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Bucks vs. Suns NBA Point Spread Pick from Mike Lundin: November 22nd 2017

Milwaukee Bucks vs. Phoenix Suns
NBA Point Spread Pick: PHO +6 (November 22nd 2017)

The Phoenix Suns look like an excellent home dog when they host the shorthanded Milwaukee Bucks Wednesday night. Milwaukee has lost back-to-back games, and here it will have to do without both center John Henson who underwent an eye procedure and forward Mirza Teletovic had arthroscopic knee surgery on Tuesday.

This will be Eric Bledsoe’s first game against his former team, and don’t expect a warm welcome at Talking Stick Resort Arena. The home town crowd will no doubt be pumped up to help the Suns win, particularly after Bledsoe’s behavior before leaving the organization.

Phoenix has recorded consecutive victories (against the Lakers and the Bulls) and averaged 117 points over its last three contests. Pretty, pretty good numbers.

The Suns are just 4-7 at home this season, but the Bucks are often overrated as road favorites going 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. We can also note that the Bucks took a 99-88 beating by Washington their last time out and they’re just 2-6-1 ATS in their last nine games following a double-digit loss at home.

My free pick is on Phoenix Suns.

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Bulls vs. Lakers NBA Point Spread Pick from Larry Ness: November 21st 2017

Chicago Bulls vs. Los Angeles Lakers
NBA Point Spread Pick: LAL -5.5 (November 21st 2017)

Both teams have been poor this year. The Bulls come in off a 113-105 loss in Phoenix on Sunday, while LA broke its two game slide with a convincing 127-109 home win over the Nuggets in its latest action.

Chicago simply can’t score, as the Bulls come in averaging only 95.5 PPG. The defense has been decent in conceding only 104.9 per contest. Lauri Markkanen leads the team with 15.6 points plus 4.5 boards per game.

LA averages 105.6 points and concedes 107.5. Brook Lopez is the main man for the Lakers, posting 15.4 points, plus 4.8 boards per game. Rookie Lonzo Ball averages 8.9 points, 7.1 boards and 7.1 assists per game.

I’ll point out though that Chicago is 0-4 ATS in its last four after allowing 100 points or more in its previous contest, while LA is interrestingly 2-1 ATS in its last three after scoring 125 points or more in its previous contest.

I have a hard time seeing the Bulls matching pace down the stretch. Consider laying the points with the Lakers in this matchup.

NCAAB Pick: Will Rogers betting Duke -22.5 over Furman on November 20th 2017

Furman vs. Duke
College Basketball Point Spread Pick: Duke -22.5 (November 20th 2017)

The set-up: Duke was a preseason No. 1 and remains there at 4-0 (new poll released Monday afternoon will confirm). Duke should be a little more focused on Furman (bad news for the Paladins?), after the Blue Devils struggled somewhat to defeat Southern 78-61 on Friday. The Blue Devils made just four 16 of their 20 three-pointers and committed a season-high 15 turnovers, while the bench contributed virtually nothing, combining to shoot 2-of-8 with six turnovers. Furman won its first two contests (at home over Bob Jones and Elon) over but then fell by 17 at Butler. Things won’t get easier Monday at Cameron Indoor Stadium, where Duke has won 135 straight non-conference home games!

Furman: Saturday’s 82-65 loss Saturday at Butler began a stretch of four consecutive games away from home for the Paladins. Furman comes off a 15-17 season but does return all five starers, so the Paladins have some experience on their side. “Our team is just battle-tested and we’ve got an old group and we have a group that likes to fight,” first-year Furman head coach Bob Richey said. “We have some versatility and we have to use that.” The Paladins are led by Devin Sibley, who was voted the So-Con Player of the Year in 2016-17. He’s averaging 19 points and 4.7 rebounds and has terrific shooting percentages across the board. The senior guard is shooting 55.3 percent from the floor, including making 9-of-16 from the arc. Another senior guard, Daniel Fowler (13.3 & 5.0), had a team-high 19 points against Butler, while 6-8 junior Matt Rafferty (10.3 & 9.3) set a season high with 11 points in the loss.

Duke: The Blue Devils have four freshmen in the starting lineup but this just in, they are pretty good. The non-freshman starter is senior guard Grayson Allen (21.8), who stepped up with a career-high 37 points in a win over the then-No.2 Spartans when freshman sensation Marvin Bagley III (18.0 & 9.3) got hurt against Michigan State. He had posted 25 points and 10 rebounds in the season-opener, then followed with 24 & 10 in his second game. Bagley notched his third double-double (19 & 11) of the young campaign in the win over Southern, while he 6-10 Carter (13.0 & 8) sparkled against Southern with 20 points and 11 rebounds. Freshman PG Trevon Duval (12.5) has 34 assists and six turnovers on the season. The team’s fourth freshman starter is Gary Trent Jr (12.3 & 6.0).

The pick: The impost is high but lthe Paladins were outclassed at Butler, with their best player (Sibley) limited to 11 points. “Second verse, same as the first,” here. Lay it!

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