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Fresno State vs. San Jose State Football Point Spread Pick from Stephen Nover: October 7th 2017

Fresno State vs. San Jose State
College Football Point Spread Pick: Fresno State -16 (October 7th 2017)

San Jose State is an auto-fade for me. The Spartans are a shot team whose first-year coach, Brent Brennan, seems overmatched.  The Spartans are 0-4 SU and ATS the past four weeks losing 56-0 to Texas, 54-16 to Utah, 61-10 to Utah State at home and 41-13 to UNLV this past Saturday. The Spartans have allowed more than 300 yards – in the first half in three of their six games. The Spartans trailed UNLV 35-13 at halftime. The Rebels let up in the second half yet still won by 28 points.  Just two weeks ago, the Spartans were blasted by Utah State as two-point home ‘dogs. This was San Jose State’s Mountain West Conference opener. Utah State, which lost to Wisconsin and Wake Forest by a combined 85 points, outgained the Spartans by 427 yards and had 20 more first downs.  So in the last two weeks, San Jose State has lost to the spread by a combined 61 points. Here are San Jose State’s gory season numbers:

The Spartans rank 122nd in scoring averaging 15.8 per game. They rate 124th out of 129 Division I schools in yards allowed and 126th in points given up at 44.5. Counting just their last four games, the Spartans are putting up only 9.7 points a game and 264.5 yards. Against the Rebels this past Saturday, the Spartans committed three turnovers, had seven penalties and a blocked punt.  It’s safe to state that San Jose State is beyond brutal. The oddsmaker does recognize this making Fresno State more than a two-touchdown road favorite. Are the Bulldogs strong enough to cover this number even playing such a weak opponent? My belief is yes. The Bulldogs defeated Nevada, another bad team, 42-21 this past Saturday.

That was at home. However, the Bulldogs won by 21 despite not playing especially well turning the ball over a season-high three times and committing eight penalties, their most for the year. Fresno State should play better here especially bolstered by posting its first Mountain West win since 2015.  Marcus McMaryion made his first college start and looked like former Fresno State quarterback Derek Carr.

McMaryion completed his first 12 passes, finishing with a 167.07 quarterback rating.  Mostly, though, this handicap is a fade on San Jose State. I’m going to play against the Spartans until they show a pulse, which might not happen again this season.

Jesse Schule betting WV +12.5 points over TCU on October 7th 2017

West Virginia Mountaineers vs. TCU Horned Frogs
College Football Point Spread Pick: WV +12.5 points (October 7th 2017)

The TCU Horned Frogs stunned the nation with an upset win at Oklahoma State two weeks ago, and they come off a bye week to host BIG12 rivals West Virginia. The Mountaineers lost a close game to Virginia Tech in Week 1, but have bounced back with three straight wins. They’ve scored over 50 points in all three of those games, and they rank 2nd nationally averaging 48.8 points per game. West Virginia crushed the Horned Frogs in Morgantown last year by a score of 34-10. Kenny Hill threw for just 148 yards on 18-of-31 passing with a TD and an INT in that game.

The home team has won by double digits the last two times these teams have met, but prior to that they played three straight games decided by three points or less. The point spread for this game is greater than it had been in any of the previous five meetings in this series. TCU has been costing bettors big bucks as a home favorite, they’ve only covered the spread once in their last 11 home games.

Gamecocks vs. Aggies Football Betting Pick from Alex Smart: September 30th 2017

South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Texas A&M Aggies
NCAAF Betting Pick: SC +8 points (September 30th 2017)

Both Texas A&M and South.Carolina enter this game with identical 3-1 records. but one team the Gamecocks, has played the better competition and  has looked the more consistent of both teams.

After the Aggies went into OT to snatch a win vs Arkansas  last time out a possible letdown scenario for Sumlin’s troops could easily emerge .Add to that a   look ahead scenario for  next weeks game  vs Alabama  and I’m betting double jeopardy will be in play. With that said, taking the points here makes for viable betting option.

TEXAS A&M is 2-14 ATS  L/16 after playing a conference game and are 0-9 ATS after the first month of the season.

CFB Road team like S.Carolina – off a home win, with 4+ more total starters and an experienced QB returning against team with new QB are 47-18 ATS over the L/5 seasons with a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on South Carolina to cover