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Ohio State vs. Indiana Football Over-Under Pick from Teddy Covers: August 31st 2017

Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Indiana Hoosiers
College Football Pick: Under 57.5 points (August 31st 2017)

The Indiana Hoosiers certainly weren’t an Under team in the Kevin Wilson era.  Wilson emphasized pushing the pace on offense, and the Indiana defense paid the price, allowing at least 33 points per game in the first five years that Wilson was in Bloomington.

That all changed last year.  First year defensive coordinator Tom Allen actually had some talent to work with and he crafted a truly dramatic improvement .  After allowing 38 points and 510 yards per game in 2015, the Hoosiers allowed only 27 points and 380 yards per game last year.

The Indiana defense is primed to be even better in 2017.  Allen is now the head coach, and the team has taken a ‘defense first’ mentality throughout camp.  Indiana returns nine starters on their stop unit, seven of them seniors.  Expect the Indiana defense to be improved once again in 2017; their best defense in more than a decade.

Kevin Wilson is now Ohio State’s offensive coordinator, and, surprise, surprise, he’s looking to go uptempo.  As we’ve seen so many times in college football, the first few games in a new, fast paced offense aren’t necessarily pretty to watch, particularly in the red zone.

And let’s not forget how far this offense fell last year with JT Barrett behind center.  Ohio State closed out the season like this: They scored 17 points on 310 yards of offense in a one point win over 3-9 Michigan State.  They scored one TD in regulation against Michigan – on a four yard drive, following a Wolverines fumble.  And then they were shut out by Clemson in the Fiesta Bowl.  The talent is there for Wilson and Urban Meyer to work with, but the execution has not been there.  I’m not convinced that changes in Week 1.

While this is Indiana’s best defense in a decade plus, it might be their worst offense in a decade as well.  The Hoosiers suffered major graduation losses on their offensive line, likely to start three sophomores and no seniors.  Their best receiving playmaker, Simmie Cobbs, is awaiting word on a possible suspension after getting arrested over the summer.   It’s ‘running back by committee’, without a standout talent.  And Hoosiers QB Richard Lagow lacks the mobility to scramble out of pressure against the Buckeyes fearsome pass rush.  Put it all together and we can expect a relatively low scoring affair that stays Under the total.  Take the Under.

Teddy is a proven winner in college football, 87-64 (58%) over the past two seasons and 1-0 already this year.  Don’t miss his Absolute Annihilator Report for Thursday Night, and cash in with an easy blowout winner!

Matt Josephs betting the ‘Over’ 71 in the Hurricane vs. Cowboys game on August 31st 2017

Tulsa vs. Oklahoma State
Over-Under Football Pick: Over 71 points (August 31st 2017)

Tulsa and Oklahoma State meet on Thursday night. I really have high expectations for the Cowboys who should be in the mix for a Big 12 championship. They have a great group of WRs and Mason Rudolph will get the ball to them. Tulsa’s pass defense wasn’t great last year and could be under siege in this one. OSU’s defense isn’t that good, but I think they’ll show out in terms of playing well in shootouts.

The theory is that Oklahoma State will be in front a ton and they’ll be able to tee off on the opposition. Tulsa’s offense is no slouch themselves with D’Angelo Brewer at running back and some decent wide receivers. OSU has gone over in 11 of their last 14 home games and 15 of their last 18 at home where the total is greater then or equal to 70. Tulsa has gone over in 15 of their last 26. I think this one is another shootout.