UC Santa Barbara vs. Long Beach State
College Basketball Pick: UC Santa Barbara +8.5 (February 22nd 2012)
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Early in the season many thought this game would have some big implications toward the Big West regular season championship but this now not the case. Long Beach St. has pretty much run away with the title although it is not mathematically over. The 49ers are a perfect 12-0 in the conference with four games remaining and they possess a three-game lead so barring a serious meltdown, they will be the top seed heading into the conference tournament.
Santa Barbara is 9-3 in the Big West and it knows the race is not over year as it still has a chance to catch the 49ers. It will need some help along the way but most important, it needs to take car of its own business first and foremost. The Gauchos have been playing very consistent basketball and are in the midst of their best run of the season as they have won six of their last seven games with five of those victories coming on the road. They are coming off a Bracketbuster win Saturday at Utah St.
Even though it may mean little at this point, Long Beach St. is coming off a gut wrenching loss at Creighton on Saturday as they lost on a last-second bucket. It snapped a 12-game winning streak and a tough loss like that can carry forward. The 49ers have yet to lose at home this season so the undefeated record there as well in conference play may look like it doesn’t give the Gauchos a chance to win but we are getting a very healthy line and one that Santa Barbara can easily stay within.
That doesn’t mean the Gauchos can’t win this game outright. They will no doubt be fired up for this game following the first meeting where it was hammered at home by the 49ers by 23 points which is its worst loss of the season and they have played some other very strong teams along the way. Long Beach St. has owned this series spread-wise but this is easily the biggest number it has laid in a very long time. The 49ers are just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a win against the number. 3* (607) Santa Barbara Gauchos. Get more college basketball picks for February 22nd 2012 from Matt Fargo at Touthouse.com
College Basketball Picks: February 21st 2012
Michigan vs. Northwestern
Betting Pick: Northwestern Wildcats -2
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I look for Michigan to struggle on the road tonight after that huge win over Ohio State at home on Saturday. It’s extremely hard to win on the road in the Big Ten, and even harder coming off such an emotional game. Not to mention Northwestern is a lot better than they get credit for.
The Wildcats nearly upset Michigan on the road earlier this season, falling 64-66 as 7-point underdogs. That’s pretty impressive considering they are just 5-7 on the road this season. Northwestern is 11-3 at home with that huge win over Michigan State back in the middle of January. Michigan is simply not the same team on the road. They are just 5-7 away from home with losses to the likes of Iowa and Arkansas.
Northwestern 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record, while Michigan is just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. BET THE WILDCATS!
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Ohio State vs. Michigan
College Basketball Prediction: Michigan +5.5 (February 18th 2012)
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The Wolverines aren’t getting the respect they deserve with this line. Ohio State won the season’s first meeting by 15 points Jan. 29, but Michigan is a different team at home where it is 14-0 with a 12.5-point average margin of victory. Ohio State just lost to a Michigan State team at home by double digits that Michigan defeated on its home floor. This tells me the Wolverines can certainly get the job done tonight.
Michigan has been a terrific investment at 36-17-1 ATS in its last 54 games overall. It is 34-16-1 ATS in its last 51 games as an underdog, 20-7 ATS in their last 27 home games and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games as a home underdog. It is also worth noting that the Wolverines are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 6.5 points or less.
Ohio State has been heavily overvalued in this series and is just 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings as a result despite going 6-1 SU. We’ll take the points as Michigan has an excellent opportunity to win this one outright. Get more college basketball predictions for February 18th 2012 from Jimmy Boyd at Touthouse.com
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Minnesota vs. Northwestern
College Basketball Pick: Northwestern -4 (February 18th 2012)
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The Northwestern Wildcats are one of the most underrated teams in the country this season. Northwestern still has an outside shot at making the Big Dance, and they’ll need a win Saturday and a solid finish to earn a berth.
The Wildcats will not be short on motivation tonight after losing at Minnesota in their first meeting of the season. Northwestern is 10-3 at home this season, outscoring opponents by 9.4 points/game. I look for the Gophers to suffer a hangover from their 68-78 home loss to Ohio State last time out.
Minnesota is 1-11 ATS when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last 2 seasons. The Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The Gophers are 6-18-2 ATS in their last 26 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
The home team has won 10 straight meetings in this series. The home team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings, and the Wildcats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home meetings with the Gophers. Bet Northwestern Saturday. Get more college basketball picks for February 18th 2012 from Jack Jones at Touthouse.com
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Texas vs. Oklahoma State
College Basketball Pick: Oklahoma State (February 18th 2012)
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Oklahoma St. does not possess the same home floor strength as in year’s past but it is still pretty solid. The Cowboys are 9-3 at home this season and those three losses were actually pretty respectable as it started with a six-point loss against Virginia Tech and then an eight-point loss against Kansas St. and closing with a four-point loss against Baylor. Oklahoma St. does have strong home wins against Missouri and Iowa St. so it is more than capable of pulling off another big one.
Texas has won four straight games after losing five of six games previous to that so it has picked a good time to pick up its game. The Longhorns are still pretty suspect in my opinion as they have been involved in a lot of close games and while they have been on the right side of the majority of those, this is not the dominating team we have seen in the past. Texas is a not tournament lock either as it is projected as a number 11 seed. This is not a must win though as it will not be a quality win nor will it be a non-quality loss.
This game should mean a lot more to Oklahoma St. as the Cowboys will be out to avenge an earlier loss in Texas. The Cowboys offense is not a strong unit this season but they were held to 49 points in that first meeting which is their lowest point total on the season and teams take that personally. Since head coach Travis Ford took over as head coach at Oklahoma St., the Cowboys have a 52-8 record at home. Of those eight losses, six have been against ranked Big XII opponents and Texas does not fall into that category.
Oklahoma St. has been playing solid defense and one big factor in its favor is its free throw shooting which can often make or break a game, or in our case, a cover. The Cowboys are second in the Big XII and 21st in the country in free throw percentage at 75.6 percent. In conference games only, that percentage improves to 81.9 percent, which leads the Big XII. Oklahoma St. is 4-0 ATS in its last four games following a non cover while Texas is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games against teams with a losing record. 3* (556) Oklahoma St. Cowboys. Don’t miss out on Matt Fargo’s premium college basketball picks on February 18th 2012.
