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Archive for the ‘College Football Picks’ Category

Indiana vs. Florida International Over-Under Odds & Pick from Brandon Shively: September 1st 2016

College Football Pick: Over 61 points (September 1st 2016)

This game went ‘Over’ last year, but the total is about a touchdown higher this year. FIU returns 9 on offense this year including their QB (64% 21-8 LY), all 5 O-Line starters (92 car starts). That should pave the way for the offense and Indiana has never been known for their defense. FIU’s defense is a mess with 16 sacks departing on the defensive line which makes this game good for the ‘over’ as the Hoosiers should be able to protect their QB and run their offense. The new QB is Richard Lagow and he looked good in spring (6-6 JUCO finished 11-of-17 for 135 yards). He threw two touchdowns in red zone-specific work. Top 3 WR’s are back to help out with the scoring. Simmie Cobbs 6’4 Jr will replace Jordan Howard at RB but had 226 carries LY as Howard was injured.

Indiana has a well balanced offense and will look to put up 35+ points here. The weakness for Indiana is that they lost all 4 defensive linemen from last year and there are no expected seniors to start on the defensive line which is a big concern for this game, especially playing their first game on the road against an experienced QB and offensive line of Florida International.(1* Over)

Georgia Tech vs. Boston College Point Spread Pick from Matt Josephs: September 3rd 2016

GEORGIA TECH VS. BOSTON COLLEGE POINT SPREADGeorgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. Boston College Eagles
Point Spread Pick: Boston College +3 (September 3rd 2016)

The ACC opener for Georgia Tech and Boston College takes place in Dublin, Ireland on Saturday morning. The Yellow Jackets went 3-9 last year and it was mostly because of a poor defense that struggled at times. On the offensive side, the triple option got bogged down at times. In 2016, Justin Thomas is back to run things. This is the first time the Jackets open up with a FBS opponent since 2012 when they lost in overtime to Virginia Tech in Blacksburg. Boston College also went 3-9 last year, but you can point to their offense for that reason.

The Eagles had the #1 defense in football in 2015, but lost Don Brown to Michigan. The good thing is that seven starters are back defensively. Hopefully Patrick Towles coming over from Kentucky can help jump start this offense and give Jon Hilliman a little room. There are a lot of reasons to stay away from this one especially since it’s being played overseas. I really like giving a good defensive unit plenty of time to prepare for the triple option of Georgia Tech. I think the Eagles can get the win on Saturday and start their season off 1-0.

Tulane vs. Wake Forest Point Spread & Over-Under Betting Pick: September 1st 2016

TULANE VS. WAKE FOREST OVER UNDER BETTINGTulane Green Wave vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons – 7:00pm ET September 1st 2016

Point Spread: The Wake Forest Demon Deacons are a 17 point favorite over the Tulane Green Wave. The over/under for this game is set at 43 total points.

The Tulane Green Wave were 3-9 SU and 6-6 ATS last season with an over/under record of 7-5. They came in next to last place in the AAC west conference with SMU (2-10) and UCF (0-12) being the only two teams with worse record in the entire AAC. Tulane ranked 121st offensively in total yards (317) and 90th in passing yards, averaging only 201 points per game through the air last year. They were a dismal 113th in points scored, only putting up 19 points on average per game. Defensively, they did not fare much better, ranking in the 70’s for total yards allowed, passing yards allowed and rushing yards allowed. They ranked 111th defensively last year, allowing on average 36 points per game.

The Wake Forest Demon Deacons were 3-9 SU and 6-6 ATS last season with an over/under record of 5-6-1. WF was 1-7 SU last season against ACC Atlantic opponents, next to last only to BC who was winless against teams within their conference. A quick look at team statistics for Wake Forest last year shows that they were ranked 114th in total yards (333/game), 59th in passing yards (228/game), 123rd in rushing yards (105/game) and 120th in points scored, putting up on average 17 points per game. On the other side of the ball, Wake Forest fared better during the 2015 season. They were ranked 38th in total yards, giving up 363/yards per game on avg and were 43rd in points allowed, keeping their opponents to an average of 24 points per game.

Public Perception: As of August 25th 2016, 59% of the wagering public is betting that the Green Wave will cover the point spread over the Demon Deacons. 54% of the public think that this game will go over the posted over/under of 43 points (Source: Covers)

Betting Trends: Tulane is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. ACC conference opponents. The over is 5-1 in Tulane’s last 6 vs. ACC foes. The over is 6-2 in Tulane’s last 8 non-conference games. The under is 12-5-1 in Wake Forest’s last 18 home games and 3-1-1 in their last 5 non-conference matchups.

Betting Pick: Tulane Green Wave +17
Over-Under Pick: Over 43 points