4 in his starts thus far and he has been tagged for 16 earned runs and 32 base runners, lasting a grand total of just 20 innings. The four Colorado opponents scored 7, 8, 7, and 9 runs in those outings and I expect the Cubs to score more than enough to back Tsuyoshi Wada. The Japanese left-hander has one good outing and one bad outing under his belt in 2014 and will face a hamstrung Colorado lineup averaging just 3.2 rpg in road night games against southpaws. Not only are Troy Tulowitzki and Justin Morneau on the D-L, but Carlos Gonzalez is also questionable with a sore ankle. The Rockies have won just 16 of their last 57 road games against lefties and the Cubs are 19-7 in their last 26 home games against Colorado. I’m recommending a play on the Cubs on Monday night. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Scott Spreitzer looks to extend his KNOCKOUT run to 10-3 with his last 13! Scott had to settle for a push with last night’s Tapout Total in MLB, but looks to rock the books tonight. Grab the side backed by two 100% winning spots, revealed inside. Make the move, KNOCKOUT the books on Monday!
San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves
Prediction: Atlanta -157 betting line (July 28th 2014)
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Most times we would play a first time starter in the blind but just can’t pull the trigger here. The Padre’s Jason Lane was an outfielder that played 499 games in the bigs from 2002-2007 before converting. He was 6-8 with a 4.67 ERA in 19 AAA starts this year and has thrown 4 1/3 scoreless in relief this year. Ervin Santana is having another “professional” year for the Braves going 9-6 overall but most importantly here he’s 6-2 at Turner Field with a 3.27 ERA, He’s 4-1 with a 3.41 ERA in his L5. The Friars are just 4-8 in their L12 roadies and are hitting just .218 away from Petco. The Braves are grinding but are still 10-6 in their L16 home games and still right in the thick of their division race. The price is no bargain but might be worth a look.
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