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Rutgers vs. Virginia Tech Betting Odds & Prediction for December 28th 2012

Rutgers vs. Virginia Tech
Betting Prediction: Virginia Tech +1 -110 odds (December 28th 2012)
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Virginia Tech should have a lot better attitude than Rutgers heading into this game. After all, it is happy to be playing in a bowl. The Hokies had to beat Boston College and Virginia in their final two regular-season contests just to become bowl eligible.

While the Hokies have to be excited about the opportunity to play postseason football, Rutgers might not share the same excitement considering it blew a golden opportunity to play in a BCS bowl game.

The Scarlet Knights won a share of the Big East Championship but didn’t receive the league’s automatic BCS bid. Rutgers blew a 14-3 lead to the Louisville Cardinals and lost 20-17 in the regular-season finale. It lost its BCS shot along with it. Now Louisville will get the opportunity to play fourth-ranked Florida in the Sugar Bowl.

Both teams boast solid defenses, but Virginia Tech boasts the better offense. The Hokies rank 71st in the nation in total offense with 391.8 yards per game while the Scarlet Knights rank 102nd with 341.1 yards per game. Virginia Tech ranks 81st in scoring with 26.1 points per game while Rutgers ranks 96th with 22.4 points per game.

Virginia Tech has completely dominated Rutgers. The Hokies have won each of the past 11 meetings with these wins coming by an average of 29.3 points.

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Fresno State vs. SMU Over-Under Pick: Hawaii Bowl: December 24th 2012

Fresno State Bulldogs vs. SMU Mustangs
Hawaii Bowl Over/Under Pick: Over 59.5 (December 24th 2012)
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The Mustangs and Bulldogs have both been solid overs teams down the stretch. SMU checks in having finished over the total in five of its last seven games. Fresno State has come in over the number in three of its last four.

The Bulldogs have been solid defensively all season, but their run defense has been an issue. They rank 76th in the country against the run with 172.3 yards allowed per game. The Mustangs will look to take advantage of Fresno State’s weakness in order to open up big plays with their respectable passing attack, which ranks 58th in the nation with 237.2 yards per game.

The SMU pass defense leaves plenty to be desired as it ranks 107th nationally with 271.2 yards allowed per game. An explosive Fresno State passing attack that ranks 12th in the country with 322.6 yards per game should be able to take advantage.

Consider that plays on the over on all teams (Fresno State in this case) when total is between 56.5 and 63.0 points in a game involving two teams that allow 21.0 to 28.0 points per game, provided the “play on” team has scored 31 points or more in three straight games, are 29-7 the last 10 seasons. We’ve see an average posted total of 59.5 points in these contests, and we’ve seen the two teams combine for an average of 68.1 points. This system is 19-3 over the last five seasons.

It is also worth noting that Fresno State has finished over the total in each of its last four bowl games. Bet the Over.

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College Football Bowl Picks: Utah State Heavily Favored in Potato Bowl: December 15th 2012

Utah State Heavily Favored In Potato Bowl
By SBRForum.com

The Utah State Aggies had one of the best ATS records in the country this year at 10-1-1, and they are going to put that mark on the line on Saturday at the Famous Idaho Potato Bowl against the Toledo Rockets.

Predictably, the Rockets are heavy underdogs for college football picks at +10, and they are going to have their work cut out for them if they are going to stick around in this game.

USU had one of its best seasons ever. QB Chuckie Keeton, still just a sophomore, threw for 3,142 yards and 27 TDs against nine picks, and he rushed for seven touchdowns to boot. The passing game featured three receivers that had at least 550 yards and three more with at least 217 yards. The ground game was highlighted by Keeton with 539 yards and RB Kerwynn Williams, who averaged 6.4 yards per carry and had 1,277 yards and 12 trips to the end zone.

Toledo isn’t a team full of slackers, though. The MAC was quite good at the top this year, and that includes when the Rockets beat up the Big East’s Cincinnati Bearcats and had the Pac-12′s Arizona Wildcats dead to rights this season. Toledo also pushed the Northern Illinois Huskies in DeKalb at the end of the season.

The Rockets are one of these teams that can beat you with the pass or the run. QB Terrence Owens didn’t have the most impressive numbers in the world this year, but he has a great duo of receivers in WR Bernard Reedy and WR Alonzo Russell. Both men combined for 136 catches, 1,976 yards, and 11 of the team’s 19 receiving touchdowns on the campaign. RB David Fluellen rushed for 1,456 yards and 13 scores as well to help the Rockets out. Owens is a dual-threat, as he threw for 2,681 yards and rushed for 381.

College Football Picks: Oklahoma State vs. Baylor Pick: December 1st 2012

College Football Picks: December 1st 2012
Oklahoma State vs. Baylor
Pick: Oklahoma State -4.5
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I faded Baylor big last week and I paid for it with a little bit of bad luck as Texas Tech had 4 turnovers that cost them the game. Now that Baylor is bowl eligible and they come in facing Oklahoma State at home I think we still get great value here. There will be no hang over for the Cowboys after losing to Oklahoma last week after they blew a double digit lead. This team has been strong under Mike Gundy, as they lost on a Friday night to Iowa State last year that cost them a shot at the National Championship, but they returned the next week to dominate a good Oklahoma team 44-10. Baylor may have a top 10 offense, but their defense is still as bad as they get, and now Baylor has to face arguably the best offense they have all year.

Oklahoma State has a balanced approach that’s not something the Baylor defense has really seen and that’s bad news because between QB Clint Chelf, who also double as a runner with 5.84 ypc, and Joeseph Randle who is a next level talent they should be able to run all over a Baylor front that’s 96th in ypc. Thier pass defense is even worse ranking 119th in sack %, 109th in pass completion defense and 122nd in yards allowed. Oklahoma State is 7th in passing yards, but again they are difficult to defend because they run the ball 51% and pass the ball 49% of the time. Baylor has played teams that do either one and they have come up with turnovers. I just don’t see them being able to do that against a balanced offense that’s 3rd in scoring offense. Baylor is still allowing 57.4% conversions on third downs to conference opponents while Oklahoma State is at 35%. Oklahoma State also is good at stopping the run ranked 23rd. Baylor despite popular belief runs the ball a ton ranked 60th in rushing play % and has run it more of late 60% over their last 3 games. Oklahoma State only allowing 2.9 ypc over their last 3 games.