On Tuesday the free play is on The Florida Marlins. Game 954 at 7:10 eastern. The Marlins are back home off a make up game road in in New York vs the Mets. They come home to face a San Diego team that has struggled in the second half vs losing teams having lost 5 of 6 times. Florida has handled Losing teams quite well in the second half winning 7 of 8. The Padres have been pathetic at the plate averaging just 2.6 runs per game on .169 hitting the past 7 games. Florida was averaging over 6 runs per game heading in to Monday night. The Pitching match is very even with Stauffer for the Padres and Sanchez for Florida when we compare home to road era stats. Sanchez has been solid vs The Padres with a 2.19 era having allowed 3 runs in 12+ innings. Sanchez has also won 4 of 5 vs NL West teams. We will back Florida here for the free Play. On Tuesday the Triple pack includes a 100% totals system that averages 15.7 runs per game and a 100% system in the Cardinals at Mets game as well as a double system dog. Jump on and cash out on Tuesday. For the free Play take Florida. RV
I’ll side with the St. Louis Cardinals Tuesday to beat the struggling New York Mets in Game 1 of this series. The Cardinals come in well-rested with an off day in between, while the Mets had to play a make-up game yesterday against the Florida Marlins. They would fall 4-1, losing for the fifth time in six games. The Cardinals have played very well on the road this season, hitting .272 and scoring 5.1 RPG. Dillon Gee got off to a great start for New York this season, but his numbers have plummeted of late.
Gee is 1-3 with a 6.35 ERA over his last four starts, allowing 16 earned runs in 22 2/3 innings. Kyle Lohse has had a tremendous bounce-back season for St. Louis, going 8-6 with a 3.32 ERA and 1.057 WHIP in 18 starts. Lohse has been at his best on the road, going 6-2 with a 2.83 ERA and 1.052 WHIP in 10 starts away from home. The Cardinals are 5-1 in Lohse’s last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Mets are 0-5 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. New York is 7-20 in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Cardinals Tuesday.
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Realize the Rangers are red hot, but playing in an elongated road trip on the west coast has a tendency to shift momentum. Tonight, Texas righty Alex Oganda (9-3, 2.92) hits the bump in a match-up with the Angels righty Travis Chatwood (5-5, 3.62). Back on May 13th Oganda threw a nice set of 6 1/3 innings giving up 5 hits and 1 earned run in a home assignment versus LA.. He has a solid 0.64 ERA life time versus the Angels. Texas has supported the hurler with back-to-back superior efforts from the hitting standing point totaling 28 runs winning both versus Baltimore and Florida.
Despite a fine ERA Chatwood of LA has pitched into some tough luck this season. He’s coming off a 5 1/3 inning stint against Detroit in which he allowed no earned runs and just 4 hits. In starts where Chatwood has garnered more walks than strikeouts, the Angels have gone 2-6 this season. Obviously, when the righty’s control is at a high level, Los Angeles increases their probability of winning. In the UNDERDOG role the Angels are 7 of 10 with Chatwood and 9-1 off a loss. Further, LA is 12-4 versus a right-hander and 5 of 7 versus the Rangers in LA. We look for a MAJOR UPSET tonight out on the west coast. Good Luck and don’t miss my Tuesday action.
The Florida Marlins and New York Mets are headed in opposite directions. The Mets have lost four of five, while the Marlins have won eight of nine. We’ll side with the team playing the better baseball right now at an excellent price. Clay Hensley has been a staple in the bullpen for the Marlins over the past two seasons, and he sports a 3.60 ERA in 15 innings this year. He’ll be making his first start since 2008 tonight. “My heart has always been in the rotation,” he told the Marlins’ official website. “To get the opportunity to do this, and throw in the rotation, it’s almost like getting to start over again.” In a rehab start for Double-A Jacksonville on Wednesday, Hensley allowed a run and five hits while striking out seven in 4 1-3 innings. New York starter Chris Capuano is 4-18 (-17.3 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season since 1997. Florida is 17-9 (+10.0 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last 2 seasons. The Marlins are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road underdog. Take the Marlins on the Money Line.