Missouri vs. Tennessee
College Football Pick: Missouri +4 (November 22nd 2014)
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The 19th ranked 8-2 Missouri Tigers travel to Knoxville to take on the 5-5 Tennessee Volunteers Saturday night. Neyland Stadium in Knoxville is a storied venue that seats 102,000. Tennessee continues their trek to return to national prominence and become bowl eligible against a Tiger team that has a 4 game winning streak.
Missouri hasn’t really looked real good this year they just continue to win. They get turnovers or stops when they need them. QB Mauk hasn’t looked good at all for most of the year. He did play better in the win at A&M last week. The Tigers need to win out to win the SEC East for the second year in a row. For the troubles the offense has had the defense has been playing much better than they started the season playing. The defense now ranks 16th in scoring allowing just 20.1 ppg and 22nd in overall yardage defense. The Tigers have a healthy WR Darius White back and that has helped the offense.
Vols HC Butch Jones tweeted out that he wanted the stadium sold out Saturday night for Senior Night. This will be a large and raucous crowd. The Vols will surely give Mizzou all they have. Tennessee has won their last two games over South Carolina and Kentucky. They aren’t exactly powerhouses but still good wins in the SEC. The Vols offense scored 45 & 50 in those games. Both defenses are horrible, don’t look for them to put up those kind of numbers on the Tigers D. Also, of the most importance Tennessee is without the suspended LB A J Johnson. He is the defensive signal caller and Tennessee’s leading tackler. He was all SEC last year and second in the SEC in tackles this year. He will be missed.
I mentioned earlier Tennessee is learning to win, Missouri knows how to win already. The Tigers have been playing in big games for the last two years in the SEC. Mizzou is now 12-1 ATS away from home. I look for the Tigers to win this game outright and taking the points is a bonus.
Texas Tech vs. Iowa State
College Football Pick: Iowa State -1 (November 22nd 2014)
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Don’t expect Iowa State to flinch when Texas Tech visits on Saturday. Through nine games, the Cyclones have battled the ninth-toughest schedule in the nation and they won’t back down when the Red Raiders bring their Air Raid attack to Ames.
After a pair of big wins over Tech in 2010 and 2011, ISU has fallen its last two games in this series. The Cyclones lost a 24-13 decision to the Red Raiders at home in 2012 and dropped a 42-35 battle in Lubbock last season. This could be the spot where State gets its revenge. As a home favorite or pick, head coach Paul Rhoads’ men have been worth a look notching a respectable 27-16 ATS record in their last 43 lined games. Provided ISU has at least one straight up win under its best, this team trend jumps to a decent 25-10 ATS.
Regardless of who starts at quarterback for Texas Tech (Patrick Mahomes or Davis Webb), the Red Raiders are going to be in trouble in this Big 12 war. Since posting a pair of straight up wins over Central Arkansas and UTEP in its first two games of the season, Texas Tech has dropped seven of its last eight. Head coach Kliff Kingsbury knows his Red Raiders have problems on the defensive side of the ball. Texas Tech’s Swiss cheese stop unit has allowed an average of 41.6 points and 504.5 total yards per game this season including a whopping 260.3 yards per game on the ground. That’s not going to win too many games for you especially on the road.
In the current Big 12 standings, Iowa State (0-6 SU) is in last place looking up at (1-6 SU) Texas Tech. If the Cyclones want to get out of the conference cellar, it will be imperative for them to win this game. Look for ISU to attack that soft TTRR stop unit early and often in this Big 12 battle. Take Iowa State. Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.
Louisiana Tech vs. Old Dominion
College Football Pick: Old Dominion +12 (November 22nd 2014)
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Louisiana Tech is riding a five-game winning streak, covering the last three, but now it finds itself in an unfamiliar spot as road favorite by double-digits. The Bulldogs are 6-0 in the C-USA West Division which is two games better than Rice so their game against the Owls will prove meaningless with a victory here. That may seem like this would be a good spot for them but the win potential is being portrayed into this line which is a big reason it is as high as it is. While the Bulldogs have been winning, the Monarchs have been losing. Despite a victory last week against Florida International, they are just 4-6 on the season and most importantly for our purposes, they have gone 0-6 in their last six games against the number. Sitting at 4-6, the Monarchs can still get into the postseason should they win out but it isn’t a guarantee. Because Old Dominion is in its final transition season to the FBS, NCAA rules dictate the Monarchs can go to a bowl only if there aren’t enough eligible teams to fill all 76 bowl slots. They know they have to take care of business so motivation is no issue. Both teams are coming off a bye week and I feel that helps the underdog in this case as it can put the recent struggles behind them and as for Louisiana Tech, the momentum during the winning streak may have been halted. While winning is the goal for the Monarchs, we will grab the generous points in their final home game of the season. Play (162) Old Dominion Monarchs