Morehead State vs. Murray State
Betting Pick: Morehead State +6.5 points (March 6th 2015)
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I think Morehead is playing good basketball right now and that they cover this spread. Morehead has played the last 2 nights and Murray State hasn’t played since Saturday. All the pressure is on Murray State as they went undefeated in conference play BUT still have to win this tournament to get into the Big Dance. I think this is a game that benefits Morehead as they are in a solid groove after winning the last 2 nights and Murray State might be a bit rusty in this game. I think Morehead as played some good teams this season out of conference to toughen them up and now they are on a 6-0 SU and ATS run heading into this game. Murray State has cooled off going only 3-7 ATS their last 10 games. SO while they are winning, they are not covering. 4 of their last 10 games have been decided by 6 points or less and only 2 of their last 10 wins have come by more than 10 points. With this game being played on a neutral, I think Morehead gives Murray State all they can handle in this one. Take Morehead State with the points tonight.
Brandon has (3) BIG WINNERS this Friday and what is a better way to get your weekend started off than to get these WINNERS from Brandon. Act Now as his first game gets started at 3:30 EST in the Missouri Valley Conference Tourney. He also has the WINNER in the Yale/Harvard game and has the WINNER in the NBA when Phoenix plays Brooklyn.
Phoenix Suns vs. Brooklyn Nets
NBA Pick: Brooklyn -2.5 (March 6th 2015)
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The Suns haven’t looked the same since trading away Dragic and Thomas at the deadline, as they are just 3-5 since All-Star break. While Phoenix comes in off a 105-100 win and cover at Orlando, they trailed by as many as 15-points in the first half, marking the 3rd straight game that they have fell behind by 15 or more. That’s not a sign of a team playing good basketball.
However, that win combined with the Nets 24-point home loss to the Hornets, has created some great value here on Brooklyn. The thing you have to keep in mind with the Nets poor showing last time out, is it came following a huge 110-108 win at home over the Warriors. Not all that surprising to see them have a letdown after such a big victory. Now Brooklyn is in a prime bounce back spot, while the Suns could have a difficult time not looking ahead to tomorrow’s game against LeBron James and the Cavaliers.
Brooklyn is 19-8 ATS in their last 27 off a loss by 15 or more points, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 after allowing 100+ points in their last contest, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 against the Western Conference and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 off a SU loss. Phoenix on the other hand is 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 road games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 following a SU win. These trends combine to form a strong 77% (51-15) system in favor of the Nets. Take Brooklyn!
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Chicago Bulls vs. Indiana Pacers
NBA Pick: Indiana -6 (March 6th 2015)
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This is a monster game for the Pacers, who have overcome multiple injuries to win nine of their last 11 and pull within a half-game out of a playoff spot.
The Pacers are hot and the timing is right for them to post a solid home win here against the unrested and battered Bulls. Indiana has been home since Feb. 25. They have covered the past seven times at Bankers Life Fieldhouse, one of the tougher road venues for opposing teams.
Indiana has held its last three opponents – Knicks, 76ers and Cavaliers – to an average of 80.7 points. Defense and bench strength are huge advantages Indiana brings to this matchup along with a huge situational edge. The Pacers rank No. 4 in scoring defense while Chicago is 11th. Indiana is in the argument for having the best second-unit in the NBA.
The Bulls have a shortened bench, forced to rely on a number of untested players due to injuries to Derrick Rose, Jimmy Butler and Taj Gibson.
The Bulls had to rally from a 10-point deficit in the fourth quarter to defeat Oklahoma City last night. The last time the Bulls had to play without rest was on Feb. 21. They have failed to cover the past two times when playing on the second of back-to-back games. Chicago also is 3-11 ATS the past 14 times when facing a foe with a losing record.
(Editor’s note: Red-hot pro Stephen Nover is 24-10 on his 34 premium NBA plays and 23-8 on his last 31 college basketball premium plays. In addition to this free selection, Stephen has his NBA Marquee Matchup of the Month heading up his Friday ticket.)
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