Colorado Rockies vs. Miami Marlins
Pick: Miami Marlins -125 odds (May 22nd 2012)

Ricky Nolasco has struggled of late and even his last start against the Rockies was a bad one giving up 11 ER last year, but his previous 5 starts vs. the Rockies were quality as he posted a 2.13 ERA. 1 bad start and we are getting better odds against a Rockies team that has gone ice cold and is even worse on the road.

The Rockies who are in the top 10 in OPS vs. RHP are one of the worst road teams in hitting with a .210 average and 2.73 runs per 9 vs. RHP. They have a road bullpen ERA of 5.21 which will have to come in play when Juan Nicasio makes his 4th road start of the year vs. a hot Marlins team that is 15-5 this month. The Marlins will face Nicasio and they’ve hit righties well at home .294 with 5.20 runs per 9 vs. RHP. Nicasio may have a great ERA in 3 road starts this year but 2 of those 3 starts were against the 30th ranked Pirates and 25th ranked Astros in hitting vs. RHP. He posted a 7.04 ERA in 6 road starts last year.

The Rockies are just 18-43 in their last 61 road games and 16-40 in their last 56 vs. a winning team. While the Marlins are 19-8 in Nolasco’s last 27 starts vs. the NL West. -Freddy Wills