San Antonio Spurs vs. Golden State Warriors
Betting Prediction: Warriors -9 (October 25th 2016)
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The Golden State Warriors were unstoppable for most part of the regular season last year, particularly at home, but they came up short in the finals losing to the Cavs in seven games. They’ll be hungry for revenge, and they’re coming off a dominant preseason.
The Warriors have strengthened their already NBA-best offense with Kevin Durant from OKC during the offseason, and I think they’ll win big when hosting the San Antonio Spurs in the season opener Tuesday night. The Warriors are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 home at Oracle Arena and they’ll face a Spurs team that might not be quite as strong as in previous years.
San Antonio has lost future Hall of Famer Tim Duncan to retirement, and guard Danny Green is expected to miss the first three weeks of the season. I don’t think the Spurs can match up with the Warriors here in the season opener.
Click here for Brandon Lee’s Spurs vs. Warriors NBA point spread pick
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New York Knicks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA Betting Pick: Cleveland -9.5 -110 odds (October 25th 2016)
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The city of Cleveland waited 52 years to celebrate a championship, as the Cavs came back from a 3-1 deficit against the Warriors to win the NBA Finals last June (Browns had won the city’s previous title, all the way back in 1964). The Cavs will receive their rings in a pre-game ceremony tonight but it’s been in part upstaged by Game 1 of the 2016 World Series, a game in which the Indians (last won a World series in 1948) host the Cubs, who last won a World Series back in 1908. “It’s just a special night, it’s something that no one can ever take away from you no matter how many missed shots, no matter how many turnovers, no matter how many games that you’ve lost, they can never take that moment away from you,” LeBron James said. “I’m happy not only for every guy here, but our fans and the organization. It’s something that’s going to live in the archives forever.”
The Knicks are coming off a 32-50 season but have a new head coach in Jeff Hornacek. New York ran Phil Jackson’s preferred triangle offense exclusively under Derek Fisher and Kurt Rambis last season but Hornacek is incorporating other philosophies into the attack. Carmelo (21.8-7.7-4.2) is New York’s established star with Kristaps Porzingis (14.3 & 7.3) playing the role of budding star. PG Derrick Rose and center Joakim Noah (both former Chicago Bulls) have been brought in plus so have Brandon Jennings and Courtney Lee to join Carmelo and Porzingis.
LBJ is off a “typical King James year” (25.3-7.4-6.9), joined by PG Irving (19.6-4.7 APG) and PF Love (16.0-9.9). Role players like “Delly” and Mozgov are gone but the Cavaliers remain heavy favorites to win the Eastern Conference for the third straight season and not many are betting that LBJ won’t be playing in a seventh consecutive NBA Finals again come June of 2017.
Sometimes, “ring night” can be a distraction but I’m buying in this time around. Lay the points.
Houston Texans vs. Denver Broncos – 8:30pm ET October 24th 2016
Monday Night Football Point Spread: The Denver Broncos are a 7.5 point favorite over the Houston Texans. The over/under for this game is 40.5 points.
Public Perception: 55% of the wagering public is betting that the Broncos will cover the point spread over the Texans. 54% believe that this game will go over the posted total of 40.5 points.
Past Meetings: The last time these two teams took to the field was on December 22nd 2013. Denver was a 10 point chalk in that game and the over/under was set at 53 points. The Broncos cover the point spread by a score of 37-13 and the game stayed under the posted total.
Recent Performance: Houston is 4-2 SU and 2-3 ATS in their last 10 games. Denver is 4-2 SU and 4-2 ATS in their last 10 games. The Texans have scored an average of 18 ppg and given up 21 ppg this season so far. The Broncos have averaged 23 ppg offensively and given up 18ppg defensively thru the first 7 weeks of the 2016 season
Side Betting Trends: Denver is 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass. Denver is 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss. Denver is 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS loss. Houston is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. Houston is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss. Houston is 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Houston is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Click here for Rickenbach’s over/under pick on the Texans vs. Broncos game tonight
Over/Under Betting Trends: The under is 5-0 in Broncos last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The under is 5-0 in Broncos last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 5-1 in Broncos last 6 games in October. The under is 13-3 in Texans last 16 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game. The under is 4-1 in Texans last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 5-2 in Texans last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. The under is 5-2 in Texans last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Head-to-Head Betting Trends: The under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Betting Pick: Houston Texans +7.5
Over-Under Pick: Under 40.5 points
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