Texas Rangers vs. Baltimore Orioles
MLB Pick: Texas +125 odds (June 29th 2015)
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The Rangers lost two of three in Toronto as the offense continues to fizzle. Texas scored two runs in the two losses and going back, it has scored three runs or less in eight of its last 10 games, averaging just 2.5 rpg over that 10-game stretch. The pitching has held up for the most part but the last of offense has pushed the Rangers back to .500 overall and five games behind the Astros in the American League West. Baltimore continues to surge as a three-game sweep over Cleveland extended its winning streak to four games overall and five straight at home. Additionally, the Orioles are 7-1 over their last eight games and dating back to their last homestand, they are 10-1 over their last 11 home games. Bud Norris has been involved in just one of those home games however and he was fortunate to get nine runs of support as it was an average outing against the Yankees. In four home starts, Baltimore is 3-1 but not because he has pitched well but because he has received 5, 7, 18 and 9 runs along the way. He has a 7.97 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in those games. Texas turns to Wandy Rodriguez who looks to shake off a horrible outing last time out where he allowed eight runs in four innings against Oakland. It was just the third time this season he has allowed more than three runs and he followed the other two up with quality outings that turned into victories. The Rangers are 7-0 in his last seven starts as an underdog. Play (907) Texas Rangers
New York Yankees vs. Houston Astros
MLB Pick: Houston -105 odds (June 28th 2015)
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The Houston Astros have dropped the last two games of this series to the Yankees. There’s no question they’ll be motivated to avoid losing the four-game set by earning a Game 4 victory Sunday. Houston sends Collin McHugh to the mound this afternoon. The right-hander is 8-3 with a 4.42 ERA and 1.324 WHIP in 15 starts. He has never faced the Yankees, which will be to his advantage today. Michael Pineda is getting too much respect from the books. He is 8-4 with a 4.25 ERA and 1.276 WHIP in 14 starts this year. Pineda is 4-2 with a 5.05 ERA and 1.486 WHIP in six road starts, and 1-2 with an 8.79 ERA and 1.814 WHIP in his last three outings overall. The Astros are 12-2 in their last 14 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Houston is 10-2 in McHugh’s last 12 home starts. Take Houston.
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Kansas City Royals vs. Oakland Athletics
MLB Pick: Oakland A’s -157 odds (June 28th 2015)
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I’m recommending a play on the A’s as they look to avoid the home sweep at the hands of the KC Royals. I believe they’ll stave off the sweep, facing a very hittable Jeremy Guthrie. The Royals right-hander has allowed more hits than innings pitched in 11 of his 14 starts this season, including his last outing, a disaster in Seattle. Guthrie enters with a 5.90 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, and a .308 BAA in 14 starts this season. His road numbers are even worse, including an ERA over 8.00 in seven starts. Oakland counters with Jesse Chavez, whose record isn’t nearly indicative of how well he has pitched this season. While his record says 4-6, Chavez has posted a 2.90 ERA & 1.15 WHIP in 16 appearances this season. With his offense facing Guthrie, I expect the Oakland righty to get some run support. Chavez was getting no help from his teammates at one point this season, but the A’s have crushed opposing pitching in his last two starts. The 31-year old has been terrific at home and I expect more of the same in this one. The A’s are on a 10-4 run against right-handers and KC enters on a 0-4 slide when Guthrie is listed as an underdog. I’m recommending a play on the Oakland A’s on Sunday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
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