MLB Picks: May 25th 2012
Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins
Pick: Detroit Tigers -135
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After getting swept in their last series by the Cleveland Indians to fall to 20-24, the Detroit Tigers will be very hungry for a victory tonight in Game 1 against the Minnesota Twins. They should have no problem getting a win against a team that is tied for the worst record (15-29) in baseball.
Detroit sends underrated rookie left-hander Drew Smyly to the mound tonight as he looks to continue his success in the early going. Smyly has pitched great, going 1-1 with a 2.89 ERA and 1.191 WHIP in eight starts. He’s 1-0 with a 2.35 ERA and 0.957 WHIP in four road outings.
Minnesota starter Anthony Swarzak is simply overmatched in this one. Swarzak is 0-3 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.636 WHIP as a starter this season. He’s pitched much better out of the bullpen, but he’s been terrible when asked to start. Swarzak is also 0-1 with an 11.57 ERA and 2.000 WHIP in two career starts against Detroit.
The Tigers are 26-10 against the money line after having lost 3 of their last 4 games over the last 2 seasons. Detroit is 6-1 in their last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. The Tigers are 36-16 in their last 52 games following a loss. The Twins are 13-38 in their last 51 home games, and 3-10 in Swarzak’s last 13 home starts. Bet the Tigers Friday.
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MLB Picks: May 25th 2012
Philadelphia Phillies vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Pick: Phillies -116
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The Phillies out-slugged the Cardinals 10-9 in the first game of the series, and I really like their chance of beating St Louis again on Friday.
Philadelphia will send out Cliff Lee against Kyle Lohse. Lee is 0-2 on the season, but has pitched much better than his record indicates. He has a 2.66 ERA in six starts and an amazing 0.56 ERA in two starts on the road. Lee also has a 2.48 ERA in five career starts against St Louis.
Lohse got off to an incredible start, as he comes into tonight’s game 5-1 with a 2.91 ERA. However, Lohse has really struggled in his last two starts, giving up eight runs on 20 hits in just over 12 innings of work. Look for the Phillies offense to stay hot and give Lee plenty of run support in this one.
Philadelphia is 20-6 in their last 26 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150, 7-1 in Lees last 8 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150, and 10-1 in Lees last 11 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. BET THE PHILLIES!
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Baseball Picks: May 24th 2012
San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets
Pick: Under 8 +100 odds
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Because two little-known starting pitchers are going at it tonight in New York, I believe oddsmakers have set the bar too high tonight. Both Eric Stults and Jeremy Hefner are better than they are getting credit for. Plus, they’ll be up against two of the worst line-ups in baseball.
Scheduled to make his first major league start for the Mets is Jeremy Hefner (0-1, 2.25 ERA), who gave up two runs, four hits and struck out five over five innings of relief after replacing the injured Miguel Batista during Saturday’s 2-0 loss to the Blue Jays. Hefner compiled a 2.72 ERA over seven starts at Triple-A Buffalo before being recalled last week.
The Padres will give the ball to Eric Stults (0-0, 2.70 ERA), who was claimed by San Diego two days after being designated for assignment by the Chicago White Sox last week. The Padres didn’t waste much time throwing Stults into action – the left-hander yielded two runs, four hits and three walks over 6 2-3 innings but didn’t factor in Saturday’s 3-2 win over the Los Angeles Angels.
Stults is 1-1 with a 3.38 ERA in three career starts against the Mets. Hefner should have success against a San Diego team that is batting a major league-worst .191 with men on second or third. The Padres went a combined 2 for 22 (.091) in such situations during a three-game sweep in St. Louis. The Mets are hitting just .240 and scoring 3.2 runs/game at home this year. Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.
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MLB Picks: May 23rd 2012
Washington Nationals vs. Philadeplhia Phillies
Pick: Phillies -153
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On Wednesday The Free MLB Power system Play is on the Phillies. Game 906 at 7:05 eastern. The Phillies fit a solid system that has won 27 of 34 times. We want to play on certain home favorites with a total of 8 or less that lost as a home favorite of -140 or higher in game where the total was 8 or less and they scored 2 or less runs on 5 or more hits and had 5 or more men left on base, vs an opponent off a road dog win and scored 5 or more runs. The Phillies also have a nice pitching edge here with Hamels who has won 16 of 21 team starts vs the Nationals with a fine 2.62 era. He has won 3 of 4 at home this season and opposes E. Jackson here tonight. Jackson allowed 5 runs in 5 innings in his only start here in Philly and has lost all 4 road starts this season. Look for the Phillies to bounce back tonight. On Wednesday there are 3 solid plays up. An early 5 * Perfect system play, the 100% Rare MLB Totals system of the week and the NBA Game 6 Power system winner direct from the NBA Playoff Historical database which goes back to the very start of the NBA Playoffs. NBA on an 11-3 runs while Bases stays hot and on a 19-8 run. Jump on now and cash big again last night as we continue to use material you simply wont see any where else. For the free play take the Phillies. -Rob Vinciletti