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Home > MLB Picks > Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals Odds & Pick from Larry Ness: May 17th 2017

Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals Odds & Pick from Larry Ness: May 17th 2017

Boston Red Sox vs. St. Louis Cardinals
MLB Betting Pick: Boston -110 odds (May 17th 2017)
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Mookie Betts was the AL Player of the Week last week and opened the new week by homering and driving in two runs in Boston’s 6-3 victory on Tuesday at St. Louis. Betts batted .375 with three HRs and 11 RBI in six games last week and looks to lead the Red Sox to a two-sweep of their IL series with the Cardinals on Wednesday. Boston is just 20-18 on the season overall (four games back in the AL East), while the Cards fell to 2-2 on their eight-game homestand, leaving them at 21-16 but a half-game ahead of the Brewers for the top spot in the NL Central.

Tonight’s pitching matchup features Rick Porcello (2-5, 4.01 ERA) for Boston and Mike Leake (4-2, 1.94 ERA) for St Louis. Porcello has lost five of his last six starts, including an outing against Tampa Bay on Friday in which he yielded five runs (three earned) on nine hits over six innings. The reigning American League Cy Young Award winner is surely not having the kind of seson Boston had expected but I’ll note that he has given up three earned runs or less in four of his five losses this season. Porcello has made only two career starts against St Louis, going 1-1 with a solid 2.13 ERA.

Leake suffered his first loss in five decisions on Friday, despite allowing only two runs in six innings, although he matched a season high with three walks. Leake has only faced  Boston twice in his career and is 0-1 with a 5.25 ERA (teams are 0-2).

Bottom line is, Leake is no more than a journeyman pitcher who has so far in 2017, pitched over his head. Porcello is less than one-year removed from winning the Cy Young award and has pitched better in 2017 than his record shows. Ill back the Red Sox.

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