NBA Picks: March 17th 2012
Golden State Warriors vs. Utah Jazz
Pick: Golden State Warriors +8
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Motivated by last night’s embarrassing 120-98 loss to Milwaukee, expect the Warriors to save face with a strong showing against the Jazz.
The Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games when playing without a day of rest. They are also 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a loss of more than 10 points and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 points. The Jazz, meanwhile, are just 7-17 ATS in their last 24 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5 points.
The Warriors are trying to fight through injuries as well as adjust to a few new teammates. Still, they should be motivated enough to keep this one close versus a Utah squad that will be without leading scorer Al Jefferson. We’ll take the points.
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NBA Picks: March 14th 2012
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Indiana Pacers
Prediction: Indiana Pacers -1
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The Indiana Pacers are showing great value at home tonight over the Philadelphia 76ers. These are two pretty evenly-matched teams in the Eastern Conference as each is eight games over .500. The home-court advantage gives the Pacers the nod in this one.
Indiana is 12-5 at home this season where they are outscoring opponents by 7.2 points/game. The Pacers have really stepped it up defensively this season, allowing just 90.6 points on 41.9 percent shooting at home. Philly is just 9-9 in road games this year.
A big reason why the 76ers are getting so much respect with this line is the fact that C Spencer Hawes is supposed to return from injury. But head coach Doug Collins has stated that he will limit Hawes to five minutes per quarter, so he won’t make much of an impact in this game as he just tries to get his feet wet.
The 76ers are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. Philly is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5. The 76ers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games. The Pacers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite. Bet the Pacers Wednesday.
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Orlando Magic vs. San Antonio Spurs
NBA Pick: San Antonio Spurs -7 (March 14th 2012)
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This is a letdown spot for Orlando following last night’s big overtime win against the Miami Heat. It will be very difficult for the Magic to bring the same kind of intensity to the floor that it brought in last night’s win.
The Spurs are 16-4 at home where they carry an average winning margin of 10.2 points. They have won 4 of their last 5 and 12 of their last 15 at home against the Magic. Their last 4 home wins over Orlando have come by an average of 15.8 points.
The Spurs are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games overall, 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. the Eastern Conference, 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games and 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite. The Magic are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. the NBA Southwest division. Lastly, the favorite is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. We’ll lay the points.
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NBA Picks: March 13th 2012
Atlanta Hawks vs. Denver Nuggets
Pick: Denver Nuggets -5
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My money is on the Nuggets to easily cover this favorable home spread against the Hawks on Tuesday. Denver comes in off a 3-point loss at home to the Grizzlies on Sunday, which will have them focused and motivated to make sure they don’t disappoint the home crowd against an Atlanta team that has lost two of their last three overall.
Denver is one of the toughest places in the NBA for opposing teams to play well. That should definitely be the case tonight, as the Hawks will be playing their 5th road game in the last eight days. Teams rarely play well at the end of long road trips, and I can’t see Atlanta being all that motivated in this matchup.
Denver has played extremely well against the East’s Southeast Division, going 10-1 ATS in home games against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons. The Hawks tend to struggle against the Western Conference, as they are just 9-20 ATS in their last 29 vs. Western Conference. BET THE NUGGETS! Get more NBA picks for March 13th 2012 at Touthouse.com
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NBA Picks: March 13th 2012
Miami Heat vs. Orlando Magic
Pick: Miami Heat -4
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This isn’t a good spot for Orlando. Consider that plays against home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that are out for revenge for a loss in which they were held to less than 85 points, provided they are coming off a home win by 10 points or more, are 44-18 ATS since 1996. Teams fitting into this situation are losing by an average of 7.7 points.
You don’t want to make a habit of laying points on the road, but the Heat have proven to be a worthy road favorite at 6-2 ATS in their last 8 in the role.
The Magic are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog of 4.5 points or less, 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games following a win of more than 10 points and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. the NBA Southeast division. Take the Heat.
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