Cleveland Indians vs. Toronto Blue Jays
MLB Pick: Toronto Blue Jays -167 (May 31st 2011)
On Tuesday the Free MLB System Play is on the Toronto Blue jays. Game 970 at 7:05 eastern. Free plays now on a 17-8 run as we had they Jays on Monday and we back them here again today. We want to play on certain home favorites off a home win by 5 or more runs, if they scored 10 or more runs and had 5 or more men left on base with no errors, and are taking on road dog off a road loss that scored 2 or less runs on 5+ hits and 5+ men left on base. These home favorites have won 42 of 50 times the past 8 years. The elevated line keeps this from being a late phone play. The Indians have Talbot making his second start since April 11th. In his first start back he allowed 8 runs in 3 innings. Talbot also has a mediocre 5.63 ERA vs Toronto. Morrow makes the start for Toronto, his first home start of his career vs Cleveland. The Jays have an excellent 2.65 home bullpen ERA and are averaging over 6 runs per game on .300 hitting over the past week. The Indians have lost 3 of 4 on turf this season. Look for Toronto to take this one. On Tuesday I Have 2 90% Power systems in game one of the NBA Finals and a 20-1 MLB Diamond Cutter system that wins by 3.3 runs per game. I also have a totals system that has cashed 14 of 16 times. Monday big totals play cashed easily with Florida and Arizona going over. For the free Play take the Toronto Blue jays. -Rob Vinciletti (Touthouse.com)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Seattle Mariners
MLB Pick: Seattle Mariners -133 (May 31st 2011)
I won with the Mariners yesterday. While I don’t feel quite as strongly as I did yesterday, I feel that they’ve got a strong shot at another victory this evening. With yesterday’s victory, the M’s are now 4-1 their last five and 10-2 their last 12. That’s the best mark in the entire American League, during that period. On the other hand, the Orioles have now dropped four straight. Admittedly, Guthrie has pitched much better than his 2-6 record suggests. He’s also pitched fairly well recently. That said, he’s had trouble with Seattle (0-2 and 6.06 ERA L3 starts vs. M’s!) and he’s up against an opposing starter who is even in better current form than him.
Indeed, Bedard has been outstanding of late. He’s 2-0 with a 0.47 ERA his last three starts! During that stretch, he has 22 K’s (and only five walks) in 19 innings. He allowed only two runs and just one of them was earned. Only 14 hits and none of them left the park. Going back further finds Bedard at 3-0 with a fantastic 1.09 ERA in his last five starts. Also, note that Bedard is 1-0 with a 2.61 ERA and 0.968 WHIP in two starts vs. Baltimore, his former team. Today, he’ll be up against an Oriole lineup which is batting a mere .129 (4 for 31) with runners in scoring position, over the past four games. Also, note that the O’s are a money-burning 48-80 (-15.7) against southpaw starters, the past few seasons.
The M’s are now 20-9 (+11.6) the past 29 times that they played a game with an O/U line of seven or less and 7-2 the last nine times that they were a host in this series. All things considered, I feel the current price is fair. Consider Seattle. -Ben Burns (Touthouse.com)
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs
MLB Pick: Chicago Cubs -168 (May 31st 2011)
At 8:05 pm, our complimentary selection is on the Chicago Cubs over the Houston Astros. Carlos “Big Z” Zambrano recently got his first win of the season in his home ballpark when he beat the Mets at Wrigley Field on May 26 and improved his overall record to 5-2 on the season. Zambrano will try to make it two in a row at home tonight when he faces the Astros, a team he’s already beaten this season – in Houston back on April 13. The Astros will call up 20-year-old righthander Jordan Lyles for his first-ever Major League start tonight. Lyles was Houston’s first round draft pick back in 2008 when he was just 17 years old, and he’s worked his way through every level of the Minor Leagues to AAA Oklahoma City this season where Lyles had a moderate amount of success, going 3-3 with a 3.20 ERA in 10 starts. His task tonight is made more difficult by the fact that Zambrano’s April victory over Houston put the big righthander at an impressive 15-8 with a 2.78 ERA in 32 appearances (30 starts) against the ‘Stros. Take the Cubs. As always, good luck…Al McMordie. (Touthouse.com)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds
MLB Pick: Cincinnati Reds -121 (May 30th 2011)
The Cincinnati Reds get the call Monday as just a small home favorite against the Milwaukee Brewers. These are two very evenly matched starting pitchers tonight, but we’ll back the Reds due to home-field advantage in this one. Plus, Cincinnati has owned Milwaukee. The Reds are 24-11 in all meetings with the Brewers over the last three seasons, including 5-1 this year. Cincinnati has won 13 of their last 17 home meetings with the Brewers. Travis Wood is 2-0 with a 2.95 ERA and 0.764 WHIP in three career starts versus Milwaukee, while Chris Narveson is 0-2 with a 7.25 ERA and 1.464 WHIP in three career starts versus Cincinnati. The Brewers are one of the worst road teams in the league this year, going 8-17 away from home while hitting .220 and scoring 2.8 runs/game. Cincinnati is 15-11 at home where they are hitting .282 and scoring 5.7 runs/game. Plus, the Reds are hitting .296 and scoring 6.6 runs/game against left-handed starters in 2011. Take Cincinnati on the Money Line. -Black Widow (Touthouse.com)