MLB Picks: May 16th 2012
Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Indians
Pick: Seattle Mariners -113
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The Mariners have the edge on the mound with Hernandez, who is carrying a 2.29 ERA through 8 starts. Compare that to Cleveland’s Jimenez, who has a 5.17 ERA through 7 starts.
The fact the M’s are favored on the road versus a team with a winning record is significant. After all, they are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite and 6-0 in Hernandez’s last 6 starts as a road favorite. The Indians, meanwhile, are 9-21 in their last 30 games as a home underdog and 0-4 in Jimenez’s last 4 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.
The Mariners have won 4 of their last 5 in Cleveland, and I expect them to have continued success tonight with their ace on the hill.
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MLB Picks: May 15th 2012
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
Pick: New York Yankees -149
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Few starters in this league have owned any one time quite like C.C. Sabathia has owned the Baltimore Orioles. I look for Sabathia to continue his success against the Orioles tonight as the Yankees look to pull withing a half-game of Baltimore in the AL East.
Sabathia has been brilliant again this season, going 5-0 with a 3.51 ERA and 1.071 WHIP in seven starters. The left-hander is 3-0 with a 1.50 ERA and 0.875 WHIP in his last three outings. Sabathia is 16-2 with a 2.86 ERA and 1.100 WHIP in 23 career starts against Baltimore.
Wei-Yin Chen is off to a solid starts for the Orioles, but teams are starting to get a scouting report on him now. Chen also gave up 4 runs in 5 2/3 innings in his lone start against the Yankees on April 10th, which resulted in a 5-4 New York victory. The Yankees are batting .288 and scoring 5.7 runs/game against left-handed starters in 2012.
Sabathia is 20-2 against the money line vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. The Yankees are 50-18 in Sabathia’s last 68 starts overall. New York is 12-1 in Sabathia’s last 13 starts against the Orioles, including 8-0 in his last 8 starts at Baltimore. Bet the Yankees Tuesday.
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Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox
Prediction: Detroit Tigers -126 odds (May 14th 2012)
MLB Free Play for Doc’s Sports: Monday May 14th 2012- Take #977 Detroit over Chicago White Sox (8:10pm est): Detroit Tigers rookie starter Drew Smyly has taken the American League by storm to begin his career with now six straight quality starts and having not allowed more than two runs in any one of those first six games. Just as impressive as that is who Smyly has done this against also including a six inning, seven strikeout, no walk performance against these very same Chicago White Sox’s just ten days ago.
Speaking of Chicago, they have really struggled against left-handers all season, ranking near the bottom of the league with just a .193 batting average against them. They come into this game having only scored one run in their last two contests overall. They hand the ball to left-hander John Danks here in this one. Danks has really struggled to begin this season with ERA just below 6.00 for the year. Don’t be fooled by his last start either as Danks only struck out just one guy and walked three overall in the game.
No reason to treat Smyly as anything less than a very good starter right now. Getting him at this price against one of the worst offense’s in all of baseball versus lefties and going up against a guy pitching as poorly as Danks has been this season, is great value here. Take Detroit here in this one. Courtesy of Doc’s Sports
MLB Picks: May 14th 2012
Oakland Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels
Pick: Over 7
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Even though the A’s and Angels have both struggled offensively early this season, I think these two teams will easily surpass 7 runs tonight.
The A’s will send out Tyson Ross, who is 0-3 with a 13.15 ERA and 2.385 WHIP in his last three starts. In his last two road starts, he has allowed 16 runs on 20 hits in just over 7 innings of work. I would be shocked if the Angels didn’t put at least 5 runs in this game.
Los Angeles will counter with Dan Haren, who isn’t quite himself. Haren has been dealing with a bad back, and has struggled as a result. He is just 1-2 with a 4.34 ERA in his last three starts, giving up 5 runs in each of his last two starts. Get more MLB picks from Steve Janus each day at Touthouse.com
I wouldn’t be surprised at all if these two teams didn’t go over the posted total by the fifth inning. The OVER is 5-1-1 in Harens last 7 starts during game 1 of a series and 4-0 in Athletics last 4 during game 1 of a series. BET THE OVER!
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MLB Picks: May 13th 2012
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Pick: St. Louis Cardinals -157
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Matt looks to end the weekend strong! He is on a BLAZING 4-1 NBA run and he looks to extend his AWESOME 30-20-2 NBA run with TWO WINNERS on Sunday! On the bases, he WON with Milwaukee yesterday and for Sunday, he is releasing a Triple Play Trifecta so expect to AGAIN break out the broom! FIVE WINNERS Total!
St. Louis looks to avoid the sweep on Sunday after dropping the first two games of this series, giving up 16 runs in the process. The Cardinals are now 8-6 at home with four more games at home following this before the start of Interleague play. Lance Lynn looks to turn this situation around and judging by the season he has had, he should do it no problem. He is coming off his first non-quality start of the season but it was due to a lack of innings and not bad pitching as he allowed no runs in five innings of work at Arizona. He is a perfect 6-0 with a 1.40 ERA and 0.85 WHIP and his solid pitching has been bolstered even more with awesome run support as he is receiving 7.3 rpg.
The Braves record is a half-game better than the Cardinals after winning the last two days and they have improved to 13-8 on the road. This includes a 6-2 record on this current roadtrip but the situation for today is not in their favor. Tommy Hanson has pitched ok this season but he has been all over the place with just three quality outings in his seven starts on the season. The three quality effort have come in his last four games so he is pitching better of late but his velocity is still not where it should be and that is a major concern. The Cardinals are 20-6 in their last 26 home games against right-handed starters. 3* (912) St. Louis Cardinals
