Duke vs. Louisville
Elite Eight Betting Pick: Louisville -3.5 -110 odds (March 31st 2013)
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The Cardinals have shown why they are the No. 1 overall seed in the NCAA Tournament. They won their first two games against North Carolina A&T (79-48) and Colorado State (82-56) by a combined 57 points.

Louisville went on to beat Oregon (77-69) in the Sweet 16 in a game that was a bigger blowout than the final score would indicate. It jumped out to a 24-8 lead and never looked back against the Ducks.

While Duke has posted three straight double-digit victories, I look for its guards to struggle with Louisville’s press. Having only one day to prepare for it is simply not enough, which is why I like the Cardinals to advance to the Final Four for a second straight year.

The Cardinals have forced 20 or more turnovers in five of their last eight games overall. Their defense has been playing at a very high level over the past month, which is a big reason why they are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall.

Duke is 1-9 ATS after 3 straight games – allowing a shooting pct. of 40% or less over the last 3 seasons. The Blue Devils are 0-8 ATS after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Louisville is 15-3 ATS when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons. This trend just goes to show how the Cardinals’ style is so tough to beat in these tournament games. Bet Louisville Sunday. Be sure to buy Jack Jones’ premium elite eight betting picks on March 31st 2013 from Touthouse.com

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Oregon Ducks vs. Louisville Cardinals
Betting Prediction: Louisville -10 -110 odds (March 29th 2013)
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Ryan nailed his 25* Upset Alert w/Marquette destroying Miami (Fla) and at one point were covering by 27 points in the second half. He has another 25* winner where he strongly believes the outcome will be quite similar. Featured is his full research report including an 80% ATS condition.

10* graded play on Louisville as they take on Oregon in the Sweet 16 Round of the NCAA Tournament. The simulator shows a high probability that Louisville will win this game by 15 or more points. Louisville is vastly better at both ends of the court, especially on defense. Oregon has not played against this type of stifling defense. Louisville will certainly disrupt the flow of the Oregon offense that has struggled mightily at times this season. The Ducks are a poor ball handling team and guard play is always an important factor in these final rounds of the Tournament. Ducks rank 227th in the nation posting a 0.868 assist-to-turnover ratio and will be matched up against he best with Louisville posting a 0.532 opponent assist-to-turnover ratio. Louisville has averaged 11.0 steals per game that ranks second in the nation. SIM underscores these advantages with numerous projections. Louisville is projected to attempt between 54 and 62 shots, will make between 40 and 46% of their shot attempts, will make between 31 and 37% of their 3-point shot attempts, will make between 72 and 78% of their free throws, will have between 9 and 13 offensive rebounds, will commit at least three fewer turnovers than Oregon, and will score between 67 and 74 points. In past games, Louisville is a rock solid 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games when they attempt 54 to 62 shots in a game this season; 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game over the last 2 seasons.10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games when they make 31% to 37% of their three point attempts in a game over the last 2 seasons; 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when they make 72% to 78% of their free throws in a game over the last 2 seasons. 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) when they grab 9 to 13 offensive rebounds in a game this season; 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games when they commit 3 to 7 fewer turnovers than opponents spanning the last 3 seasons; 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games when they score 67 to 74 points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Take Louisville.

Sweet Sixteen Tournament Picks: March 28th 2013
Syracuse vs. Indiana
Prediction: Syracuse +5.5
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I’ll side with the dog tonight in what I believe is a very evenly-matched game between Indiana and Syracuse. Both teams are very strong inside and out, and I look for this one to go right down to the wire.

Syracuse has saved its best basketball for last. It made it to the Big East Championship Game before running out of gas against Louisville playing its 4th game in 4 days. The Orange have beaten Montana and California in the first two rounds of the NCAA Tournament by a combined 53 points.

Indiana was ousted in the semifinals of the Big Ten Tournament 56-68 by Wisconsin. It trailed throughout against Temple in the Round of 32 before rallying in the final minutes to pull out a 58-52 victory. This team is clearly vulnerable, and it has been overvalued as evidenced by the fact that it is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games overall.

The Orange don’t get enough credit for how good they are defensively. They only allow 59.4 points/game on 37.3% shooting this year. They also defend the 3-pointer as well as anyone in the country, allowing just 28.9% from 3-point range. That’s key against an Indiana team that shoots 40.8% from beyond the arc. Be sure to purchase Jack Jones expert sweet sixteen tournament picks for March 28th 2013 at touthouse.com

Syracuse is 27-13 ATS as a neutral court underdog or pick since 1997. Indiana is 7-18-2 ATS in its last 27 neutral site games. The Hoosiers are 0-6 ATS in road games after a game being called for 10+ less fouls than opponent over the last 3 seasons. Indiana is 2-9 ATS when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games this season. Bet Syracuse Thursday.

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Florida vs. Florida Gulf Coast (March 29th 2013 9:57 PM ET)
NCAAB Odds: Florida -12 Over/Under 133
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Analysis: The Florida Gulf Coast Eagles (26-10 SU, 6-0 ATS) are the talk of the tournament college basketball fanatics and for good reason! The ‘Dunk City’ ballclub is apparently a lot better than anyone could have ever expected – and now, I like them to cover the double-digit point spread against the formidable No. 3 Florida Gators (28-7 SU, 18-14 ATS).

Florida Gulf Coast has looked absolutely phenomenal in beating Georgetown 78-68 and San Diego State 81-71 and as head coach Andy Enfield correctly pointed out, the Eagles have faced a string of elite defensive ballclubs, so I’m not expecting them to fall apart against the Gators – or lose by a dozen points in this contest

I know Florida pounded Minnesota 78-64 the last time out after routing Northwestern 79-47 in its opener, but Florida Gulf Coast plays an up-tempo game in which they are always seemingly relaxed – and I think the Gators may find themselves taken aback by their looseness.

Both of these teams average right around 72.0 points per game, but the Gators allow a whopping 13.6 fewer points per game defensively, giving them the huge edge here.

Still, I like Florida Gulf Coast to continue its eye-opening play while putting a very serious scare into the Gators as they easily cover the huge spread.

The Eagles have yet to lose a neutral site game this season (5-0) and have gone 9-0 ATS in their last nine such games and 8-0 ATS in their last eight games against a team with a winning SU record.

The Gators, for all of their outstanding defense, are just 2-5 ATS in their L/7 games following an SU win and 3-7 ATS in its L/10 games against a team with a winning SU record.

Keep it simple and back the impressive Florida Gulf Coast Eagles to cover the spread.

NCAA Tournament Pick: Florida Gulf Coast +12 Points