Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Colorado Buffaloes
Football Bowl Game Pick: Oklahoma +3 points (December 29th 2016)
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Teddy’s NFL is 6-0 over the past two weeks and 76-50 (60%) over the last two seasons. His college football is 47-32 (59%) since last December; including a 9-2 (82%) bowl run. Don’t miss a single winner!
Let me start by giving Colorado credit, before I make the case for betting against the Buffs in the Alamo Bowl. The Buffs had gone 11-38 SU over the previous four seasons heading into the 2016 campaign. Their last bowl appearance came back in 2007 against Alabama, in Nick Saban’s first year on the job with the Crimson Tide.
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But head coach Mike MacIntyre – the architect of a significant program turnaround at San Jose State – did it again with the Buffs this season, guiding Colorado to a 10-3 record, both SU and ATS. That 10-3 ATS mark was tied for the second best pointspread record in the country – for most of the season Colorado was an undervalued commodity.
That being said, no Colorado player has been to a bowl game before. MacIntyre deserves serious ‘Coach of the Year’ consideration, but the biggest bowl game he’s coached at the collegiate level was the Military Bowl against Bowling Green in his stint at San Jose State. Colorado did not execute well in their biggest game this year, a blowout loss to Washington in the PAC-12 title game. And it’s surely worth noting that both of Colorado’s previous losses this season came against teams with offensive playmakers, Michigan and USC.
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Colorado’s offense can only be described as ‘pedestrian’. Senior QB Sefo Liufau has battled injuries, throwing only eleven touchdowns in his senior season. RB Philip Lindsay is a workhorse, not a gamebreaker. No receiver had more than 850 receiving yards and top WR playmaker Shay Fields had only two catches longer than 30 yards in his last ten games. This team relies on their defense to stay in games, but that defense is likely to be challenged here!
Oklahoma State has the type of offensive playmakers that the Buffs defense has struggled to stop. QB Mason Rudolph has an NFL future, with an impressive 25-4 TD-INT ratio while averaging a full nine yards per pass attempt for the season. RB’s Justice Hill and Chris Carson have combined to average just shy of six yards per carry, while WR James Washington is drawing Cowboy alumnus Dez Bryant comparisons for his downfield playmaking ability, averaging a whopping 19.5 yards per catch. Jalen McCleskey, Jhajuan Seales and Chris Lacy caught 13 TD’s between them as well, a deep and dynamic receiving corps!
Unlike the bowl virgins from Boulder, Mike Gundy’s Cowboys will be playing in their 11th consecutive bowl game. The Cowboys got thumped 48-20 by Ole Miss in the Sugar Bowl last year, an ugly and embarrassing New Year’s Day defeat. From all indications, the Cowboys have redemption on their minds and some giddy-up in their step, facing a team they can beat this time around! Take Oklahoma State.