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Archive for the ‘College Football Picks’ Category

NCAAF Pick: Teddy Covers betting UCLA -2 points on October 14th 2017

UCLA Bruins vs. Arizona Wildcats
College Football Pick: UCLA -2 (October 14th 2017)

Bye weeks are very meaningful in college football.  Banged up players get a chance to get healthy.  Coaches have extra time to shore up flaws and prepare gameplans.  Players get a much needed break and tend to come back with full focus.  As we approach the college football season’s halfway point, we should take note to adjust power ratings up a notch or two for teams coming off their break.

UCLA is in that exact situation this week.  The Bruins faced a brutal non-conference slate, including Texas A&M and Memphis.  They opened their PAC-12 slate with Stanford and Colorado.  The Arizona team they’ll face on Saturday Night is as weak as any foe they’ve seen all year, with the lone exception of Hawaii.  And it’s surely worth noting that the Bruins beat Hawaii 56-23, covering the spread as 24 point favorites.

The Bruins defense currently ranks #128 in the country against the run, allowing 284 yards per game and 6.3 yards per carry, truly awful numbers.  But those season long stats don’t tell the true story of what we can expect from UCLA on Saturday.  Injured defensive starters Jaelan Phillips, Lokeni Toailoa and Dechaun Holiday are all expected back on the field this week; a SIGNIFICANT upgrade for their Front Seven on ‘D’.

That matters, a lot, because Arizona might have found themselves a QB last week.  Sophomore Khalil Tate was mostly a running threat as a true frosh last year, attempting only 45 pass attempts for the season.  Tate was injured over the summer and didn’t get a chance to compete for the starting job.  But he’s healthy now and coming off a truly brilliant starting debut, rushing for more than 300 yards while compiling a QB rating of 217.2, throwing only one incomplete pass all day.

Can Tate do it again, or is he just a one hit wonder?  Here’s what UCLA head coach Jim Mora had to say: “It’s like playing a wildcat offense with a quarterback that can throw. We have to play hard but play with patience, play with speed but play with patience, and that’s sometimes a difficult combination. But we’ve been working really hard on it, and our guys have a great understanding of what we’re up against.”

UCLA’s defense should be better with three key starters back. They’ve got film on Tate to work with and extra time to prep for Rich Rodriguez’s attack.  The Bruins own offense is loaded with quality skill position talent, and QB Josh Rosen is still very much alive to be the first QB chosen in the draft next spring.  And Arizona’s defense is a long, long way from being an elite unit, capable of shutting the Bruins down.

Let’s not forget about the head-to-head matchup record between Jim Mora and RichRod!  In five previous meetings between these two head coaches, Mora is 5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS, covering the spread by an AVERAGE of more than 19 points per game.  Now that’s a track record worthy of support!  Recommendation: Take UCLA.

Teddy is primed to deliver the goods in the NFL this week, locked and loaded with three rock solid Sunday winners along with four strong college football winners for Saturday!  Don’t miss a single ‘right side’ cash!

Northwestern vs. Maryland Football Spread Pick from Scott Spreitzer: October 14th 2017

Northwestern Wildcats vs. Maryland Terrapins
College Football Point Spread Pick: NW -3 (October 14th 2017)

I’m laying the points with Northwestern over Maryland on Saturday afternoon. Cluster injuries are bad no matter where they take place on a football team, but when it happens to the QB position, there’s simply no way of making up ground and picking up the slack. Maryland was already down their top two QBs and now may have lost their third. Young Max Bortenschlager was forced into action the last few games due to injuries to those in front of him, but he’s now banged-up after suffering a head injury.  Bortenschlager is listed as questionable for this contest.

If he can’t go, the Terps will be down to their 4th string QB, a transfer from North Carolina.  If he plays, we’re fine with laying the points as the young signal caller has not intimidated any defensive backfields.  Maryland was already ranked 122nd through the air and 108th in total yards gained per game. The Maryland pass defense isn’t much better, allowing over 36 ppg.  I expect the Terps to be “just what the doctor ordered” for Northwestern to climb back to .500 and claim their first conference win of the season.  The Wildcats have covered 11 of their last 15 road games and we’ll back them here.  I’m backing Northwestern minus the points.  Thanks & GL!  Scott Spreitzer.

Boise State vs. San Diego State Point Spread Pick from Mark Franco: October 14th 2017

Boise State Broncos vs. San Diego State Aztecs
College Football Point Spread Pick: San Diego State -7 (October 14th 2017)

Off to its best start since 1975 and armed with its highest ranking since 1978, unbeaten San Diego State has its sights set on a New Year’s Six bowl. The 18th-ranked Aztecs face perhaps their biggest obstacle in that regard when they host Boise State in Mountain West play on Saturday night.

The Aztecs, led by Heisman Trophy contender Rashaad Penny, have won back-to-back Mountain West championships, but head coach Rocky Long says most people east of the Rocky Mountains “know who Boise State is and they don’t know who the rest of us are. … Those people associate our league with Boise because of history.” Never mind, as Long is quick to point out, that the Broncos, also known for their home blue “Smurf Turf”, have reached the Mountain West title game just once in the past four years and have lost five league games over the last two years.

Broncos are 2-8 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Aztecs are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS win. Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings.