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NCAA Football: Memphis Tigers vs. Navy Midshipmen Spread Pick: October 22nd 2016

MEMPHIS VS. NAVY FOOTBALL SPREAD PICKMemphis Tigers vs. Navy Midshipmen
Football Point Spread Pick: Navy +2.5 points (October 22nd 2016)
CLICK HERE FOR SCOTT SPREITZER’S EXPERT COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICKS

I’m backing Navy plus the points on Saturday.  The Middies will look to extend their true home field run to 14 wins in a row and in the process, hold onto first place in the AAC West.  Will Worth has proven his worth since taking over as starting QB in the Navy triple-option and will provide the Memphis Tiger defense with their toughest run-based test yet.  We aren’t firm believers in the Tigers quite yet, beating up on softies SE Missouri State, Kansas, & Bowling Green before conference season began. We give them credit for their come-from-behind win over Temple, after trailing by 13 points and they are in off a win over option-based Tulane. But there’s a big difference between Tulane’s option in its initial season and Navy’s fierce and tough to prepare for attack.

We also have a nice scheduling advantage for the Middies. Navy has not traveled since October 1 and had a chance to get a couple players healthy with last week’s postponement against ECU.  The unexpected week off also allowed the Middies to escape a potential flat spot after beating Houston the previous week.  Navy enters on an 18-6 ATS run at home and they’re 6-1 ATS in their last seven conference games, overall. Meanwhile, the Tigers have covered just six of their last 25 (3 pushes) on the road against teams with a winning home record.  We’ll back Navy plus the points on Saturday.  Thanks & GL!  Scott Spreitzer.

NCAAF Pick: Teddy Covers betting the Razorbacks +10 over the Tigers on October 22nd 2016

ARKANSAS VS. AUBURN BETTINGArkansas Razorbacks vs. Auburn Tigers
College Football Betting Pick: Arkansas +10 points (October 22nd 2016)
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Arkansas has a reputation in the Brett Bielema era of being a pure smashmouth, run first squad.  Part of that is true this year – the Razorbacks can certainly play some power football in the trenches – their top two backs are averaging close to six yards per carry between them.

But the key to this bet is Hogs junior QB Austin Allen, who has superseded his older brother in his first year as the starter.  Allen is averaging 8.5 yards per pass, with a 18-6 TD-INT ratio and a 64% completion rate.  He threw for 400 yards and three touchdowns against Alabama, but he threw three of his six interceptions on the year in that ballgame.

No shame in that – Alabama’s defense is loaded with future NFL players.  And he followed up that showing against the Crimson Tide with another three TD effort against Ole Miss last week.  Arkansas has seven different receivers who have caught a 25+ yard pass this year, and their top three guys have at least four touchdown catches each.

Get more Arkansas Razorbacks and Auburn Tigers predictions from Teddy Covers each week at Touthouse.com

The markets are down on Arkansas.  After all, r ‘Bama whipped them on the heels of a three TD loss to Texas A&M in a previous ‘step-up’ game.  But make no mistake about it – that A&M final score was as misleading as it gets. The game was tied at 17-17 late in the third quarter.

Arkansas put together a 15 play, 89 yard drive, but they were stuffed at 4th and goal from the 1 yard line.  Two plays later, A&M hit a 92 yard TD strike and the rout was on. Had Arkansas gotten that single yard, they might well have won that game in SU fashion.  Instead, they’re being priced like a team that can’t step up in class, despite that SU win over the Rebels last week.

Auburn is on a 2-6 ATS run as double digit favorites, the two spread covering wins coming against Arkansas State and Louisiana-Monroe.  They’re getting a ton of credit in the betting markets for their supposedly improved play following three straight wins, all over VERY flawed opponents.  Last week’s bye leaves the Tigers as the fresher of these two squads, but freshness alone does not equate to a victory by double digits.  The Hogs won in quadruple overtime over Auburn last year, and I’m expecting another hotly contested battle this time around.  Take Arkansas.

Texas A&M vs. Alabama College Football Prediction from Jesse Schule: October 22nd 2016

TEXAS A&M VS. ALABAMATexas A&M Aggies vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
College Football Prediction: Texas A&M +18.5 (October 22nd 2016)
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The defending champions are rolling, coming off back-to-back blowout wins on the road versus Arkansas and Tennessee. With their “air of invincibility” firmly intact, I think they are due to suffer a let down here against the Aggies. Texas A&M is coming off a bye week, allowing them to put everything they’ve got into preparing for this game.

Alabama is asked to cover an enormous spread here at home, even greater than the 18-point margin they defeated the Aggies by last year. Texas A&M is a far better team since the addition of Trevor Knight at quarterback, and the former Oklahoma Sooner has accounted for 12 touchdowns in four games in conference play.

The best game of Trevor Knight’s career came in the 2014 Sugar Bowl, throwing for 348 yards and four touchdowns in a 45-31 win over Alabama. He’s got a talented group of wide receivers here at A&M, and one of the best defenses in the country behind him. Don’t be surprised if history repeats itself here in Tuscaloosa.

Stephen Nover betting the Buckeyes -10.5 points over the Badgers on October 15th 2016

OHIO STATE VS. WISCONSIN BETTINGOhio State Buckeyes vs. Wisconsin Badgers
College Football Point Spread Pick: Ohio State -10.5 (October 15th 2016)
CLICK HERE FOR STEPHEN NOVER’S EXPERT COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICKS

Ohio State is going for its 20th straight true road game win, which is the longest active streak in the nation. It’s an impressive feat and I see it holding up against Wisconsin.

The Badgers are well-coached, had a bye last week and are strong again defensively. I greatly respect their home field, too. But their offense is too weak to keep up with the Buckeyes. Alex Hornibrook is another in a long line of below average Wisconsin quarterbacks. The Badgers have had only one outstanding quarterback during the last 50 years and that was Russell Wilson, and he only played one year for Wisconsin.

Wisconsin, though, has had many great running backs. The Badgers’ ground attack isn’t up to previous standards this year, however. Corey Clement has failed to carry the Badgers’ tradition of Heisman Trophy caliber tailbacks. Michigan held the Badgers to 2.5 yards per attempt on the ground in winning, 14-7, two weeks ago. Ohio State’s defense is even better holding opponents to 10.8 points per game. The Buckeyes have yet to allow a touchdown on the ground.

The line should be higher as in my view it’s still not fully reflecting the class difference between these two teams. Ohio State doesn’t just win, but dominates winning by an average of 43 points. The Buckeyes may have been caught looking ahead to this challenge because they only defeated Indiana by 21 points last week in their worst performance. And Indiana has been decent this year.

Things could get ugly for the Badgers, who have no backdoor capability with their lack of a passing attack as Ohio State is averaging two interceptions per game. The Buckeyes have far more talent at the skill positions especially at quarterback with J.T. Barrett.

The Buckeyes also have owned this series recently covering all but one of the last eight games.