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Archive for the ‘NHL Picks’ Category

Philadelphia Flyers vs. Boston Bruins NHL Pick from Will Rogers: October 21st 2015

Will Rogers - NHL PickPhiladelphia Flyers vs. Boston Bruins
NHL Hockey Pick: Boston -154 odds (October 21st 2015)

The Boston Bruins opened the season with three straight defeats home at TD Garden but are off two big road wins at Colorado (6-2) and Arizona (5-3). Traditionally a strong home-team we can expect the Bruins to make it three wins in a row when they return home to host the Philadelphia Flyers Wednesday night.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Road Woes – The Flyers opened the season with a couple of road losses at Tampa Bay and Florida and have won only 13 of their last 53 away from home. They’ve lost five straight meetings with the Bruins at TD Garden.

2. The Bruins Power Play – The Bruins converted on three of six chances on the man advantage at Arizona Saturday, the second time this season they’ve scored three power play goals in the same game. Their 38.9% conversion rate for the season is the best mark in the NHL.

3. X-Factor – Philadelphia has been limited to one goal in three of its last four games. That won’t cut it here against a Bruins team that is averaging 3.6 goals per game which is second best only to the Capitals 3.8.

Selection: This is a play on the Boston Bruins (Free)

Blackhawks vs. Lightning Stanley Cup Finals Game 2 Over-Under Pick: June 6th 2015

Art Aronson - Stanley Cup Game 2 PickChicago Blackhawks vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
Stanley Cup Finals Game 2 Pick: Under 5 goals (June 6th 2015)

This is a 1* Free Play on the UNDER between the Chicago Blackhawks and the Tampa Bay Lightning.

If you played Tampa Bay like I did in Game 1, you likely have a pretty foul taste in your mouth after the way the game ended. Other than a brief two minute lapse in concentration, the Lightning controlled the pace of the contest throughout, but regardless, the final outcome ensured an easy win for our TOP RATED play on the UNDER.

I think the UNDER is the savvy move in Game 2 also.

If you didn’t have a chance to read my FREE PLAY analysis for Game 1, I believe it’s worth a second look here as for the most part, it also directly pertains to my selection in Game 2:

Chicago is back in the Finals for the third time in the last six seasons with its 5-3 win over the Ducks on Saturday, while the Lightning held on for a 2-0 victory at MSG to advance. Tampa Bay earned home-ice advantage because it had six more points than Chicago during the regular season. Note that these two teams split a pair of regular season games, the Hawks won 3-2 in a shootout on November 11th, before the Bolts struck back with a 4-0 victory on February 27th. Lightning goaltender Ben Bishop was particularly effective against Chicago in those games, stopping 65 of 67 shots, while captain Steven Stamkos was also extremely productive with two goals and three overall points. Tampa Bay may not have the storied history that Chicago does, but it’s still the first team ever to play four Original Six teams in one Stanley Cup Playoff. If you’re watching the NHL at this time of year, then you’re more than just a casual fan, so breaking down individual player match-ups isn’t really important, these teams are in fact very evenly matched, a sentiment clearly shared by the oddsmakers. Both are loaded with plenty of offensive talent and veteran leadership and each is backed by superb goaltending. But is rest going to lead to rust? I think with a few days off, the answer is a definite “yes” on that one and this initial “flat footedness” is something that we can take definitely take advantage of. Also note that Chicago has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of six this year when playing with three or more days rest, while Tampa Bay has seen the total dip below the posted number in five of seven in the same position. There seems to be many strong situational and trend based factors pointing to the UNDER to warrant it a second look in Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Finals.

The two best players on the ice in Game 1 were the men standing between the pipes and with each team waiting for the other to make the first mistake, I think that the writing is indeed on the wall and that another classic hard-hitting, grind-it-out playoff battle is in the cards. Consider a second look at the UNDER in Game 2.

Anaheim Ducks vs. Chicago Blackhawks Betting Odds & Pick: May 23rd 2015

Nick Parsons - NHL PickAnaheim Ducks vs. Chicago Blackhawks
Betting Pick: Chicago -149 odds (May 23rd 2015)

The Anaheim Ducks lost a tough game two at home as the Hawks won a triple overtime thriller and split the first two games at the Honda Center with all of the momentum in Chicago’s hands but they responded in a huge way and regained home ice advantage. The Ducks will try and get another win here in game four but the United Center is a tough place to win in especially twice in a row. Goalie Frederik Andersen stole the headlines in game three as he was brilliant from start to finish.

The Blackhawks missed a great opportunity to take control of their series with the Ducks. Chicago isn’t panicking quite yet but they know they must get a win here or else face the unenviable task of clawing out of a 3-1 hole. .

I am looking for the Blackhawks to come out and try to set the tone early. They can’t afford to lose this game and will give a strong effort. I like Chicago to come away with a home win.

Play on Chicago. This is a 1* free play.