Orlando Magic vs. Boston Celtics
Betting Prediction: Orlando Magic -9.5 -110 odds (January 26th 2012)
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The Orlando Magic want serious payback tonight. I believe they go out and get it against the banged-up Boston Celtics. Orlando suffered their worst loss of the season just a few nights ago on January 23rd, falling 56-87 at Boston. You can bet the Magic will be hungry for revenge at home tonight.
Aside from that blip, the Magic have been one of the most impressive teams in the league this season. Orlando is off to a 12-5 start while covering the spread in 10 of their 17 games. They are 6-2 at home this season, giving up a mere 88.1 points/game on 41.9 percent shooting.
Boston has looked horrible aside from their win over the Magic. The Celtics are just 7-9 on the season with just one win against a team with a winning record. They are scoring just 89.4 points/game this season as their offense just cannot seem to get on track.
The Celtics will certainly struggle offensively tonight without two of their best players. Rajon Rondo and Ray Allen are each expected to sit out tonigt. Plus, Jermaine O’Neal is listed as doubtful with a knee injury. Boston stands little chance of keeping this game close without these three players on the floor.
Boston is 8-28 ATS in their last 36 after a win by 10 points or more. Worse yet, the Celtics are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 after a blowout win by 20 points or more. Boston is 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Bet the Magic Thursday.
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Nevada vs. New Mexico State
College Basketball Pick: New Mexico State -4 (January 26th 2012)
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We’ve successfully backed New Mexico St. a few times this season as this team has been playing very well for the majority of the tear. The Aggies are coming off a loss at Hawaii in their most recent game, which was their first conference loss of the season after a 4-0 start. They now trail Nevada by a game in the WAC and we should see a big bounce back effort on their home floor here. New Mexico St. had won six straight games prior to the disappointing loss against the Warriors.
Nevada meanwhile is red hot as it has won 13 consecutive games and the preseason pick to win the WAC is so far holding true to form. Maybe even more impressive is the fact that the Wolf Pack have only dropped one game against the number over this stretch in the 11 lined games. This is a very tough team no doubt but because of the winning streak, we are getting value going the other way and this is easily their toughest road game since facing UNLV way back in November.
Things are back in place for another run at the WAC title as four starters are back for the Aggies following a disappointing 16-17 record last year that was mostly due to injuries. New Mexico St. is loaded down low as Wendell McKines and Hamidu Rahman are averaging 17 rebounds combined and as a team, the Aggies are +7.4 in rebounding margin, which is 10th in the nation. Nevada normally has an edge in this category but that won’t be the case on Thursday.
New Mexico St. is ranked first in the nation in free-throw attempts per game with 33.5, five more than any other team and that aggressiveness will be big once again tonight. The Aggies are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games in the second half of the season against teams with a winning record while also going 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games after playing a game on the road. The favorite have covered five of the last six meetings and Nevada will be out for revenge here, it won’t happen tonight. 3* (572) New Mexico St. Aggies. Get more college basketball picks for January 26th 2012 from Matt Fargo at Touthouse.com.
Denver Nuggets vs. Sacramento Kings
NBA Pick: Sacramento Kings +6 (January 25th 2012)
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The Sacramento Kings are certainly off to a slow start this season. A big reason for that is the fact that the Kings have played the toughest schedule in the NBA thus far. Because of this, the Kings will be showing solid value in the upcoming weeks. This is a better team than their record would indicate.
The Denver Nuggets are off to a solid 12-5 start this season. Because of their fast start, this team is a big overvalued right now. The Nuggets are one of the worst defensive teams in the league. They yield 100.0 points/game overall, including 102.4 points/game and 45.9 percent shooting on the road. Their defensive effort makes it tough for Denver to blow teams out.
Sacramento has clearly played their best basketball at home this season. The Kings are 4-3 SU & 4-3 ATS on their home court. That includes impressive home wins over the Lakers and Pacers. The Kings have played three straight road games, and eight of their last nine on the road. You can bet this team is excited to be returning home tonight. The home team is 7-2-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings in this series. Bet Sacramento Wednesday.
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Atlanta Hawks vs. San Antonio Spurs
NBA Pick: San Antonio Spurs -4.5 (January 25th 2012)
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The Spurs have been a tremendous wager at home this season and in this series. The Spurs are 9-1 SU and 6-4 ATS at home where they are winning by an average of 11.6 points. The Spurs are 13-0 SU and 12-1 ATS in their last 13 at home versus the Hawks. Those 13 wins have come by 14, 15, 29, 22, 13, 39, 16, 24, 14, 15, 6, 15, and 16 points for an average winning margin of 18.3 points.
The Hawks, who have been inconsistent on the road, are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less. The Spurs have played back-to-back games on the road since enduring their first home loss Friday, and you can bet that loss isn’t sitting well with a team that went 36-5 at home last season. We’ll lay the points.
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Kentucky vs. Georgia
College Basketball Pick: Georgia +12.5 (January 24th 2012)
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My money is on the Georgia Bulldogs to cover the 12.5-point spread against the top-ranked Kentucky Wildcats. What a lot of people don’t realize is the hype that surrounds Kentucky basketball has allowed oddsmakers to make a killing. More times than not the public is all over the Wildcats, but they are just 5-14 ATS this season, covering just once in their last eight games. I’m currently showing around 60% of the public betting on Kentucky in this game, yet the line is moving in the favor of Georgia.
I will admit Georgia doesn’t look like a great play if you just look at their recent performances. The Bulldogs are just 1-4 in their last 5 games, all of which were games inside the SEC.
What a lot of people overlook is the magnitude of this game for Georgia, compared to what it means for Kentucky. Georgia is just 10-9 overall, which means they aren’t making the NCAA Tournament unless they win the conference tournament. With this game being played on ESPN, I expect the Bulldogs to treat this game like it was the National Championship. I also expect a sell out crowd that will relish at the opportunity to see their team take down the No. 1 team in the country.
Georgia lost 63-66 at home to Ole Miss on Saturday as a 2-point favorite. That was actually a good thing for Georgia against the spread tonight. The Bulldogs are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss and 24-8 ATS in their last 32 games following a S.U. loss! BET THE BULLDOGS! If you enjoyed this Kentucky vs. Georgie college basketball pick for January 24th 2012, be sure to purchase Steve Janus’ expert picks today.