Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees
MLB Runline Pick: Yankees -1.5 +120 odds (April 29th 2017)
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New York is worth a look on the run line Saturday. The Yankees rallied from a 9-1 deficit to stun the Orioles 14-11 with a walk off in the 10th inning. That’s about as deflating of a loss as you will see and I look for Baltimore to have difficult time bouncing back with a strong showing today. On top of that, they face the red-hot Michael Pineda, who owns a 2.75 ERA in his last 3 starts and a 1.84 ERA and 0.613 WHIP in his two home starts. The Orioles counter with Ubaldo Jimenez, who has a 5.95 ERA in 4 starts this season and a 6.35 ERA in 12 career starts against New York. Give me the Yankees -1.5 (+120)!
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Houston Astros vs. Oakland Athletics
MLB Betting Pick: Houston -152 odds (April 29th 2017)
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The set-up: The Astros took last night’s game 9-4 and sit at 15-8, tops in the AL West. The A’s suffered a fifth straight loss last night and at 10-13, are tied with the Rangers for last place in the division. The Astros just split a six-game road trip through Tampa Bay and Cleveland, despite numerous minor injuries.
Houston lost a pair of outfielders (George Springer and Jake Marisnick) plus All-Star second baseman Jose Altuve to injury, along the way. However, Altuve and Springer were in the lineup last night. The Athletics know something about injuries, as eight players on the DL. However, when Sonny Gray pitched exceptionally well in his second rehab start, throwing six shutout innings for Triple-A Nashville on Thursday night. Gray has yet to pitch for Oakland this season but could return to the rotation as early as Tuesday against the Minnesota Twins.
The pitching matchup: Andrew Triggs (3-1 & 2.42 ERA) will start for Oakland and Joe Musgrove (1-1 & 5.91 ERA) for Houston. Triggs will make his fifth start of the season and 11th of his career. He allowed just three runs in his first three outings (all unearned), over 17 2/3 innings. However, after opening 3-0, he lasted just 4 2/3 innings in his last start, allowing six runs on five hits and two walks in an 11-1 defeat. His only two career appearances against the Astros have both come in relief in 2016. Musgrove has not pitched well so far in 2017 (1.45 WHIP and .298 opponents’ BA to go along with a near-6.00 ERA) but this marks his third career appearance against Oakland, against whom he is 1-0 with a 0.84 ERA with 11 strikeouts over 10 2/3 innings.
The pick: Triggs has not started against Houston but his ERA is 9.00 ERA in six innings of relief work against the Astros. Meanwhile, is his eight career appearances at Minute Maid Park, Musgrove is 3-2 with a 2.74 ERA. Oakland is 3-7 on the road, while the Astros are 8-4 here in Houston. Stick with the home team.
Chicago Cubs vs. Boston Red Sox
MLB Betting Prediction: Boston +112 odds (April 28th 2017)
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The set-up: It’s quite an Interleague series this weekend when the Chicago Cubs take on the Boston Red Sox for a three-game series at Fenway Park. It marks a homecoming for Cubs president of baseball operations Theo Epstein, who guided the Red Sox to an elusive World Series crown after a long drought in 2004, which began a run of three titles in 10 years. Epstein then did the same for Chicago last season, ending 108 years of agony for Cubs fans by winning the World Series in 2016. The 12-9 Cubs aren’t dominating but they are back atop the NL Central, while the Red Sox, last year’s AL East champ, are a modest 11-10 and third in the competitive American League East. The Cubs have won six of their last eight and bring an 8-4 road record into Fenway. Meanwhile, after losing back-to-back games to the-hated Yankees (3-1 & 3-0), Boston has dropped four of five.
The pitching matchup: Jake Arrieta (3-0 & 3.65 ERA) takes the mound for the Cubs and looks to remain unbeaten in 2017, opposed by Boston’s Drew Pomeranz (1-1, 4.60 ERA). Arrieta has won three of his first four starts this season but he has needed strong run support to offset somewhat shaky performances in his last two outings. He allowed five runs (four earned) over six innings in a 12-8 win at Cincinnati on Saturday, surrendering two HRs for the second straight start. Arrieta is 1-3 with a 4.66 ERA in seven games (six starts) against the Red Sox but he hasn’t faced them since 2014. Pomeranz has recorded just one quality start in his first three outings of the season and that came in his season debut. However, Pomeranz is 2-0 with a 1.13 ERA in three starts against the Cubs, including six shutout innings last season.
The pick: Boston has scored just 13 runs over the past seven games, including getting shut out three times in that span. However, the Boston bats can’t remain silent forever and as noted, Arrieta has been far from sharp his last two outings. Also, Pomeranz just doesn’t own a 1.13 ERA in three career starts against the Cubs, he’s held them to a .148 opponents’ batting average. Boston wins in Fenway.