Baseball Predictions: May 21st 2013
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Indians
Pick: Detroit Tigers -125 odds
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The Detroit Tigers should be a heavier road favorite over the Cleveland Indians tonight. Given the advantage the Tigers have on the mound in this one, I like their chances of a blowout victory.
Detroit will give the ball to the electric Max Scherzer. The right-hander has gone 5-0 with a 3.98 ERA and 0.994 WHIP with 68 strikeouts over 54 1/3 innings this season. Scherzer is a superb 1-0 with a 1.23 ERA and 0.818 WHIP in three road starts this year.
Corey Kluber is no match for Scherzer. The right-hander is 3-2 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.4143 WHIP in four starts and two relief appearances. Kluber is also 1-2 with a 7.71 ERA and 1.714 WHIP in his last three starts, and 1-2 with an 8.04 ERA and 1.914 WHIP in three career starts against Detroit.
The Tigers are 5-0 in Scherzer’s last 5 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. Detroit is 20-8 in Scherzer’s last 28 starts overall. The Indians are 1-7 in Kluber’s last 8 home starts, and 0-5 in his last 5 starts as a home underdog. Bet the Tigers Tuesday.
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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
MLB Pick: Dodgers -130 odds (May 21st 2013)
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After the Dodgers took Game 1 in Milwaukee, breaking out of a three game slump, they have another favorable matchup tonight. Zack Greinke is back off the DL, and he looked pretty good in his first start since his return.
Greinke (2-0, 1.62 ERA) allowed a single run on five hits over 5 1/3 innings in a 3-1 win over Washington in his first start off the DL. He’s now allowed only three runs in three starts so far this year, and the Dodgers have won all three games.
You could say that he likes pitching at Miller Park, he’s won 15 straight starts in his former home ballpark.
The Dodgers will get another look at Hiram Burgos, who they already beat earlier this year. Burgos has lost consecutive starts, and he’s winless in his last four outings. He was really torched by the Reds in Cincinnati on May 11, allowing 12 runs in just three innings.
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The Dodgers got some offense from Matt Kemp and Andre Ethier yesterday, and they should be able to get a few runs on Burgos tonight.
Boston Red Sox vs. Minnesota Twins
Betting Prediction: Boston -118 odds (May 19th 2013)
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The Red Sox are showing some great value as a small road favorite against the Twins. Boston has won the first two games of this series and four straight overall. The Red Sox are swinging the bats extremely well right now, averaging 5.3 runs over their last 7 games. Minnesota on the other hand has lost four straight and six of their last 8 overall.
Both teams send out a starter who has struggled of late, but I don’t think there’s any question that Boston has the better of the two in John Lackey, at least when it comes to previous performance against opponent. Lackey has allowed two or fewer earned runs in each of his five starts vs the Twins. Minnesota’s Pedro Hernandez has made two career starts against the Red Sox and both have been a complete disaster. He’s allowed 14 runs on 19 hits in just six innings of work. He allowed 6 runs on 7 hits in just 2 innings of work against Boston earlier this month (5/8). Given how these two teams are playing right now, there’s simply too much value to not place a small wager on Boston this afternoon. BET THE RED SOX!
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Baseball Picks: May 19th 2013
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers
Prediction: Detroit +107 odds
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After losing two out of the first three games in this series, the Detroit Tigers want a win in Game 4 to square it up. I’ll back them at an excellent price tonight with Doug Fister on the mound.
Fister has been dominant all season, and he deserves more respect from the books as a result. The right-hander is 5-1 with a 3.06 ERA and 1.180 WHIP through eight starts this season. Check out ALL of Jack Jones’ premium MLB picks for May 19th 2013 on our expert sports picks page at Touthouse.com
The Tigers are 37-15 in their last 52 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Detroit is 5-0 in Fister’s last 5 starts with a total set of 9.0 to 10.5. Bet the Tigers Sunday.
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