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NFL Preseason Pick: Covers betting the Ravens +2.5 points on August 17th 2017

Baltimore Ravens vs. Miami Dolphins
NFL Preseason Pick: Baltimore +2.5 (August 17th 2017)

The Miami Dolphins have no business as favorites in this ballgame.  One of the biggest ‘red flags’ in preseason for any team – let alone a favorite – is when a coach starts whining about his injury situation.  That’s exactly what Adam Gase has done this week.  When a coach can’t handle any more injuries, the entire team seems to feel it, and you tend to see significantly less intensity for a meaningless August game.  And Gase has been dealing with the cumulative effect of the injury bug all week, even cancelling practice on Tuesday to go through a ‘no pads’ walk through.

Gase has every reason to whine considering the state of his offensive line right now.  Jay Cutler is supposed to get his first game action with Miami here, but how long he’ll be on the field is very much in question, especially given the state of the Dolphins offensive line right now.  Center Mike Pouncey (hip) isn’t likely to play.  Right tackle Ja’Wuan James (shoulder), has missed practices all week as has guard-center Kraig Urbik (back).  Guard Ted Larson (biceps) is already out.

This quote speaks volumes, when it comes to ‘coach speak’:  Gase:“Coach Harbaugh always has his crew ready to go very early, and they’re going to be looking to work on certain things. and for us to be able to play them, that’s good for our guys.”  Read between the lines here.  Gase wants competition.  He couldn’t care less about winning.

Baltimore has been hit by the injury bug as well, but John Harbaugh has taken a different approach to the Ravens injury woes.  Ozzie Newsome is one of the best GM’s in football, and Baltimore routinely has better depth than the vast majority of NFL teams.  Harbaugh sat most of the Ravens veterans last week, but he’s said that he expects a number of those vets to suit up and play tonight.

And Harbaugh is clearly a ‘bet-on’ coach in August.  Baltimore went 4-0 SU in the preseason last year, winning SU as an underdog twice; the second time in three years that the Ravens went 4-0 in August both SU and ATS.  They won SU as an underdog in their preseason debut against Washington last week; worth backing again even without starting QB Joe Flacco expected to play.  Live dog here! Take the Ravens.

Teddy is heating up RIGHT NOW, making $$ for himself and his clients!  He delivered a perfect sweep in NFL Preseason action last weekend, part of his 71% All Sports Run over the past five days.  Don’t miss Teddy’s Bucs – Jags ‘Watch & Win’ on ESPN tonight!

NFL Preseason Pick: Teddy Covers betting the Saints +3 points on August 10th 2017

New Orleans Saints vs. Cleveland Browns
NFL Preseason Pick: New Orleans +3 points (August 10th 2017)

Hue Jackson went 0-4 SU and ATS in his lone preseason as the head coach of the Oakland Raiders.  Jackson followed that 0-fer up with an 0-4 SU and ATS mark in his first season with the Browns last year.  Much of that was circumstantial – the Browns Week 1 roster last year had more rookies on it than any non-expansion team in NFL history.

But when we’re talking about a ‘major steam’ line move – this game opened at pick em and is now painted Cleveland -3 with extra vig to support the favorite – that type of track record certainly doesn’t inspire confidence in this bettor!  Whatever value their might have been with the Browns at pick em or -1 is long gone now…..


Most pointspread decisions — whether in the NFL Preseason or Regular season or Playoffs – are decided after halftime.  The mainstream media and the betting markets often play far too much attention to the ‘how much playing time are the starters going to get?’ announcements, as opposed to the ‘who is going to be on the field after halftime?’ question.

And much like last year in August, the Browns second half rotations look spotty at best – limited skill position talent, questionable offensive line chemistry and a QB rotation that doesn’t inspire much confidence.  Rookie DeShone Kizer and fourth stringer ‘never will be’ Kevin Hogan are slated for the second half of this game, not exactly a ‘bet-on’ duo.

Drew Brees won’t see the field tonight, but Chase Daniel, who has been excellent in preseasons past is likely to get extended playing time.  And the Saints have a legitimate battle for the 3rd string job – a ‘bet-on’ situation in August – between a pair of guys who have plenty of experience against 3rd string defenses in August, Garrett Grayson and Ryan Nassib.  That duo is most assuredly not a ‘bet-on’ tandem in September, but in August, at +3, they’re a ‘bet-no’ duo all the way!  Take the Saints.

Teddy is ready to kick off the preseason with a bang, locked and loaded with a rock solid Trifecta of winners, including his very first 10* Big Ticket Report of the young season.  Get onboard right now to lock in with this proven preseason performer!

NFL Playoffs: Steelers vs. Patriots Over-Under Pick from Sean Murphy: January 22nd 2017

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. New England Patriots
NFL Playoffs Over-Under Pick: Under 51 points (January 22nd 2017)

Sunday NFL free play. My selection is on the ‘under’ between Pittsburgh and New England at 6:40 pm et on Sunday.

We missed the mark with the ‘under’ in the Patriots sloppy blowout win over the Texans last Saturday night. I won’t hesitate to go back to the well with the same play here, however.

The Chiefs laid out a pretty good gameplan for slowing down the Steelers offense last week, or at least for how to keep them out of the end zone. I expect the Patriots to employ a similar bend but don’t break style here in the AFC Championship Game.

While the Steelers are known for their offensive prowess, it’s been their defense that has arguably led the way in these playoffs. This is a unit that’s brimming with confidence right now, and one that is playing with a lot of swagger – something they’ll need against the Patriots, who are rarely taken down at home in the postseason.

The oddsmakers have been off the mark with Steelers totals in both previous playoff games and I believe that’s the case again here. Two familiar opponents lends itself to a lower-scoring game than anticipating on Sunday night. Take the under (8*).

  • Sean is putting his AWESOME 61-46 NFL record to the test with 10* side winners from both conference championship games on Sunday, including his 10* NFL Playoff Game of the Year! Plus he’s putting his RED HOT 26-10 NBA run on the line with another 10* winner on the hardwood!