Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers
Pick: Tampa Bay Rays +167 odds (September 30th 2011)
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On Friday the Free MLB play is on Tampa Bay. Game 951 at 5:05 eastern. Tampa is a great value play here as the line is shooting up with the Pitching change for Tampa from Niemann to M. Moore. In his lone start This season Moore gave Tampa a solid 5 innings of shut out ball in New York against the Yankees. Even better was his 11 strikeouts. Many wont have the gumption to Take Tampa here. However, like Texas they are on a big roll getting here as the wildcard and have more momentum than Texas, which has been a big factor in these games the past few seasons. They are swinging hot bats, averaging 6.4 runs per the past week. In 9 meetings Texas had a 5-4 edge, so we Know Tampa can compete here. Texas may have trouble with the young lefty they have not seen and if he can keep Tampa in the game against Wilson, Tampa, like many other wild card teams can steal game one. On Friday the lead play is the MLB Double playoff angle and the Triple angle College Football game. Last night we cashed with Pittsburgh and Utep. Jump on and cash out tonight. For the free play take Tampa Bay. -Rob Vinciletti (Touthouse.com)
New York Yankees vs. Detroit Tigers
Pick: Detroit Tigers +125 odds (September 30th 2011)
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The Tigers and Yankees turn to their aces for game one of the ALDS in New York on Friday. CC Sabathia is 19-8 with a 3.00 ERA in 33 starts. He’s given up seven runs and 25 hits over his last 19 innings of work. The lefty has faced the Tigers twice this season allowing seven runs and 16 hits over 13 innings. Wilson Betemit (3-5), Miguel Cabrera (9-16), Carlos Guillen (13-44), Austin Jackson (4-14), Magglio Ordonez (19-71) and Ramon Santiago (7-24) all have good numbers against the Yankees’ pitcher. The Tigers are 31-20 against left-handed starters hitting .287 in the process. They are hitting .325 in their last seven putting up over seven runs per game in that span and the Detroit continues to have the hottest offense in baseball in the month of September.
Justin Verlander will be the AL Cy Young and he is also getting consideration for MVP. He is an incredible 24-5 with a 2.40 ERA this season. The righty has given up just five runs and 17 hits over his last three starts. He has also faced the Yankees twice allowing six runs and 11 hits in 12 innings of work with both starts coming early in the season. Robinson Cano (4-21), Curtis Granderson (1-6), Andruw Jones (1-5), A-Rod (4-18), Nick Swisher (8-46) and Mark Teixeira (3-22) have all have struggled against the Tigers’ ace. Granted the Yankees have coasted a bit down the stretch, but the bottom line is they are hitting just .230 in their last seven games. They will face a Tigers’ bullpen that has a 3.66 ERA on the road this year, blowing only 4 saves in 32 chances. This game presents a rare chance to get the best pitcher in baseball (Verlander) at an underdog price tonight. Get more MLB picks from Steve Merril at Touthouse.com.
Houston vs. UTEP
Betting Pick: UTEP +17 (September 29th 2011)
The value lies with UTEP at home as it looks to avenge last year’s 30-point loss at Houston. The last time the Cougars visited El Paso, they left with their tail between their legs. In 2009, as a 14-point home dog, the Miners crushed the Cougars by 17 points. UTEP has either won or lost by 17 points or less in 5 of the last 6 meetings in this series. Historically speaking, this isn’t a good spot for Houston. Consider that the Cougs are 0-8 ATS in road games since 1992 following a game in which they covered the spread as a double-digit favorite. Houston has actually lost by an average score of 34 to 25.5 in this situation. In addition, the Cougars are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games and 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games as a road favorite. The home team has covered the number in 4 of the last 5 meetings, and that’s who we’ll take tonight. Jimmy’s South Florida/Pittsburgh 5* ‘Never Lost’ Big East Game of the Month (ESPN) goes tonight!
10 of L12 Days in the Black! Jimmy Boyd is a DOMINANT 36-18 (67%) his L54 5* Top Plays carrying the “Game of the Month/Game of the Year” tag ($1,000/unit bettors up $61,600 w/ this run). The domination continues with his ABSOLUTE STRONGEST play in the Big East this month, going on tonight’s USF/Pitt showdown. It’s backed by a never lost trend that is a PERFECT 7-0 ATS ALL-TIME and is beating tonight’s number by an average of 11.5 points! Get more college football picks from Jimmy Boyd at Touthouse.com
Ole Miss vs. Fresno State
Prediction: Fresno State -3 -120 odds (October 1st 2011)
Ole Miss has shown nothing in the first three games to make me believe they are going to go on the road and beat Fresno State. The Rebels aren’t going to get fired up to play this game, as they will have their eyes set on giving it everything they have the following week against Alabama. Ole Miss loss 27-13 at home against Georgia last week, but in all honesty they should have lost that game by four touchdowns. Georgia had 475 yards of total offense to the Rebels 183 and benefited from the Bulldogs missing three field goals. Fresno State is 2-2 with a couple of hard fought losses at California and Nebraska. They are going to be extremely fired up for the chance to show the country that they are for real with a win over an SEC opponents, and I think they could end up running away with this game. The Bulldogs are going to be able to put points up against Mississippi’s defense. While they aren’t great on defense, they are talented enough to hold the Rebels in check behind a fired up crowd. Ole Miss is just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
Brandon Lee has his COLLEGE FOOTBALL CLIENTS UP BIG EARLY and has no plan of laying off the gas as the conference portion of the season gets going. Brandon is 12-6 OVER HIS LAST 18 CFB PLAYS and is ready to help you bring home a big profit on Thursday with his 10* BIG EAST GAME OF THE WEEK in the USF/Pitt showdown. If this play doesn’t cash, you will receive FRIDAY’S CFB 10* WINNER FOR NO ADDITIONAL COST! Get more college football picks from Brandon Lee at Touthouse.com.