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Gamecocks vs. Aggies Football Betting Pick from Alex Smart: September 30th 2017

South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Texas A&M Aggies
NCAAF Betting Pick: SC +8 points (September 30th 2017)

Both Texas A&M and South.Carolina enter this game with identical 3-1 records. but one team the Gamecocks, has played the better competition and  has looked the more consistent of both teams.

After the Aggies went into OT to snatch a win vs Arkansas  last time out a possible letdown scenario for Sumlin’s troops could easily emerge .Add to that a   look ahead scenario for  next weeks game  vs Alabama  and I’m betting double jeopardy will be in play. With that said, taking the points here makes for viable betting option.

TEXAS A&M is 2-14 ATS  L/16 after playing a conference game and are 0-9 ATS after the first month of the season.

CFB Road team like S.Carolina – off a home win, with 4+ more total starters and an experienced QB returning against team with new QB are 47-18 ATS over the L/5 seasons with a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on South Carolina to cover

Teddy Covers betting the Bulldogs -9.5 over the Wolfpack on September 30th 2017

Nevada Wolfpack vs. Fresno State Bulldogs
Point Spread Pick: Fresno State -9.5 (September 30th 2017)

If you want to be proactive instead of reactive — as any serious sportsbettor should strive to do – the time to jump on the Fresno State Bulldogs is right now!  The betting markets don’t have a strong sense of where Jeff Tedford’s squad should be power rated.  Fresno was truly a bottom feeder by the end of the Tim DeRuyter era.  They went 20-6 in DeRuyter’s first two years on the job with Derek Carr at QB, but dropped to 4-20 in his last two seasons with two of those four wins coming against FCS level competition.  The markets did what they do slow to adjust, but eventually adjusting Fresno waaaaay down from where the program had been for the better part of the previous two decades.

DeRuyter, mercifully, was relieved of his duties by the time November rolled around, and Tedford took over as head coach.  Tedford is a legitimate offensive guru with a strong track record as a program builder based on his successful tenure at Cal.  But we haven’t seen the Bulldogs take the lid off their new offense yet.  Fresno opened with FCS Incarnate Word in a 66-0 shutout over inferior competition.  Then they played ‘paycheck’ games at Alabama and Washington, prior to their bye week.  Fresno’s season long stats are completely meaningless – one ‘step way down in class’ game and two ‘step way up in class’ games; none of which matter one iota moving forward.  With a new coach and a new direction for the program, last year’s stats are meaningless as well.  Hence the betting market struggles to price them appropriately.

But make no mistake about it – Fresno is better than they were last year, potentially a lot better.  They are already 3-0 ATS, showing clear signs of being undervalued in the markets off last year’s debacle  This is most assuredly a statement game for the Bulldogs at home, off a bye, under the lights.  Fresno hasn’t beaten an FBS level opponent since 2015 & they’ve got this game circled on their schedule as their ‘coming out party’ for the Tedford era.

And there are a lot of things to like already.  Fresno was able to throw the football in those two step-up games against the Crimson Tide and the Huskies.  Tedford’s preaching on taking care of the football has worked, with only two offensive turnovers thusfar.  His preaching on discipline has worked as well, with Fresno sitting in the Top 5 in fewest penalties and fewest penalty yards.   The Bulldogs have solid skill position talent, and a pair of decent QB’s – Chason Virgil as the better runner, Oregon State transfer Marcus McMaryion as the better thrower.  But more than any other factor, this is a standout spot to bet the Bulldogs ‘on the come’.

While Fresno is rested and ready, Nevada is playing for the fifth straight week after an ugly road loss at Washington State last Saturday.  Make no mistake about it – this Wolfpack program is in complete rebuild mode right now in Jay Norvell’s first year on the job; still cleaning up the mess from the Brian Polian era.  The offense has committed multiple turnovers in every game.  The defense just allowed more than 500 passing yards last week, on the heels of giving up 30 points to FCS Idaho State at home the previous week, a game they lost in SU fashion as 35 point favorites.  Clear ‘bet-on’ vs. clear ‘bet-against’ here.  Take Fresno.

Teddy has delivered the goods for himself and his clients from Day 1 this season; off to a STRONG 67% NFL start through the first three weeks. Take advantage of this proven NFL profit maker and get onboard with a value priced package TODAY!

Akron vs. Bowling Green Football Spread Pick from Will Rogers: September 30th 2017

Akron Zips vs. Bowling Green Falcons
College Football Point Spread Pick: Akron -2.5 (September 30th 2017)

The set-up: The MAC has not yet moved to its weekday schedule (see the month of November), so it’s a Saturday game at Doyt Perry Stadium, as the Bowling Green Falcons host the Akron Zips. The Zips fell to 1-3 on the year following a 22-17 defeat at the Troy, ‘hanging around’ as a 17 point underdog. Akron was out-gained 489-367 and turned the ball over three times but managed to stay close by holding the Trojans to 4-14 on third down. As for the homestanding Falcons, their 24-13 loss at Middle Tennessee State last Saturday (as a four-TD underdog), leaves them 0-4 on the season. This marks the conference-opener for both schools, with BG owning the all-time advantage in this series 16-7.

Akron: The Zips are averaging just 20.8 PPG (110th) on 330.2 YPG (107th). QB Thomas Woodson is completing 58.1 percent for 745 yards with four TDs and four INTs. Warren Ball is the lone RB of note (325 yards and four TDs) for a rushing game averaging only 119.2 YPG (106th) and also just 3.5 YPC. The defense allows 29.5 PPG (90th) on 435.0 YPG (102nd).

Bowling Green: After four consecutive bowl seasons, the Falcons were just 4-8 last year in Mike Jinks first season as head coach. The Falcons had averaged 30-plus points from 2013 through 2015 (42.8 PPG in 2015!), before falling to 24.8 PPG in 2016. This year’s team comes in averaging 14.2 PPG (121st) on 330.0 YPG (108th). Two QBs (HC Jinks switched QBs at MTSU, going to true frosh Jarret Doege) have completed only 49.1% with three TDs and two INTs. The rushing game ranks 123rd in averaging 81.2 YPG on a pathetic 2.8 YPC. Defensively, BG is allowing 35.8 PPG (112th) on 549.0 YPG (126th).

The pick: Bowling Green has won the last eight in this series but this year’s team is a true mess (can’t score and can’t stop anyone from scoring). The Zips are no bargain but are the better team here.

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