Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes
College Football Betting Pick: Ohio State -17 points (November 5th 2016)
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I like Ohio State in this game. The first thing that jumped out to me about the spread in this game is that Ohio State opened up -13.5 and quickly jumped to -17 where it has stayed steady throughout the week. This looks like a lot of points to the naked eye and 80% of the bets are on Nebraska according to data. It is very unusual to have that large of a percentage of bets on a double digit underdog. While the majority of the bets are on Nebraska, the line has held steady at -17 as of Friday morning. I am going to play the contrarian here and lay the points.
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Nebraska’s perfect season is over with after a tough loss in overtime at Wisconsin. Now they have to try to regroup and go on the road again to face an Ohio State team that will try to mash the gas here. The Buckeyes have not covered in 4 consecutive games now which is very rare for any Urban Meyer team. This is a ‘night’ game and I expect the crowd to carry the momentum over to the players.
If there is a team overdue for a blowout win, it is Ohio State and they are catching Nebraska at a low point as the ‘Bubble Burst’ angle can be applied here.
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I definitely think Ohio State is worth a closer look here. The majority of bettors have not taken the time to take a closer look. All they see is ‘Nebraska is getting 17 points’ and say that is too many. In a normal situation, maybe yes, but Ohio State will be the more motivated team here playing at home under the lights and I think we see a final score in the 38-13 range. (1* Ohio State)