Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox
Over-Under Pick: Under 7.5 runs -110 odds (August 3rd 2015)
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I like this game to stay UNDER the posted total of 7.5 tonight. Tampa Bay will have Karns on the mound and he has a 22K/ 4BB mark in July. Of his last 8 starts, there has been only an average of 5 runs scored. The UNDER is now 6-2 in his L8 road starts and 7-3 in his L10 starts as an underdog.
The White Sox will have Quintana on the mound and has a 2.48 ERA in 14 night starts this season. He posted a 40K/ 2 BB mark for the month of July. There has been an average of only 6 runs scored in his home starts this season.
Tampa Bay is 11-23-1 UNDER when inserted as a homedog this season meaning they go UNDER 68% of the time when a road dog. Chicago White Sox are 8-22 UNDER when inserted as a home favorite this season meaning they go UNDER 74% of the time as a home favorite. Look for another lower scoring game here tonight with a final score in the 3-2 range. Take the UNDER!
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Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies
MLB Pick: Seattle Mariners -168 odds (August 3rd 2015)
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I’m willing to lay the big juice with the Seattle Mariners today due to the massive edge they have on the mound in this one. Plus, the Rockies just traded away Troy Tulowitzki, and they have lost four of their last five games overall to fall to 44-59 on the season. Felix Hernandez is 12-6 with a 3.02 ERA and 1.117 WHIP in 21 starts this year. He is coming off one of his worst starts of the season, so there’s no question he’ll be hungry to bounce back. He’ll be opposed by Eddie Butler, who is 3-7 with a 4.82 ERA and 1.776 WHIP in 13 starts, 1-3 with a 5.96 ERA and 1.949 WHIP in five home starts, and 0-2 with a 6.61 ERA and 1.837 WHIP in his last three starts overall. The Mariners are 8-2 in Hernandez’s last 10 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200. The Rockies are 16-54 in their last 70 interleague games. The Rockies are 7-53 in their last 60 games as an underdog of +151 to +200. Take Seattle.
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San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers
MLB Pick: Padres -101 odds (August 3rd 2015)
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The San Diego Padres (51-54) have clearly not quit on their season. They are still very much alive in the wild card race after going 7-2 in their last nine games overall. Now they get to face one of the worst teams in baseball.
Milwaukee (44-62) clearly packed it after the All-Star Break. It traded away three of its best players in Carlos Gomez, Mike Fiers and Aramis Ramirez. It has now lost five straight and eight of its last nine coming in.
Tyson Ross sports a 3.45 ERA in 22 starts this season, including a 2.75 ERA in 13 road starts. Wily Peralta is 2-5 with a 3.90 ERA and 1.400 WHIP in 10 starts this season for the Brewers. Ross is 2-1 with a 3.44 ERA and 1.146 WHIP in three career starts against Milwaukee.
Milwaukee is 0-8 (-8.4 Units) against the money line after 10 straight games where they failed to hit more than one HR this season. The Padres are 4-1 in Ross’ last five road starts. The Brewers are 7-24 in their last 31 vs. NL West opponents. Bet the Padres Monday.
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