Memphis Grizzlies vs. Indiana Pacers
Betting Pick: Memphis -6 (October 31st 2014)
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Two 1-0 teams meet Friday night, when the Memphis Grizzlies take on the Indiana Pacers.
The injury ravaged Indiana Pacers opened the season with a 103-91 home victory over the Philadelphia 76ers. Center Roy Hibbert led the way with 22 points, eight rebounds, and seven blocks. Hibbert got help from Rodney Stuckey and Donald Sloan who scored 16 points apiece. The win marked the 4th consecutive season opening win for the Pacers.
Indiana will likely be without All-Star Forward Paul George for the entire season. In the opener, the Pacers were without Guard George Hill (sprained right ankle) and Forward David West (bruised left knee).
Memphis opened up their season at home with their 15th straight home victory. They held off the Minnesota Timberwolves 105-101. Center Marc Gasol led the way with 32 points. It was the Grizzlies first season opening win since the franchise left Vancouver.
Memphis used their strength inside to outscore the young Timberwolves 58-34 in the paint. The inside duo of Gasol and Forward Zach Randolph combined to shoot 24 for 33 on the evening.
I feel the Pacers are in BIG trouble in this game. Hibbert is the only starter playing from last year’s team due to all the injuries. I think Gasol and Zack Randolph will be able to neutralize Hibbert and the Pacers just don’t have enough fire power to get the job done.
Play on Memphis.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Houston Texans
Week 9 NFL Pick: Philly -1 (November 2nd 2014)
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Well Houston will have their hands full here and they never fare well against the NFC, and or elite teams either. The key to Philly despite the picks thrown by QB Foles being an issue is the re-commitment to run and the past 2 weeks RB McCoy has averaged 4.5 yards per carry and quitter frankly the OL is vastly healthier for the Eagles as well. We also catch Philly coming off a road loss ion game at 6-1 Arizona they should have and could have won.
While Houston’s running game with RB Foster is their only option, you always ask yourself who has the better QB and it is a no brainer that QB Fitzpatrick is a liability and not an asset and his throws picks folks. Wins over Redskins, Raiders, Titans and Bills are hardly a list of teams who frankly impress me as big wins for the Texans, I like Philly’s balanced attack, fast pace and 1-2 punch at RB and big play maker WR Macklin here to get back on track. I can assure you Philly, with a red hot Dallas team in their division, will have a sense of priority and awareness coming into this game, and will approach this as a big game, and while JJ Watt for Houston is a playmaker, this style of offense is not to his liking.
Duke Blue Devils vs. Pittsburgh Panthers
College Football Pick: Pittsburgh -3 (November 1st 2014)
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10* graded play on the Pittsburgh Panthers as they take on the Duke Blue Devils in ACC Conference action set to start at 12:00 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that Pittsburgh will win this game by more than 6 points over the 24th ranked Duke. Pitt knows that if they win this game they have a great shot at running the table and finishing the season at 8-4 and entertain some much bigger bowl games than their current 4-4 record would reflect now. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 46-19 ATS mark for 71% winners since 1992. Play on any team (PITTSBURGH) that is an excellent rushing team averaging >=4.8 YPR and is now facing a team with a poor rushing defense allowing between 4.3 to 4.8 YPR and after allowing 275 or more rushing yards last game. Further, 38% of these games covered the spread by 7 or more points. This marks the first time since the mid-19050’s that a Duke football team has been ranked in consecutive seasons. This team does have experience in numbers from last year’s first appearance in the top-25 since the 1994 season. Over my 23 seasons of handicapping games, I have seen unranked teams FAVORED at home over a ranked team and there is a reason for this whether hidden or fully apparent. Check it out the remainder of the season and see how the results reflect this simple observation. The biggest reason I see Pitt winning this game easily is their very strong ground attack that ranks 34th in the nation averaging 209 yards-per-game. Duke has not be able to stop the run consistently this season ranking a miserable 98th in the nation allowing 203 yards-per-game. Duke has it’s own very strong ground attack, but the Pitt defensive front is much more talented and will be able to contain them forcing them into numerous third-and-long situations. Don’t be misled by Duke’s 4th best ranking in scoring defense at 15.5 PPG as they also rank 105th in red zone scoring defense allowing 90% of opponent possessions to put numbers up on the scoreboard. The reason most evident is the that DUke has had a significantly weak SOS and now they face a stiff competitor that can win both sides of the LOS. Take Pittsburgh.
Stanford Cardinal vs. Oregon Ducks
College Football Pick: Stanford +8 (November 1st 2014)
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I have not been a fan of this Stanford team.. They lack play makers and they lost a ton of talent on defense from last year, but the defense is still playing as the best defense in the nation. Oregon is over rated and the only reason this is not a higher rated play is their offensive line is starting to get healthy, but they will play the best defense they have had to face all year. Stanford just has their number they know how to play Oregon and I just don’t think Oregon is ready to blow this team out. The spread is blown up a bit because after Oregon’s loss to Arizona they have gone back to being Oregon, but their offensive line got lucky getting to face the 116th and 126th ranked sack % defenses in 2 of their last 3 games. Stanford is ranked 13th, and 2nd in yards/attempts, and they are also ranked 5th vs. the run and have played several quality opponents on their schedule. There is still a lot for Stanford to achieve this year and I think it starts with their perennial win over Oregon.
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