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Eastern Michigan vs. Ball State Football Over-Under & Point Spread Pick: November 8th 2016

EASTERN MICHIGAN VS. BALL STATEEastern Michigan Eagles vs. Ball State Cardinals – 7:00pm ET November 8th 2016

Point Spread: The Ball State Cardinals are a 1.5 point favorite over the Eastern Michigan Eagles. The over/under for this game is 59.5 points.

Public Perception: 59% of the wagering public is betting that the Cardinals will cover the point spread over the Eagles. 55% believe that this will be a high scoring game as predicted and go over the posted total of 59.5 points.

Past Meetings: The last time these two teams met was in the 2015 season. Ball State was a 4.5 point favorite and the over/under for that matchup was 61.5 points. The Cardinals covered the point spread away from their home field and the game stayed under the posted total. Final Score: Ball State 28 Eastern Michigan 17.

Side Betting Trends: Ball State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Ball State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf. Ball State is 1-7 ATS in their last 8 conference games. Ball State is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Eastern Michigan is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Eastern Michigan is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games. Eastern Michigan is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.

Over/Under Betting Trends: Under is 5-1 in Eagles last 6 games following a straight up loss. Under is 4-1 in Eagles last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 4-1 in Eagles last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Under is 4-1 in Eagles last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. Under is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game. Under is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

Head-to-Head Betting Trends: Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings. Road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Ball State. Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

  • Ball State is 1-3 on their home field this season, 1-4 against conference foes and 3-1 in non-conference matchups.
  • At home, Ball State is averaging 27.5 scoring, and keeping opponents to 33.0 points scored on defense.
  • The Eastern Michigan Eagles are 3-2 playing away from home this year, 2-3 against conference foes and 3-1 in non-conference matchups.
  • Away from home, Eastern Michigan is averaging 28.8 points offensively, and keeping their opponents to 34.0 points scored on defense.

Betting Pick: Eastern Michigan Eagles +1.5
Over-Under Pick: Under 59.5 points

Purdue vs. Minnesota NCAA Football Betting Pick from Larry Ness: November 5th 2016

PURDUE VS. MINNESOTA BETTING FOOTBALLPurdue Boilermakers vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers
College Football Pick: Minnesota -17 points (November 5th 2016)
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Purdue enters on a 3-game losing streak while allowing 46.0 PPG…My free play is on Minnesota at 3:30 ET.

Minnesota is quietly still in the Big Ten West Division race, as the Golden Gophers are 6-2 overall, including 3-2 in league play. That places them just one game back of No. 10 Nebraska, while being tied with No. 8 Wisconsin, Iowa and Northwestern. Minnesota has games still remaining against all the aforementioned teams, save Iowa. However, up first, the Golden Gophers host a 3-5 Purdue team, which is just 1-4 in Big Ten play.

Minnesota enters the contest off three straight wins, including a 49-17 rout on the road last Saturday at Illinois. Purdue comes in off three straight losses, getting outscored 45-7 in the second half of their 62-24 loss at Penn State (Nittany Lions are now No. 12 in the CFP rankings). Purdue QB David Blough completed a career-high 34 passes on 50 attempts last week against Penn State and has at least one TD pass in every game this season. He’s thrown for 2,346 yards but owns a modest 57.8 completion percentage, as well as a so-so 16-12 ratio. He gets almost no help from a running game averaging 111.0 YPG (120th) on 3.6 YPC. The defense allows 36.9 PPG (116th) on 444.9 YPG (104th).

Minnesota runs the ball well, averaging 207.2 YPG (37th) on YPC. The Gophers own an excellent duo in Rodney Smith (801 yards on 5.2 YPC with 10 TDs) and Shannon Brooks (472 yards on 5.1 YPC with five TDs). QB Leidner is a liability, throwing a for about half as many yards (1,274) as Purdue’s Blough), completing only 57.5 percent with just five TDs (but also only five INTs in 186 attempts). However, unlike Purdue, Minnesota has a solid defense, allowing just 22.1 PPG (30th) on 342.8 YPG (21st).

Get more Purdue Boilermakers and Minnesota Golden Gophers betting predictions from Larry Ness each week at Touthouse.com

I’ll use a word of caution here, noting that the Golden Gophers have covered just once in the seven instances when they’re favored by at least 10 points.  but they enter this game on a three-game winnings streak (averaging 35.0 PPG), while the Boilermakers enter on a three-game losing streak while allowing 46.0 PPG (have been out-scored 62-7 in the second half the past two weeks). What’s more, Minnesota has won the last three times it has faced Purdue (2015, 2014 and 2013), averaging 41.3 PPG. Lay the points.

Fresno State vs. Colorado State Football Betting Pick from Matt Fargo: November 5th 2016

FRESNO STATE VS. COLORADO STATEFresno State Bulldogs vs. Colorado State Rams
College Football Pick: Colorado State -15 points (November 5th 2016)
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Fresno St. is officially out of bowl contention and the further we get into the season, the more teams like these simply want to season to end. The Bulldogs have been competitive in some cases but they have yet to defeat a team from the FBS as their lone win came against Sacramento St. They are coming off their fourth straight cover which actually helps us out here as the line is favorable for Colorado St. The Rams won at UNLV two weeks ago and are coming off their bye week which should have them plenty rested for this one. Colorado St. is 4-4 overall so a bowl game is still a big possibility but this is a must win game as its final three games are against teams that enter the weekend with at least five wins so they will be taking on quality teams to end the season.

All four of the Rams losses have come against teams with at least six victories so this is one they cannot let get away. The lone home defeat came against Wyoming despite outgaining the Cowboys by 47 total yards as they were hurt by turnovers. While the Bulldogs have been solid in covering of late, they are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games while the Rams are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Play (372) Colorado St. Rams