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Home > NFL Picks > 49ers vs. Cardinals Week 4 Point Spread Pick from Will Rogers: October 1st 2017

49ers vs. Cardinals Week 4 Point Spread Pick from Will Rogers: October 1st 2017

San Francisco 49ers vs. Arizona Cardinals
Week 4 NFL Point Spread Pick: Arizona -6.5 points (October 1st 2017)

The set-up: The San Francisco 49ers were 2-14 in 2016 (only the 1-15 Browns were worse and opened the 2017 season by losing 23-3 at home to Carolina 23-3 and 12-9 in Seattle. However, while the 49ers would fall to 0-3 with a Week 3 home loss to the Rams, the offensively-challenged 49ers put up 39 points in that Thursday night affair while losing 41-39 when they failed to tie the game on a late two-point conversion try. San Francisco will travel down to Glendale, Arizona on Sunday to take on the 1-2 Arizona Cardinals at University of Phoenix Stadium. The Cardinals look like a vastly different team than the one that played in the NFC championship game just two seasons ago (in 2015, after a 13-3 regular season), opening 1-2 with their lone win coming 16-13 in OT against the Indianapolis Colts. That victory has been sandwiched between losses to Detroit 35-23 and Dallas 28-17.

San Francisco: The 49ers finally woke up on offense against the Rams, as QB Brian Hoyer passed for 332 yards with two TDs, after he had thrown for only 292 yards in the team’s first two games. After scoring just 12 points in opening 0-2, the 49ers scored 39 points and rolled up 421 yards. However, after allowing just 35 points in the season’s first two weeks (and coming off holding Seattle to just 12 points), the Rams ran up 41 points on the Niners and if LA hadn’t made some major mistakes down the stretch, the contest would not have been as close as it wound up in the final score.

Arizona: QB Carson Palmer finished 29-of-48 for 325 yards and two TDs against Dallas (WR Larry Fitzgerald had 13 receptions for 149 yards and a TD). Palmer has 925 yards passing (Arizona ranks 3rd in passing YPG at 284.0) but Chris Johnson is the Cardinals’ top rusher with just 61 yards on 23 attempts. It’s clear that the Cardinals are really feeling the absence of star RB David Johnson, who is out indefinitely after suffering a dislocated wrist in the season opener. Arizona is 31st in a 32-team league in rushing, averaging 59.0 YPG. The defense allows 309.0 YPG to rank 9th but unfortunately, ranks much higher in the more important points allowed category at 26th, allowing 25.3 per game.

The pick: No one (even San Fran themselves) expected the 49rers to do much in 2017 but for the Cardinals, this game could be described as a “desperate time which calls for desperate measures!” At 1-2, a home loss to the pathetic 49ers would all but doom Arizona’s season by Week 4. Arizona has won five of the six meetings in the last three years against division rival San Francisco, with the only loss coming in a meaningless Week 17 contest in 2014. The Cardinals are not the 13-3 team of 2015 but we’ll find out here if they have any designs on being a better team than last year’s 7-8-1 edition. Lay the points!

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