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Auburn vs. Oklahoma Bowl Game Point Spread Pick from Jack Jones: January 2nd 2017

Auburn Tigers vs. Oklahoma Sooners
Bowl Game Point Spread Pick: Oklahoma -1.5 points (January 2nd 2017)
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It’s a simple fact that if Oklahoma would have scheduled a few cupcakes in the non-conference instead of Houston and Ohio State, they probably would have gone 12-0 and made the four-team playoff. They clearly weren’t hitting on all cylinders in the early going, but those two losses awoke them, and they have been dominant ever since.

Going a perfect 9-0 in Big 12 action is no small feat. And not only have the Sooners run the table, they have been dominant along the way. They were only outgained once in conference action all season, which came in a 56-28 beat down of West Virginia in which the Mountaineers racked up a bunch of yards in garbage time with the game decided already.

That win, plus a 38-20 victory over Oklahoma State to close out the season in which the Sooners outgained the Cowboys by 226 yards, were their two most impressive victories of the season. So they come in hitting on all cylinders, and after losing to Clemson in the playoff last year, they want to end the season on a high note with their 10th straight victory.

The SEC was way down this season, and Auburn benefited from that. The Tigers didn’t exactly finish the season hitting on all cylinders like Oklahoma. They were outgained by 16 yards in a 40-29 win at Ole Miss, only beat Vanderbilt 23-16 as 25-point favorites and only outgained them by 45 yards, were outgained by 179 yards in a 7-13 loss at Georgia, and were outgained by 319 yards in a 12-30 loss at Alabama. Those four performances, plus a blowout win over lowly Alabama A&M, were how the Tigers finished the season.

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Oklahoma has a massive edge on offense in this one. The Sooners boast QB Baker Mayfield, who finished third in the Heisman Trophy voting after throwing for 3,669 yards and 38 touchdowns against only eight interceptions. Dede Westbrook, the Big 12 Offensive Player of the Year, had 74 catches for 1,465 yards and 16 touchdowns. They have the two-headed monster of Joe Mixon and Samaje Perine in the backfield as well.

I would definitely give the edge to Auburn on defense, but it’s worth noting that the Sooners played some great D down the stretch. They held their last five opponents to 28 points or fewer and an average of only 19.8 points per game. Playing in the Big 12, that’s very impressive to give up fewer than 20 points per game over a five-game sample.

Oklahoma is 6-0 ATS after two straight wins by 17 or more points over the last three seasons. The Sooners are 10-2 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last two years. Oklahoma is 10-2 ATS vs. good teams who outscore opponents by 10-plus points per game over the last two years.  Bet Oklahoma Monday.

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Michigan vs. Florida State Orange Bowl Over-Under & Point Spread Pick: December 30th 2016

Michigan Wolverines vs. Florida State Seminoles – 8:00pm ET December 30th 2016

Point Spread: The Michigan Wolverines are a 7 point favorite over the Florida State Seminoles in the 2016 Capital One Orange Bowl. The over/under for this game is 51 points. (Note: total opened at 56.5)

Public Perception: 51% of the betting public are wagering on the Wolverines to cover the point spread against the Seminoles. 51% also believe that this game will go over the posted total of 51 points.

Recent Performance: Michigan ended on a 8-2 winning streak for this season, losing their last game of the season in overtime to Ohio State by a score of 27-30. Florida State won their last 4 games of the year decisively with wins over Florida (31-13), Syracuse (45-14), BC (45-7) and NC State 24-20. The last time these two team played was all the way back in 1991. FSU was a 2.5 point underdog and beat MICH by a score of 51-31. The total for that game was 47 points.

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Side Betting Trends: Florida State is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win. Florida State is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Florida State is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. Florida State is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Michigan is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Michigan is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.

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Over/Under Betting Trends: Over is 4-0 in Wolverines last 4 non-conference games. Over is 4-0 in Wolverines last 4 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Over is 11-2 in Wolverines last 13 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 8-2 in Wolverines last 10 neutral site games.

Head-to-Head Betting Trends: None Available

Betting Pick: Florida State +7
Over-Under Pick: Over 51 points

Arkansas vs. Virginia Tech Bowl Game Point Spread Pick: December 29th 2016

Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Virginia Tech Hokies
Bowl Game Spread Pick: Arkansas +7 points (December 29th 2016)

Arkansas was an inconsistent team this year, but it appears they are ready for this Bowl Game on Thursday. The Razorbacks said their senior linebacker, Dre Greenlaw, is going to be available. Greenlaw was their best linebacker before getting injured early in the season. Also, 5th year senior running back, Kody Walker, appears he is going to play. These guys are added bonuses, but it also tells me the team wants to win this game.

Arkansas has developed a nice passing game this year and they have the receivers to break away from the Hokies secondary. Arkansas still does a great job of taking time off the clock, ranking 2nd in time of possession this year and can keep the ball away from the Virginia Tech offense.

Arkansas hasn’t lost two consecutive games this year. They are coming off a season ending loss at Missouri. They have been able to rebound off a loss every time and I think they can do it again here. Arkansas has won their last 3 bowl games. Virginia Tech lost their bowl game last year as a favorite against Tulsa. Virginia Tech also might not be as excited for this game after losing the ACC Championship game to Clemson.

Get more Arkansas Razorbacks and Virginia Tech Hokies betting picks from Brandon each day at Touthouse.com

Arkansas’s defense is down a bit this year, but they have talented defensive players with a lot of experience. I think they are better than what the statistics show this year and it will show in this game. The Hogs have their work cut out containing Hokies quarterback Jerod Evans, but I think this game comes down to the wire, decided by 3-4 points. (1* Arkansas) – Brandon Shively