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Service Units ROI Pct WL
GamePlan +1097.0 +36.4% 69.2% 18-8
Ben Burns +1012.0 +25.8% 71.4% 20-8
Lee Williams +852.0 +32.5% 69.6% 16-7
Jim Feist +759.0 +19.9% 63.6% 21-12
Rob Vinciletti +663.0 +27.7% 66.7% 14-7
Xander Locke +636.0 +21.5% 72.2% 13-5
Ross Benjamin +587.0 +61.7% 87.5% 7-1
Jesse Schule +587.0 +13.3% 65.6% 21-11
Michael Alexander +578.0 +34.5% 71.4% 10-4
Miguel DaSilva +557.0 +3.7% 51.3% 59-56
Service Units ROI Pct WL
Bobby Conn +2787.0 +21.5% 64.5% 69-38
GamePlan +1858.0 +13.6% 59.0% 69-48
Tony Bucca +1653.0 +7.2% 59.2% 103-71
Lee Williams +1637.0 +13.5% 59.8% 64-43
Ben Burns +1519.0 +10.6% 64.0% 64-36
Jimmy Boyd +1342.0 +19.9% 66.1% 37-19
Timothy Black +1267.0 +12.2% 57.0% 53-40
Rob Vinciletti +1096.0 +8.9% 57.7% 60-44
Nick Parsons +1015.0 +16.6% 57.9% 33-24
Jamie Tursini +997.0 +15.1% 59.3% 35-24
Service Units ROI Pct WL
Bobby Conn +5708.0 +22.4% 64.8% 136-74
GamePlan +3713.0 +14.9% 59.4% 127-87
Lee Williams +2739.0 +12.2% 58.9% 116-81
Timothy Black +2715.0 +11.7% 57.4% 116-86
Rob Vinciletti +2526.0 +10.9% 58.5% 113-80
Ben Burns +2235.0 +8.8% 62.9% 112-66
Nick Parsons +2146.0 +20.4% 59.4% 57-39
Kevin Thomas +2035.0 +12.1% 59.2% 77-53
Tony Bucca +1943.0 +5.1% 58.1% 169-122
Jamie Tursini +1930.0 +20.2% 61.2% 52-33

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Washington vs. Boise State Football Betting Pick from Brandon Shively: September 4th 2015

Brandon Shively - College Football PickWashington vs. Boise State
Betting Pick: Boise State -13 points (September 4th 2015)

I look for a blow-out win here by the Broncos. Head coach Bryan Harsin faces Chris Peterson and the Huskies and Harsin will have his team fired up. Remember Harsin was the OC for Boise when Peterson was coach there. Now Peterson is at Washington and I think Harsin will have something to prove in this game. Also, the Broncos are displeased with Peterson as there has been talk about the violent history of one of their former players and Peterson has denied the claim.

Boise State returns 17 starters this season including an offensive line that returns intact. They add in a Stanford transfer at running back and the Broncos have never had a problem with running the ball. They will ‘own’ the line of scrimmage in this game vs. an inexperienced front 7 of the Huskies. The Broncos defensive line will also overmatch the Washington offensive line that lost all of their starters from last season. Boise State has 10 juniors/seniors starting on defense, returning 77% of their tacklers from last season. The defense improved 38 ypg last season and I look for continued improvement this season.

Washington lost 4 guys to the NFL draft. Losing Shaq Thompson is huge as this guy played at LB and RB. They lost 6 of their top 7 tacklers from last year and are extremely young on defense. Washington had 124 career starts returning on the offensive line in 2014. Now ALL of these starts are gone as the lone returner, Dexter Charles, is out for the season. Whoever gets the start at QB will be inexperienced and playing on the ‘Blue-turf’ will not do them any favors. Washington only returns 4 starters on defense. Overall, the Huskies only are returning 8 starters and have to break in a new QB and points will be hard to come by.

Being the 1st game of the season, Boise State is the much more talented and experienced team. They also have one of the biggest home advantages in college football playing on the ‘Blue-turf’. I look for them to run the score up in this one to gain ‘style’ points vs. a PAC 12 team and also playing against their former coach, Peterson, the Broncos will be playing with an added ‘chip’ on their shoulder. Look for Boise State to pull away in this one.

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Baylor vs. SMU Football Over-Under Pick from AAA Sports: September 4th 2015

AAA Sports - College Football PickBaylor vs. SMU
College Football Pick: Under 74 points (September 4th 2015)

The Bears will try to run the table this year as they look to repeat as Big 12 champions en route to college football’s four-team playoff. Seth Russell takes over at QB and he has a plethora of weapons to utilize and also benefits from playing in front of one of the most solid offensive lines in the country. Russell will be leaning heavily on All-American left tackle Spencer Drango and a bruising starting line which is fully intact, including Pat Colbert, Jarell Broxton and Blake Muir. RB Shock Linwood is coming off a 1,000 yard season where he ran for 16 major scores. The Bears are also stacked at the receiver position with sophomore KD Cannon and junior Corey Coleman. Not to be outdone though, the defense should improve this year as well with the return of nine starters, including All-American end Shawn Oakman, who would set the single-season school record for sacks and was just shy of another mark with 19.5 tackles for a loss. Oakman anchors a line that includes All-Big 12 NT Andrew Billings and All-American KJ Smith. With all four starters returning in the secondary, that part of the unit should also be much improved this year. On the other side of the field, only 11 starters return for SMU and the team will be implementing new schemes on both sides of the ball with first year head coach Chad Morris directing the show. QB Matt Davis took over the starting job with six games remaining in 2014 and would wind up as the team’s top rusher. Davis will be handing off to four different backs, all capable. Consistency at the receiver position was an issue last year and is a question mark coming into this one as well. Van Malone is the new defensive coordinator, he’ll be tasked to help a unit that was one of the worst in the country last year (note that the Mustangs ranked 120th nationally with a minus-14 turnover margin in 2014/15). It’s a league race for Baylor with a November 27th showdown at TCU and the defense is going to have to shoulder the load to begin with as it looks to alleviate some of the pressure from Russell. So there’s no better first opponent to work out a few kinks against. While SMU looks a lot better than it did last year on paper, ultimately we expect the Bears’ defensive unit to play with a chip on its shoulder today and for this total to fall UNDER the posted number.

Arkansas State vs. USC Football Betting Pick from Jack Jones: September 5th 2015

Jack Jones - College Football PickArkansas State vs. USC
Football Betting Pick: USC -27 points (September 5th 2015)

The turmoil surrounding Steve Sarkisian this offseason will only bring the USC Trojans closer together. I think the Trojans are primed to have their best season since going 12-1 back in 2008. The Trojans won nine games last year and even lost two games on the final play. This easily could have been an 11-2 team and Pac-12 South champions.

Now the Trojans return 14 starters in 2015 and their sanctions are gone. Depth really hurt them last season late in games because they didn’t have enough scholarship players. They will now have their best depth since Pete Carroll left. Sarkisian has been raving this offseason about how there is great competition at every position, which wasn’t the case last year.

The offense played at a much faster tempo last year, and they handled it well, putting up 35.8 points and 458 yards pr game. This unit now returns seven starters, including senior QB Cody Kessler. He is clearly a Heisman Trophy candidate after completing 69.7 percent of his passes for 3,826 yards and 39 touchdowns against five interceptions a year ago. This offense is only going to be more explosive in 2015 in Year 2 of the system.

The defense failed to get stops late in games last year because of the depth problems. That will now be a non-issue in 2015, and this is going to be one of the most improved stop units in the country after allowing 25.2 points and 408 yards per game last season. Seven starters return on defense, and now there’s depth at all three levels. The biggest improvement will come against the pass with three starters back from a secondary that allowed 275 passing yards per game last season, which is simply too much, even in the pass-happy Pac-12.

Arkansas State has had some great head coaches through the years in Hugh Freeze, Gus Malzahn and Brian Harsin. All three are off to greener pastures doing bigger and better things at Ole Miss, Auburn and Boise State, respectively. The Red Wolves downgraded the position in signing Blake Anderson, but at least he should stick around as long as they’ll have him.

It wasn’t a very impressive season last year for the Red Wolves, who went 7-6 after winning the Sun Belt title each of the previous three seasons. They were beaten pretty soundly at Tennessee (by 15) and at Miami (by 21) in non-conference play, and this USC team is vastly superior to both of those squads. The Red Wolves also lost by 19 to Toledo in the bowl game.

Arkansas State does have a capable offense that will be good again with nine starters back. I think QB Freddi Knighton may be the best in the Sun Belt even as he enters his senior season. He has all of his top skill players back. But this is a team from the Sun Belt, and this offense put up big numbers last year against bad competition. Tennessee held Arkansas State to 19 points, and Miami held it to 20 points for comparisons sake.

The Red Wolves’ defense is going to give up a big number to the Trojans, likely 50-plus points. They allowed 30.5 points and 421 yards per game last year, and now they have just six starters back while losing six of its top 10 tacklers. The Red Wolves allowed 55 points to UL Lafayette, 37 to Appalachian State, 45 to Texas State and 63 to Toledo last year in four of their worst performances. That gives you an indication of what this elite USC offense is going to be able to do in the opener.

Plays on home favorites (USC) that put up 450 or more total yards of offense per game last season, with an experienced QB returning as the starter, in the first month of the season are 82-40 (67.2%) ATS over the last 10 seasons. USC beat Fresno State 52-13 at home in its opener last year. I believe this Arkansas State is similar to that Fresno State team with a solid offense but an atrocious defense. Another victory in the 39-point range can be expected in the 2015 opener for the Trojans. Bet USC Saturday.

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