Los Angeles Lakers vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
Pick: Lakers +8 -110 odds (May 16th 2012)
The Thunder made the Lakers look foolish in Game 1 of this Western Conference Semifinals matchup on Monday. But time and time again we saw the schizophrenic Lakers bounce back in their series against Denver when it looked like they were down for the count. We think that they will bounce back again tonight and play much better here in Game 2. The Game 1 loss was the worst for the Lakers this season and we think the public is overreacting to that result, which is why we are getting an even better number in Game 2 than was offered in Game 1 for the Lakers. Normally in Game 2 like this the team that lost would be given a little more credit from the oddsmakers in an obvious bounce-back situation. Kendrick Perkins injured his hip in Game 1 and is considered a game-time decision on Wednesday. If he is missing or limited the Lakers have a big advantage down low with Bynum and Gasol that they should be able to exploit. We think the Thunder played a near-perfect game in Game 1 and we just don’t see them putting up a similar effort in Game 2. The Thunder led the NBA in turnovers this season yet committed only four in the Game 1 win. Despite the Game 1 result we still think the bookies should have posted a lower line on this Game 2 since the Lakers are facing a real critical game tonight, especially with back-to-back games in LA coming up. -Doc’s Sports
MLB Picks: May 16th 2012
Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Indians
Pick: Seattle Mariners -113
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The Mariners have the edge on the mound with Hernandez, who is carrying a 2.29 ERA through 8 starts. Compare that to Cleveland’s Jimenez, who has a 5.17 ERA through 7 starts.
The fact the M’s are favored on the road versus a team with a winning record is significant. After all, they are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite and 6-0 in Hernandez’s last 6 starts as a road favorite. The Indians, meanwhile, are 9-21 in their last 30 games as a home underdog and 0-4 in Jimenez’s last 4 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.
The Mariners have won 4 of their last 5 in Cleveland, and I expect them to have continued success tonight with their ace on the hill.
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MLB Picks: May 15th 2012
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
Pick: New York Yankees -149
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Few starters in this league have owned any one time quite like C.C. Sabathia has owned the Baltimore Orioles. I look for Sabathia to continue his success against the Orioles tonight as the Yankees look to pull withing a half-game of Baltimore in the AL East.
Sabathia has been brilliant again this season, going 5-0 with a 3.51 ERA and 1.071 WHIP in seven starters. The left-hander is 3-0 with a 1.50 ERA and 0.875 WHIP in his last three outings. Sabathia is 16-2 with a 2.86 ERA and 1.100 WHIP in 23 career starts against Baltimore.
Wei-Yin Chen is off to a solid starts for the Orioles, but teams are starting to get a scouting report on him now. Chen also gave up 4 runs in 5 2/3 innings in his lone start against the Yankees on April 10th, which resulted in a 5-4 New York victory. The Yankees are batting .288 and scoring 5.7 runs/game against left-handed starters in 2012.
Sabathia is 20-2 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. The Yankees are 50-18 in Sabathia’s last 68 starts overall. New York is 12-1 in Sabathia’s last 13 starts against the Orioles, including 8-0 in his last 8 starts at Baltimore. Bet the Yankees Tuesday.
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Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox
Prediction: Detroit Tigers -126 odds (May 14th 2012)
MLB Free Play for Doc’s Sports: Monday May 14th 2012- Take #977 Detroit over Chicago White Sox (8:10pm est): Detroit Tigers rookie starter Drew Smyly has taken the American League by storm to begin his career with now six straight quality starts and having not allowed more than two runs in any one of those first six games. Just as impressive as that is who Smyly has done this against also including a six inning, seven strikeout, no walk performance against these very same Chicago White Sox’s just ten days ago.
Speaking of Chicago, they have really struggled against left-handers all season, ranking near the bottom of the league with just a .193 batting average against them. They come into this game having only scored one run in their last two contests overall. They hand the ball to left-hander John Danks here in this one. Danks has really struggled to begin this season with ERA just below 6.00 for the year. Don’t be fooled by his last start either as Danks only struck out just one guy and walked three overall in the game.
No reason to treat Smyly as anything less than a very good starter right now. Getting him at this price against one of the worst offense’s in all of baseball versus lefties and going up against a guy pitching as poorly as Danks has been this season, is great value here. Take Detroit here in this one. Courtesy of Doc’s Sports
MLB Picks: May 14th 2012
Oakland Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels
Pick: Over 7
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Even though the A’s and Angels have both struggled offensively early this season, I think these two teams will easily surpass 7 runs tonight.
The A’s will send out Tyson Ross, who is 0-3 with a 13.15 ERA and 2.385 WHIP in his last three starts. In his last two road starts, he has allowed 16 runs on 20 hits in just over 7 innings of work. I would be shocked if the Angels didn’t put at least 5 runs in this game.
Los Angeles will counter with Dan Haren, who isn’t quite himself. Haren has been dealing with a bad back, and has struggled as a result. He is just 1-2 with a 4.34 ERA in his last three starts, giving up 5 runs in each of his last two starts. Get more MLB picks from Steve Janus each day at Touthouse.com
I wouldn’t be surprised at all if these two teams didn’t go over the posted total by the fifth inning. The OVER is 5-1-1 in Harens last 7 starts during game 1 of a series and 4-0 in Athletics last 4 during game 1 of a series. BET THE OVER!
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