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BYU vs. Hawaii Football Point Spread Pick from Will Rogers: November 25th 2017

BYU Cougars vs. Hawaii Warriors
College Football Point Spread Pick: Hawaii +3 (November 25th 2017)

The set-up: “The last game on the schedule” this Saturday in CFB is a game from Aloha Stadium in Honolulu where the 3-8 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors host the 3-9 Brigham Young Cougars. BYU’s second-year head coach Kalani Starke led the Cougars to a 9-4 season in 2016, including a 24-21 Poinsettia Bowl win over Wyoming. However, the term “sophomore jinx” surely applies to the 2017 edition of the Cougars, who will not ‘go bowling’ this season after 12 consecutive bowl appearances. Hawaii ended a five-year bowl drought last year 2016 (in head coach Nick Rolovich’s first season) but Rolovich’s second-year has gone about the same as Starke’s, as the Rainbow Warriors enter 3-8.

BYU: The Cougars, typically known for their prolific offense (especially through he air), have struggled mightily this season. BYU takes the field for its final game of 2017 averaging 314.7 YPG in total offense (123rd) and rank even lower in scoring at 16.0 PPG (126th). It was “business as usual” for BYU its last time out, losing 16-10 at home to UMass on Nov. 18th. UMass built a 16-0 lead with BYU committing four turnovers. QB Joe Critchlow completed 21-of-45 for 257 yards and a touchdown but threw four interceptions. His lone TD pass came with just 53 seconds left. Defensively, the Cougars have been competitive, despite their offense giving them little ‘cover.’ The Cougars are allowing 25.1 PPG (51st) on 380.1 YPG (57th).

Hawaii: The Rainbow Warriors enter the final game of their season mired in a four game slide, after losing 38-0 at the Utah State last Saturday. The Aggies out-gained Hawaii 475-318, rushing for 311 yards. QB Dru Brown has thrown for 2,527 yards with 16 TDs and eight INTs plus RB Diocemy Saint Juste has run for 1,471 yards on 5.4 YPC. BYU’s offense averages 413.3 YPG (52nd) but those yards haven’t translated into points, as the Cougars are averaging only 23.0 PPG (105th). Defensively, Hawaii has struggled all season, allowing 34.3 PPG (107th) on 459.5 YPG (116th).

The pick: Both teams own awful ATS records, BYU checking in at 3-9 ATS and Hawaii at 1-9-1. Incredibly, Hawaii’s lone ATS win was in its season-opener, August 26th at UMass, a 38-35 win as a three-point dog. BYU just played that same UMass team last Saturday, scoring just 10 points at home (lone TD came in the game’s final minute). Makes little sense for BYU to be favored here on the road. Go with the home team!

Oregon State vs. Oregon Football Spread Pick from Larry Ness: November 25th 2017

Oregon State Beavers vs. Oregon Ducks
College Football Spread Pick: Oregon -25 points (November 25th 2017)

I’m siding with the home team in the Civil War this year. Oregon has won two of its last three. The Ducks also look to avenage last year’s loss to the Beavers.

Oregon State has yet to win a conference game this season and it’s not going to get the job done in the season finale either against this highly motivated home side. In their latest loss to the Sun Devils, the Beavers would fall 40-24, posting only 375 total yards of offense, while going just 4 of 12 on third downs (also held to just 106 rushing yards on 33 carries.)

The Ducks enter off a convincing 48-28 win over Arizona, as Wildcat’s QB Khalil Tate was held to only 32 rushing yards and 159 passing.

Oregon though would dominate offensively, finishing wth 588 total yards.

And that certainly doesn’t bode well for this reeling Beavers team which is just 1-5 ATS in its last six on the road. Oregon has had no mercy on its “lesser” competitiion either over the years, going 21-10-2 ATS in its last 33 home games against teams with losing road records.

I have a hard time seeing Oregon State mustering up much energy for this one, while all signs point to the Ducks laying the hammer down from start to finish. Consider Oregon in the Civil War this year.

Miami Florida vs. Pittsburgh Football Point Spread Pick from Teddy Covers: November 24th 2017

Miami Florida vs. Pittsburgh Panthers
College Football Point Spread Pick: PITT +13.5 (November 24th 2017)

Miami has risen up to #2 in the latest college football playoff rankings, yet the Canes are primed to be tested at Pitt in early start action on Friday.  Mark Richt’s squad is coming off three huge, marquee victories all at home.  In statement games against Virginia Tech and Notre Dame, Miami dominated, controlling the flow throughout.  Last week, against Virginia, Miami roared back from an early deficit with a furious fourth quarter rally.

A road trip to Pittsburgh in late November is no easy task for this warm weather squad in a normal season.  This year, given what Miami has already been through in recent weeks, it’s a MONSTER trouble spot, especially with the lookahead to the ACC title game against Clemson on deck.  Quote after quote from the Miami locker room is concerning to me – lots of lookahead, lots of talk about what they don’t want to do (which often leads to the exact opposite effect).

Let’s not forget that the Hurricanes have been living on turnover margin, forcing 19 turnovers in their last five games – that won’t last forever.  Nor should we forget the previous struggles this Hurricanes team has had on the highway – barely escaping past struggling Florida State (4-6, won by only four points) and North Carolina(3-8, won by only five points) in their only two road games since September.

Pitt has been hanging around as a moneywinning underdog against superior competition for most of the season.  We saw them cover wire-2-wire at +20 at Penn State, knock off Duke with an outright upset at +9 and hang tough with Virginia Tech just last week; throwing for more than 300 yards against that stout Hokies defense on the road in a spread covering loss.

In four meetings between these schools over the past four years, Miami has only one win by more than ten points; a competitive series.  All the pressure is on the road favorite here; a situation that this program hasn’t been in for many years.  Their defense just allowed a season high in passing yards and total yards last week.  Meanwhile Pitt has found their QB of the future in Kenny Pickett, a playmaking frosh with a big arm.

At 4-7, this is Pitt’s bowl game.  Senior CB Avonte Maddox: “History is a great thing, but we live in the now. It’s time to create more history……I see it every day (in practice). You know when guys lose, they throw the towel in. This team hasn’t thrown the towel in yet … These guys (are) willing to lay it all on the line.”  Take Pitt

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