Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays
MLB Betting Pick: Marlins -102 odds (May 26th 2016)
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The Marlins are showing great value here as a small road favorite against the Rays. Miami will have their ace on the mound in Jose Fernandez, who has been lights out of late. Fernandez has a 0.90 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in his last 3 starts, allowing just 2 runs on 12 hits with 31 strikeouts in his last 20 innings of work. Not to mention Miami has won 7 of his 9 starts this season. He faces a Rays offense that is averaging just 3.3 runs and hitting .216 as a team at home.
Tampa Bay counters with lefty Drew Smyly, who has a respectable 3.54 ERA and 1.036 WHIP in 9 starts. However, he’s 0-3 with a 4.01 ERA in 4 home starts and has a 5.51 ERA and 1.653 WHIP in his last 3 starts overall. Those struggles figure to continue against a Miami offense that has feasted on southpaws this season. The Marlins are averaging 5.6 runs and hitting .298 as a team against left-handed starters this season.
Miami as a team has been solid on the road, going 14-9 away from home on the season. They are 6-1 in their last 7 with a hot bullpen that has a ERA under 3.00 over their last 10 games and 15-5 in Fernandez’s last 20 starts with a money line of +125 to -125. Take the Marlins!
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