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Archive for the ‘NHL Picks’ Category

Blackhawks vs. Lightning Stanley Cup Finals Game 2 Over-Under Pick: June 6th 2015

Art Aronson - Stanley Cup Game 2 PickChicago Blackhawks vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
Stanley Cup Finals Game 2 Pick: Under 5 goals (June 6th 2015)

This is a 1* Free Play on the UNDER between the Chicago Blackhawks and the Tampa Bay Lightning.

If you played Tampa Bay like I did in Game 1, you likely have a pretty foul taste in your mouth after the way the game ended. Other than a brief two minute lapse in concentration, the Lightning controlled the pace of the contest throughout, but regardless, the final outcome ensured an easy win for our TOP RATED play on the UNDER.

I think the UNDER is the savvy move in Game 2 also.

If you didn’t have a chance to read my FREE PLAY analysis for Game 1, I believe it’s worth a second look here as for the most part, it also directly pertains to my selection in Game 2:

Chicago is back in the Finals for the third time in the last six seasons with its 5-3 win over the Ducks on Saturday, while the Lightning held on for a 2-0 victory at MSG to advance. Tampa Bay earned home-ice advantage because it had six more points than Chicago during the regular season. Note that these two teams split a pair of regular season games, the Hawks won 3-2 in a shootout on November 11th, before the Bolts struck back with a 4-0 victory on February 27th. Lightning goaltender Ben Bishop was particularly effective against Chicago in those games, stopping 65 of 67 shots, while captain Steven Stamkos was also extremely productive with two goals and three overall points. Tampa Bay may not have the storied history that Chicago does, but it’s still the first team ever to play four Original Six teams in one Stanley Cup Playoff. If you’re watching the NHL at this time of year, then you’re more than just a casual fan, so breaking down individual player match-ups isn’t really important, these teams are in fact very evenly matched, a sentiment clearly shared by the oddsmakers. Both are loaded with plenty of offensive talent and veteran leadership and each is backed by superb goaltending. But is rest going to lead to rust? I think with a few days off, the answer is a definite “yes” on that one and this initial “flat footedness” is something that we can take definitely take advantage of. Also note that Chicago has seen the total go UNDER the number in four of six this year when playing with three or more days rest, while Tampa Bay has seen the total dip below the posted number in five of seven in the same position. There seems to be many strong situational and trend based factors pointing to the UNDER to warrant it a second look in Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Finals.

The two best players on the ice in Game 1 were the men standing between the pipes and with each team waiting for the other to make the first mistake, I think that the writing is indeed on the wall and that another classic hard-hitting, grind-it-out playoff battle is in the cards. Consider a second look at the UNDER in Game 2.

Anaheim Ducks vs. Chicago Blackhawks Betting Odds & Pick: May 23rd 2015

Nick Parsons - NHL PickAnaheim Ducks vs. Chicago Blackhawks
Betting Pick: Chicago -149 odds (May 23rd 2015)

The Anaheim Ducks lost a tough game two at home as the Hawks won a triple overtime thriller and split the first two games at the Honda Center with all of the momentum in Chicago’s hands but they responded in a huge way and regained home ice advantage. The Ducks will try and get another win here in game four but the United Center is a tough place to win in especially twice in a row. Goalie Frederik Andersen stole the headlines in game three as he was brilliant from start to finish.

The Blackhawks missed a great opportunity to take control of their series with the Ducks. Chicago isn’t panicking quite yet but they know they must get a win here or else face the unenviable task of clawing out of a 3-1 hole. .

I am looking for the Blackhawks to come out and try to set the tone early. They can’t afford to lose this game and will give a strong effort. I like Chicago to come away with a home win.

Play on Chicago. This is a 1* free play.

Blackhawks vs. Wild NHL Betting Pick from Nick Parsons: May 5th 2015

Nick Parsons - NHL PickChicago Blackhawks vs. Minnesota Wild
NHL Pick: Minnesota Wild -140 odds (May 5th 2015)

The Minnesota Wild have seen this scenario before. They have been down 0-2 in the series to the Chicago Blackhawks in each of the last two postseasons, Minnesota won Game 3 at home to get back into the series. Minnesota hadn’t lost back-to-back games in regulation since Jan. 11 and 13, the latter coming one day before it acquired eventual Vezina Trophy finalist Devan Dubnyk in a trade from Arizona.

The Blackhawks went ahead 3-0 in Game 1 before hanging on for a 4-3 win before Patrick Kane scored twice in Sunday’s 4-1 victory.

The Wild must take at least one at Xcel Energy Center to send the series back to Chicago for Game 5 on Saturday. They’ll certainly need to clean things up, though.

The Blackhawks improved to 28-0 when leading after two periods.

Chicago hasn’t done as well in Minnesota, dropping five of the last seven including a 3-0 loss in the most recent meeting there Feb. 3. Dubnyk made 24 saves in that contest, but he’s been outplayed by Corey Crawford for most of the first two of this series. Crawford stopped 30 shots Sunday and is 6-2-0 with a .950 save percentage in his last eight against the Wild.

This is a must win game for the Wild and they have been in this position before against this very team. In those past instances the Wild came away with a game three win and I see the same thing happening here. The Wild will take this one on their home ice.

Play on Minnesota. This is a (1*) free play.