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Archive for August, 2011

Phillies vs. Reds Odds: MLB Predictions for August 31st 2011

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds
MLB Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies -168 odds (August 31st 2011)

Phillies bats are just hot right now and I think they will go for the sweep over the Reds with Cliff Lee on the mound who has just dominated August over his last 4 starts he has a 0.58 ERA. He faces a good lineup that can hit lefties, but as I mentioned in game 1 when they faced Cole Hamels when this line up faces quality LHP they do struggle. They’ve largely benefited from having the least amount of LHP this year which has led to them being #2 in OPS vs. LHP. I think we see that stat continue to go down tonight when they face Cliff Lee.

The Phillies are scoring 7.30 runs per 9 vs. LHP over their last 10 games with a .290 average while the Reds are at .248 with 4.31 runs per 9 vs. LHP and a 4.88 bullpen ERA. I mention the bullpen because there is not a lot of quality there and they are being stretched. With Dontrelle Willis on the mound who is 3-6 with a 6.68 ERA in his career vs. the Phillies going it seems like they’ll need it. Willis has pitched well with the Reds, but lately he has struggled with a 1.91 WHIP and 5.74 ERA over his last 3 starts. I worry about his control and think the Phillies are a team that can really take advantage here today. After all the Reds are 6-20 in their last 26 vs. teams with a winning % over .600 and are 15-36 in their last 51 vs. the Reds. Phillies are 43-17 in their last 60 games vs. LH starters including 19-7 in their last 26 road. Get more MLB predictions from Freddy Wills at Touthouse.com.

Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Odds: MLB Baseball Picks for August 31st 2011

Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
MLB Baseball Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -143 odds (August 31st 2011)

The Diamondbacks are on fire. They’ve won 8 in a row while outscoring the opposition 42-10. Plus, they’ve won 11 straight at home. I don’t believe Colorado’s Esmil Rogers is the pitcher who will end these runs. Rogers has an ERA of 5.33 in all starts this season and checks into this matchup with an ERA of 6.11 over his last 3 starts. He has an ERA of 9.19 in 3 division starts this season. Dating back to last season, the Rockies are 1-7 in Rogers’ last 8 starts vs. the National League West. Arizona’s Collmenter, meanwhile, is carrying an ERA of 3.19 on the season and checks in with a 1.42 ERA over his last 3 starts. Collmenter’s low 1.109 WHIP is also worth noting when you consider the Rockies are 5-21 in their last 26 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. The Rockies are 9-23 in their last 32 games at Arizona. Take the D-backs.

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