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Archive for July, 2011

MLB Baseball Predictions: Giants vs. Reds Odds: July 31st 2011

San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds
MLB Baseball Prediction: Cincinnati Reds -151 odds (July 31st 2011)
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Reds -151 (2.5* FREE PLAY) Johny Cueto has been absolutely dominating this year. He has a 1.58 ERA during day starts and is 2-2 with a 1.86 ERA at home where he has not gotten a lot of run support. That is about to change Sunday when the Reds face Barry Zito. The Reds are still in the race and have dominated left handed pitching this year. They are the #2 team in OPS with a .819 while the Giants are 26th with a .661 OPS vs. RHP, which they face here today. Cueto had 7 innings pitched of shut out ball earlier vs. the Giants and I think he continues that success as he has not given up more than 3 ER all year long. Giants also struggle during day games as well where they have a .632 OPS scoring just 3.24 runs per game while the reds are #2 with a .803 OPS and scoring 5.31 runs per day game.
 
Barry Zito is fighting for a spot in the rotation with Jonathan Sanchez returning next week. He’s been awful in his last two starts and now he faces a hot hitting Reds team that has hit .247 with 7.04 runs per 9 vs. LHP over their last 10 games and the Reds at home this year have been dominant vs. LHP. They are hitting .286 with 7.05 runs per 9 vs. LHP. The Giants bullpen which is considered an advantage is not on the road where they have a 3.58 ERA while the Reds have 2.78 ERA home bullpen ERA with their best pitcher going makes this a total mismatch as the Reds are 31-13 in their last 44 home games vs. LH pitching and Zito is 1-10 in his last 11 starts as an underdog +110 to +150.

MLB Baseball Picks: Pirates vs. Phillies Odds: July 31st 2011

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies
MLB Baseball Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 +119 odds (July 31st 2011)
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5* graded play on the Phillies using the RUN LINE as they take on the Pittsburgh Pirates set to start at 1:35 PM ET. My proprietary simulator and statistical database shows a high probability that Philadelphia will win this game. I have won 17 fo the last 25 premium releases in MLB for 68% winners. I had Anaheim as my TOP RATED 25* Fox Sports Titan and then Philadelphia as a 15* RUN LINE winner. This marks the third straight day I am on the Phillies using the Run Line. The offense had picked up before the presence of Hunter Pence. With his strong bay now fully protecting Ryan Howard this offense is going to average near 6 runs per game over the remainder of the season. Howard had a a huge night last night and when the Pirates intentionally walked Howard, Pence came up and made the Pirates pay the price. Pence brings the baseball skills and chemistry to the team that was lost when former RF Jason Werth signed as a free agent with Washington. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a 40-14 record making 25.5 units per one unit wagered since 1997. Play against NL road dogs against a 1.5 run line with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.00 or better on the season with a hot starting pitcher sporting an ERA less than 2.50 over his last three starts. Take the Phillies using the Run Line.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction & Odds: July 30th 2011

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs
Prediction: St. Louis Cardinals -169 odds (July 30th 2011)
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On Saturday the MLB Free Plat is on the St. Louis Cardinals. Game 902 at 4:10 eastern. The Cards fit a solid 37-8 system . The High line limits us from making this unit rated, but for the free play its worth a look. What we want to do is play on certain home favorites off a home favored win by 5 or more runs if the total was 8 or less and they had 10+ hits with 5 or more men left on base, vs an opponent off a road dog loss by 5 or more and scored 2 or less. If the home win was at less than -140 the system goes perfect. Lohse for the Cardinals has better numbers then Lopez who has limited starts for the Cubs. Look for the Cards to win this one today. On Saturday the lead play is the 93% MLB Divisional Game of the Month + Big MLB Totals Play going tonight as well. MLB on a 9-2 run with totals cashing 6 of last 7. Jump on and Cash on Saturday. For the free play take the Cardinals. RV

MLB Betting Lines: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies Pick: July 30th 2011

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates +237 MLB Betting Line (July 30th 2011)
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Given all of the commotion that the Pittsburgh Pirates have caused in the NL Central, this series with the Philadelphia Phillies could be the most important series of the season for the Pirates. Taking the mound for Pittsburgh in this game will be James McDonald, having the best season of his career. In his last 10 games, McDonald is 4-1 with a 2.73 ERA. The last time he faced the Phllies was on June 5th when he only went four innings and gave up 3 runs on 3 hits. But in his last 2 starts, he blanked the Cincinnati Reds and Atlanta Braves. McDonald has been pitching well, and he is peaking right when the Pirates need him to. The saga of Cliff Lee continues as he takes the mound for this game. Lee is not proving to be worth the millions he signed for in the off-season, and he is proving to be a source of headaches for the Phillies’ coaching staff. In his last two games, Lee is 0-2 and has given up a total of seven runs. The speed and persistence of the Pirates may be too much for Lee in this game.