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Week 7 NFL Pick: Teddy Covers betting the Bengals +5.5 points on October 22nd 2017

Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Week 7 NFL Pick: Cincinnati +5.5 (October 22nd 2017)
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The Pittsburgh Steelers got a win and cover against the Chiefs last week, but it wasn’t because their offense was fixed.  Pittsburgh has struggle week after week on the offensive side of the football, averaging less than 20 points per game (#22 in the NFL) despite their bevy of skill position talent.  Much of the problem has come from the QB position, where, quite frankly, Ben Roethlisberger looks old.  And the quotes coming out of the Steelers locker room have this bettor very concerned with the fragile mental state of this team right now.

Check out this Roethlisberger quote, talking about former tight end Heath Miller, who retired two years ago.  “You develop that relationship with Heath over years and years in practice. Plus the type of person and teammate he was. He was probably the best teammate I’ve ever played with and one of the best men I’ve ever known in my life.”  Contrast that quote with the Martavis Bryant ‘I want to be traded’ rumors.  Note the modest production from rookie WR JuJu Smith Schuster.

Right now, Antonio Brown is the only consistent downfield weapon that they have.  RB LeVeon Bell had 35 touches on the Steelers 63 offensive snaps last week – too many for a balanced offense.  In three October starts, Big Ben has a 2-7 TD-INT ratio, and he currently ranks #30 out of 32 NFL QB’s in passer rating.  Both TD passes during that span came on poorly thrown balls – both could have been INT’s!  And it’s surely worth noting that the Steelers lauded home field edge at Heinz Field isn’t so great these days.  Mike Tomlin’s squad is just 2-5 ATS in their last seven regular season tries as home chalk.

While the Steelers offense continues to struggle, the Bengals appear to have figured it out!  Andy Dalton threw four picks without a TD over the first two weeks before Marvin Lewis fired offensive coordinator Ken Zampese after facing a ‘near mutiny’ in the locker room.  The Red Rifle completed only 54% of his passes while averaging just 6.0 yards per attempt in those games.

In the three games under new OC Bill Lazor, there’s been a ‘night and day’ type difference.  Dalton’s completion percentage is up to 73%, he’s averaging 8.9 yards per attempt with a 7-2 TD-INT ratio.  Tight end Tyler Kroft is developing into a solid weapon over the middle for Dalton; a team that isn’t missing injured tight end Tyler Eifert as much as they did last year.  This sure feels like a ‘somebody wins it by a field goal’ kind of game.  Too many points!  Take the Bengals.

Teddy delivered a 4-0 Sunday/Monday Night NFL sweep, now hitting 63% through the first six weeks of 2017.  Teddy’s riding a 67% MLB hot streak since the start of the playoffs!  And Teddy went 2-0 with his first two bets of the NBA season, both easy, ‘right side’ winners!  Don’t miss a single cash all weekend long!

Rice Owls vs. UTSA College Football Pick from Will Rogers: October 21st 2017

Rice Owls vs. UTSA
College Football Over-Under Pick: Over 53 points (October 21st 2017)
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The set-up: It’s C-USA play on Saturday night with the Rice Owls (1-5 overall, 1-1 in conference play) visiting the UTSA Roadrunners (3-2 overall, 0-2 in league play) on Saturday evening. The Owls won at UTEP in its second game of the season but enters this contest on a four-game slide. The Roadrunners opened 3-0 in non-conference but comes into this contest searching for their first C-USA win.

Rice: The Owls are 1-5 SU and ATS, due to owning one of CFB’s most pathetic offenses. Rice scored 31 points in its lone win at UTEP but has scored 12 points or fewer in each of its other five games.

Rice limps into this contest averaging 11.7 PPG (128th) on 298.5 YPG (124th). It’s not surprising the Owls are just 1-5, as the team allows 36.3 PPG (114th), allowing 38-plus points in four of six games.

UTSA: The Roadrunners opened their season by winning 17-10 at Baylor, then won 51-17 at home over Southern and 44-14 at Texas State. However, UTSA has opened league play with two tough losses, 31-29 to Southern Miss and then 29-26 at North Texas. The loss to North Texas was a ‘killer!’ The Roadrunners took a 26-22 lead on a 46-yard scoring strike by QB Dalton Sturm.

However, with just over a minute to play, North Texas QB Mason Fine orchestrated a 98-yard drive capped by the winning TD pass with 10 seconds remaining. OUCH!

The pick: UTSA averages 33.4 PPG (43rd) on 460.8 YPG (30th) and off consecutive late losses (both in conference play), should have plenty of motivation vs. a Rice D that can’t stop anyone (see above). Rice’s offensive woes keep this over/under number low enough to play the Over!

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Pelicans vs. Grizzlies NBA Betting Pick from Scott Spreitzer: October 18th 2017

New Orleans Pelicans vs. Memphis Grizzlies
NBA Betting Pick: Pelicans +2.5 points (October 18th 2017)
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I’m recommending a play on the New Orleans Pelicans plus the points on Wednesday.  We like the inside/outside potential for the Pelicans this season. DeMarcus Cousins joined Anthony Davis inside during last season, but the two will now have had time to develop chemistry with each other and the rest of the squad.  New Orleans won’t have Rajon Rondo (hernia) to start the season, but we have no problem with Jrue Holiday running the show in his absence.

Memphis isn’t the same team we have grown used to over the last several seasons.  Mike Conley and Marc Gasol are still around, but HC David Fizdale will look to open up the offense a little more than recent editions and I do believe it’ll take a couple regular season games before things come together.  The Grizzlies whipped the Pelicans in the final game of the preseason, but I expect different results now that it counts.  The underdog has been the way to go in this series of late and we’ll look for the dog to cash again.  We’re recommending a play on the Pelicans plus the points on Wednesday.  Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.


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