Illinois vs. Nebraska
College Football Pick: Illinois +21.5 (September 27th 2014)
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This game here is a lesson and scenario in scheduling spots. If you take the NCAA games this time of year and the lines presented to you at face value and do not look at the schedule of the team you want to play, especially a favorite of 7 or more points, then you will lose more than you win. This game here is a perfect example of that, so I will make it a free play and explain the situation.
Nebraska is clearly the better team, no doubt a Top 15 team in the nation. The Husker run game and depth at RB is 1 and 2 with Georgia’s as the best and most depth filled RB unit in college football. The Huskers are undefeated and they are playing a night game in Lincoln in front of another rabid sellout crowd. LOOK DEEPER – The Huskers are off a monster win last week against hated Miami, a game I was personally at. A record crowd in Lincoln, lots of celebration before and after the game and a physical hard fought 4 quarter battle with tons of emotion. Now 3-1 Illinois comes to town as a 20+ point dog in what should be an easy win. WAIT A MINUTE!
Nebraska has their biggest game of the season and perhaps the entire year next week at East Lansing against Michigan State! That game is likely for the division title to go play in the Big 10 title game, although Wisconsin may have something to say about that, this surely gives one team a HUGE leg up in the division title. So Huskers off a bio emotional win, and have a monster game on deck and laying 20+ to an also ran. SANDWICH GAME – DANGEROUS SPOT TO LAY A HUGE NUMBER!
Illinois has Wes Lundt at QB, and Okie State transfer that has a very good arm, and good throwing QB’s give the Huskers fits. The frosh at Miami last week was quite successful against the Huskers, and Lundt is 3 times better than him, and I do expect Illinois to score plenty through the air. Nebraska will keep it vanilla, try not to get any key players hurt and do enough to win but rest starters in prep for next week, especially all world RB Abdullah. With Illinois’s ability to put up yards in the passing game that has backdoor cover written all over it, and again, QB Lundt for Illinois is no joke and has had tons of stats in the fourth quarter this year that are impressive.
Classic Sandwich scheduling Spot – get over 3 TDS off the fall number of 21 too!