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Pittsburgh vs. Milwaukee Betting Odds & Pick from Larry Ness: September 19th 2017

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Betting Pick: Milwaukee -116 odds (September 19th 2017)

The Milwaukee Brewers won 3-0 at Pittsburgh last night, in the opener of a three-game set. The victory moved the Brewers within 3 1/2 games of the idle Chicago Cubs in the NL Central and two games in back of the Colorado Rockies for the second wild-card spot. Milwaukee is trying to chase down a playoff spot (NL Central title or wild card) and has now won EIGHT of 10, while scoring a  total of 60 runs. The problem is, the Cubs return to the field of play tonight at Tampa Bay, owners of a six-game winning streak. As for the Rockies, their next nine games are against teams with losing records. Speaking of losing records, the Pirates have lost six in a row and 11 of their last 12 games, scoring two or fewer runs in seven of their last eight games.

Chase Anderson (10-3, 2.88 ERA) takes the mound for Milwaukee and will be opposed by Pittsburgh’s Trevor Williams (6-8, 4.26 ERA). Anderson has been a nice surprise for the Brewers, although the team has gone just 2-7 in his no-decisions, leaving the Milwaukee a disappointing 12-10 in all his starts, despite that excellent 2.88 ERA. Anderson has pitched well against Pittsburgh in his career, going 5-2 with a 3.20 ERA in 10 starts (teams are 6-4).

Williams lost to St Louis in his last outing and has dropped four of his last five decisions. He lasted just 4.1 innings against the Cardinals in his last outing, marking the third time in his last five outings that he has pitched five or fewer innings. Williams allowed three runs on six hits in six innings during a no-decision on June 21 in his lone career start against Milwaukee (0-0 with a 4.50 ERA / team is 0-1).

The Brewers are not going down without a fight, while the Pirates seeming can’t wait for October 1 (last day of the regular season). Anderson has won back-to-back starts, as well as three consecutive decisions, plus is 2-0 with a 2.43 ERA in two 2017 start against the Pirates. I’ll go with the road team.

Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees MLB Odds & Pick from Jack Jones: September 18th 2017

Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees
MLB Pick: Yankees -150 odds (September 18th 2017)

The New York Yankees are only three games behind the Boston Red Sox for first place in the AL East.  The Yankees have gone 7-2 in their last nine games overall and are playing great baseball coming into this series with the Minnesota Twins.

Jaime Garcia has come up big down the stretch for the Yankees, going 0-1 with a 2.63 ERA in his last three starts.  Garcia has faced the Twins once in his career, pitching 6 shutout innings for a 0.00 ERA.  I look for him to shut them down here at home Monday night.

Ervin Santana has come back down to reality in the second half of the season after a very lucky first half.  And Santana doesn’t enjoy facing the Yankees, going 6-9 with a 5.78 ERA and 1.522 WHIP in 19 career starts against them.

The Yankees are 60-33 in home night games over the last two seasons.  The Twins are 3-9 in their last 12 road games vs. a left-handed starter.  The Yankees are 5-0 in their last five games following a loss.  New York is 7-1 in its last eight vs. a right-handed starter.  Bet the Yankees Monday.

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49ers vs. Seahawks Week 2 NFL Spread Pick from Larry Ness: September 17th 2017

San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks
Week 2 NFL Point Spread Pick: Seattle -14 (September 17th 2017)

The San Francisco 49ers and Seattle Seahawks meet Sunday at CenturyLink Field, with both teams coming off Week 1 losses in which their respective offenses were unable to reach the end zone. The rebuilding 49ers under new general manager John Lynch and head coach Kyle Shanahan was able to generate only 217 yards of total offense in a 23-3 home loss to the Panthers, while the Seahawks, coming of five consecutive trips to the playoffs (six in seven years), mustered just three FGs and 225 total yards in a 17-9 opening week loss at Green Bay. The Seahawks lead the series 21-15, having won six straight games and eight of the past nine meetings.

San Francisco’s new starting QB is Brian Hoyer and he threw for only 193 yards (24 of 35 with one INT and four sacks) and did not lead the team to a touchdown. The Hoyer-led offense produced only 217 total yards. It sure didn’t help that the running game accounted for just 51 yards OR that San Francisco was playing from behind all game. The 49ers were 2-13 on third down and 1 of 4 on fourth down. Throw in 10 penalties for 74 yards. and you understand why QB Hoyer said, “(We) shot ourselves in the foot. We were battling uphill, and a lot of it had to do with our own mistakes and not so much exactly what they were doing.”

New Seattle RB Eddie Lacy gained just three yards on five carries and QB Russell Wilson also was mediocre with just 158 yards on 14-of-27 passing while operating behind an offensive line experiencing major issues (allowed three sacks and Wilson often had little time to throw). “Well, I think we can all be better,” Wilson told reporters. “It’s not just those guys. I’m the biggest critic of myself, I think there’s a couple of throws in there that I could hit and find a way to make those throws. I think winners find a way to win.”

As noted, Seattle has won six straight games in the series (6-0 ATS), as well as eight of the past nine meetings. Seattle is off a bitter loss to the Packers, meaning Shanahan’s Hoyer-led offense must solve one of the NFL’s top defenses in a stadium where the 49ers haven’t won since the before Russell Wilson’s 2012 rookie season. Seattle’s only victory during its last nine meetings with San Francisco (eight wins) that was decided by fewer than 10 points was 2016’s Week 17 game. Lay the big points!

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