Eastern Washington vs. Portland State
Basketball Prediction: E.Washington +4.5 -110 odds (February 18th 2013)
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10* graded play on Eastern Washington as they take on Portland State in Big Sky Conference action set to start at 10:30 PM ET. The simulator shows a high probability that EWU will lose this game by five or fewer points. In games like this where the sim has graded a significant dog with realistic opportunities to win the game I like using a combination wager. So, consider a 7* amount on the line and a 3* amount using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a proven system posting a 56-24 ATS mark for 70% winners since 2007. Play on road dogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points after 2 or more consecutive wins and is a struggling team winning 20% to 40% of their games on the season. Sim projects that EWU will score between 67 and 74 pints and will have 34 to 39 rebounds. In past games this is very good news noting they are 37-19 ATS (+16.1 Units) in road games when they grab 34 to 39 rebounds in a game since 1997; 55-35 ATS (+16.5 Units) when they score 67 to 74 points in a game since 1997. Take Eastern Washington.
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Basketball Pick: Pittsburgh -10 -110 odds (February 18th 2013)
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The Pittsburgh Panthers will be highly motivated for a win when they hit the court Monday night. They’ll host the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, who are one of the most overrated teams in the country in my opinion.
Pitt will be looking to bounce back from its 69-79 loss at Marquette on Saturday. It had been playing very well prior to that contest, winning seven of its previous eight with its only loss coming at Louisville 61-64. It also wants revenge on the Fighting Irish after losing each of its last four meetings in this series.
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Notre Dame clearly isn’t as good as its 20-6 record would indicate. It has played three overtime games in its last five contests, winning all three, which includes two victories over lowly DePaul. It lost the other two on the road via blowout to Syracuse (47-63) and Providence (54-71). The Fighting Irish will be exposed on the road once again tonight against a superior Panthers squad.
The Fighting Irish are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Notre Dame is 6-14 ATS in its last 20 games following a S.U. loss. The Fighting Irish are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. The Panthers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss. Bet Pittsburgh Monday.
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College Basketball Picks: February 16th 2013
Missouri vs. Arkansas
Prediction: Over 156
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Free College Basketball Prediction From Doc’s Sports: Take OVER in Missouri at Arkansas (4 p.m., Saturday, Feb. 16) But pretty much no matter what this numbers comes in at it won’t be high enough. This is actually going to be an emotional game. Missouri will head to Lafayette to take on its former coach, Mike Anderson, and the Hogs. Missouri will want to beat its coach for abandoning them, and Arkansas will want to win and keep improving its impressive home court record under Anderson. Both of these teams press, trap, run, gun and fly all over the place for 40 minutes. There are a lot of very talented guards on the court, and because neither team has a bevy of big men each squad should be able to get to the basket for easy buckets at will. And, because of the emotion involved, you can expect this one to be extra crazy and played at an even faster pace. Missouri hasn’t been great on the road, but I have a hard time seeing them stay under 75 in this one. They scored 98 against Mississippi, 91 against Auburn, and 70 at LSU in the last two weeks. Arkansas goes bonkers at home as well (ask Florida), scoring 80 against Florida, 73 against a Tennessee team that slows it down, 96 against Miss State and 88 against Auburn (in OT). Those are just their last four home games. I have to think that both teams flirt with the 80s, and unless this total comes in higher than 157 I am thinking OVER here.
Cornell vs. Yale
Betting Prediction: Yale -4.5 -110 odds (February 15th 2013)
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Free Play from Doc’s Sports: Take #804 Yale over Cornell (7:00pm est): If not for tonight’s huge eight unit play in CBB action I would have added this game to tonight’s card but felt like we didn’t want too much risk out there for the night overall.
Yale comes in off two big road wins in their last two contests and overall they have played very well in three of their last four games (all away from home). This is a team who has played an extremely tough schedule this year and despite that they have hung around in quite a few of those games. Playing only their 7th home game of the entire season, the Bulldogs are 4-2 overall at home on the year with one of those losses coming against mighty Florida. They also just went toe to toe with Harvard a few games back and are coming off a big road win against other conference powerhouse Princeton in their last game. Though not in the same group as Harvard and Princeton in the Ivy League, Yale always fields a strong team and sits right behind these two squads in this conference.
Cornell comes in off a much needed win as they beat Dartmouth on Sunday in easy fashion. The Big Red program is still trying to get back to where they were a few years ago but they still look to be a bit behind the top two tiers of Ivy League squads. Cornell’s wins this season have mostly come against lower level teams with only one of their eleven victories coming against a team rated better than Yale. Even their losses have been mostly struggles also as just one of the twelve have come by less than four points and the closest they have come in a road defeat this season has been by 11 points with all six road defeats being by double digits or more. When Cornell gets beat it’s usually pretty ugly.
Yale is just too strong and should be able to handle this Cornell team here in this one. Play Yale minus the points here.