Memphis Tigers vs. Navy Midshipmen
Football Point Spread Pick: Navy +2.5 points (October 22nd 2016)
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I’m backing Navy plus the points on Saturday. The Middies will look to extend their true home field run to 14 wins in a row and in the process, hold onto first place in the AAC West. Will Worth has proven his worth since taking over as starting QB in the Navy triple-option and will provide the Memphis Tiger defense with their toughest run-based test yet. We aren’t firm believers in the Tigers quite yet, beating up on softies SE Missouri State, Kansas, & Bowling Green before conference season began. We give them credit for their come-from-behind win over Temple, after trailing by 13 points and they are in off a win over option-based Tulane. But there’s a big difference between Tulane’s option in its initial season and Navy’s fierce and tough to prepare for attack.
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We also have a nice scheduling advantage for the Middies. Navy has not traveled since October 1 and had a chance to get a couple players healthy with last week’s postponement against ECU. The unexpected week off also allowed the Middies to escape a potential flat spot after beating Houston the previous week. Navy enters on an 18-6 ATS run at home and they’re 6-1 ATS in their last seven conference games, overall. Meanwhile, the Tigers have covered just six of their last 25 (3 pushes) on the road against teams with a winning home record. We’ll back Navy plus the points on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.