Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels
MLB Pick: Angels -113 odds (July 24th 2014)
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The Angels and the Tigers will open a four game set in Los Angeles tonight. The Halos have the best home record in AL at 35-18 so far this season, while Detroit has the best road record at 30-17. Something has got to give tonight, and I’m leaning toward the home team.
Here are my keys to the game:
1. Pitching – Garret Richards has limited the Tigers line-up to AVG of .190 with 10 strike outs. Considering the 26 year old has only allowed two runs on 14 hits over 22 1/3 innings in his last three games, I think he will give the Tigers offense a hard time tonight as well. Detroit with counter with reigning Cy Young winner Max Sherzer, who was less than spectacular in a no decision in his last appearance.
2. The Tigers in LA- Detroit has lost their last six games at the Angel Stadium of Anaheim.
3. X-factor – Mike Trout has been hot in his last 10 games, hitting .356 with four home runs, five doubles and 12 RBIs.
Selection: This is a play on the Los Angeles Angels (10*).
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners
Prediction: Baltimore +121 betting line (July 24th 2014)
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Baltimore was two innings away from sweeping the Angels but it allowed two runs in the bottom of the eighth inning to lose by a run. Still, the Orioles were glad to take two of the three games to square back to even on the current roadtrip before starting a four-game series in Seattle. Baltimore is still a solid 29-22 on the road this season and holds onto a three-game lead over the Yankees and Blue Jays in the American League East. The Orioles are 14-2 in their last 16 games following a loss. Seattle lost two of three against the Mets to open the week and is now 9.5 games out in the American League West but it still sitting in the second Wild Card spot in the American League. The Mariners could be a lot better but have not been able to get the job done at home where they are just 25-28 on the season. They send Hisashi Iwakuma to the hill and he is having a solid season with a 2.95 ERA and 0.99 WHIP over 15 starts but while Seattle is 5-1 in his six road starts, it is just 4-5 in his nine home starts despite his numbers being even better at Safeco Field. The issue is run support as the Mariners are averaging just 2.8 rpg in those nine home outings. Additionally, the Mariners are 0-4 in Iwakuma’s last four starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. Baltimore turns to Wei-Yin Chen and while he has been average, he is winning. He is 10-3 on the season including 5-1 on the road thanks to a ton of run support as he is getting 6.4 rpg through eight road games. He struggled the first couple months but he has a 3.88 ERA in June and July while allowing three runs or less in eight of those nine starts. The Orioles are 8-3 in Chen’s last 11 road starts against teams with a winning record. Play (971) Baltimore Orioles
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Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees
Betting Pick: Rangers +175 odds (July 24th 2014)
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Brandon McCarthy isn’t as bad as his statistics with the Diamondbacks may indicate. But he’s certainly not as good as he’s looked during his first two games with the Yankees. He also doesn’t have good lifetime numbers against the Rangers.
Texas has dropped 18 of its last 21 on its way to becoming the worst team in baseball right now. But they shouldn’t lack for motivation in this road matchup after the Yankees won by one run in what turned out to be in controversial fashion last night after the minimum five innings because of rain.
The Yankees’ ground crew had trouble covering the field in a timely fashion once a downpour hit and the Rangers didn’t appreciate that. This is what Rangers manager Ron Washington had to say about it: “Because of them not being able to get the tarp out on the field, this game shouldn’t come to us losing it.”
None of the Yankees have faced Texas starter Colby Lewis at the new Yankee Stadium. Lewis is having a down year, but he pitched respectably this past Saturday giving up two runs in five innings to the Blue Jays, a team with much more power and offense than the Yankees, who remain without their top power hitter, Mark Teixeira.
The Rangers also happen to have won six of the last eight times Lewis has been an underdog.
(Editor’s note: In addition to this free selection, Vegas pro Stephen Nover has his Double Dime ‘Dog Sweep going today featuring his two strongest underdog plays. Stephen cashed his last ‘dog play two days ago and he’s found two more big ‘dog winners today.)
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