Missouri Tigers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks
Betting Prediction: Arkansas -14 (November 27th 2015)
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Arkansas is coming off a tough one point loss last week against Mississippi St. which snapped a four-game winning streak. That four-game run put the Razorbacks at six wins which puts them into a bowl game for the second straight season. They started the season with a 1-3 record but two of those games were close and since then. They are 5-2 with the one loss against the Bulldogs and the other coming against Alabama. Missouri needs a win to become bowl eligible but the offense has been a disaster as they have scored 13 points or less in five of their last six games. The Tigers would like nothing more than to get into a bowl game and keep head coach Gary Pinkel around for a while longer but this is not a good matchup for that to happen as they will not be able to keep up. Arkansas falls into a great situation as we play on teams averaging 4.8 ypc going up teams averaging between 3.0 and 3.5 ypc, in conference games. This situation is 92-48 ATS (65.7 percent) over the last five seasons. Additionally, Arkansas is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 home games against teams averaging 310 or fewer ypg and 11-2 ATS in its last 13 home games after gaining 475 or more total ypg over their last three games. Meanwhile, the Tigers are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. Play (132) Arkansas Razorbacks
Oregon State Beavers vs. Oregon Ducks
College Football Pick: Oregon State +35 (November 27th 2015)
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This is not one you’d run to play, but it is one of college football’s oldest rivalry games. You have the tendency to throw things out at the end of the day. Oregon is getting so much credit for how they have played of late, but just a few weeks ago we were having a very different discussion. Oregon’s defense is still not above average, and I could see Oregon State taking big chances down field that will pay off in this game as Oregon’s secondary is a major weakness, and a big reason why they haven’t held any opponent under 20 points in a game. Oregon State’s players are treating this like a bowl game which means we will get max effort. If you are looking to play this like I am I would wait for the last possible second as I see this climbing to 37 or higher by game time. I also don’t see how Oregon gets up for this game, they don’t have anything to play for, they also just got done playing USC and Stanford so even though it’s a rivalry game I don’t see this team having great intensity. I would predict Oregon 49, Oregon State 27.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Stanford Cardinal
College Football Pick: Stanford -3.5 (November 28th 2015)
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The Notre Dame Fighting Irish are on the bubble as far as the playoffs are concerned, and they need a win here at Stanford, and possibly some help from teams like Nebraska, Penn State or TCU. The Cardinal’s playoff hopes are a little slimmer, but they’ve already punched a ticket to the PAC12 Championship Game, and a win over the Irish could keep them in the discussion. My money is on a Stanford team that has a far more impressive body of work.
Here are my keys to the game:
1. Christian McCaffrey – The Heisman hopeful ran for 192 yards on 29 carries last week, and he also rank back a 98 yard kick for a TD. He should find plenty of room to run against a Notre Dame team that surrendered 214 rushing yards to Boston College last week.
2. Injuries – The Irish are really banged up, and last week they lost leading rusher C.J. Prosise to a high ankle sprain. He’s not likely to play on Saturday versus Stanford.
3. X-Factor – The Cardinal are 38-17 ATS in their last 55 home games, and they’ve covered in seven of their last nine versus a team with a winning record.
Selection: This is a play on the Stanford Cardinal (Free)
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