Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
MLB Baseball Pick: Arizona Diamondbacks -168 odds (September 26th 2011)
Arizona has won four straight games to remain in the hunt for the number two seed in the National League. Getting that second position is big as it avoids the Phillies in the first round and it comes with home field advantage in the Divisional Series. Currently the Diamondbacks are one game back of the Brewers.
They send Daniel Hudson to the hill and he has been pitching very well of late. He has allowed three runs or less in six straight games with five of those being quality outings. His last game missed a quality performance by an inning. He has been solid at home this season, posting a 3.04 ERA in 16 starts with 11 of those being quality outings. Arizona is 11-5 in those 16 games. Hudson has faced the Dodgers three times with all three starts resulting in quality outings. In two home starts he is 2-0 with a 1.53 ERA.
The Dodgers counter with Dana Eveland who started September well but has faltered since. He allowed one run over 15 innings in his first two starts but he has given up nine runs over nine innings in his last two outings. He has actually pitched better on the road than at home so leaving Los Angeles may be a good thing but that is certainly no guarantee with the nightmare that took place in Arizona. He made a start at Chase Field last season and was shelled for eight runs on eight hits in just 1.1 innings. 3* (912) Arizona Diamondbacks. Get more MLB picks from Matt Fargo at Touthouse.com.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Carolina Panthers
Week 3 NFL Pick: Carolina Panthers -3 -110 odds (September 25th 2011)
We’ll side with the Carolina Panthers Sunday as they get their first win of the season at home against the lowly Jacksonville Jaguars. Carolina easily could be 2-0 right now had a few breaks gone their way. They lost 21-28 at Arizona after blowing a 21-14 lead in the fourth quarter, which included an 89-yard punt return TD. The Panthers jumped out to a 13-0 lead against Green Bay, only to fall 23-30. Cam Newton has been nothing short of spectacular, leading a Carolina offense that is averaging 403 passing yards and 476 total yards through two games. Carolina is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after allowing 7 points or less in the first half in 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. They are winning in this spot by an average score of 28.7 to 16.0. Jacksonville’s offense has been atrocious, putting up just 9.5 points and 263 total yards/game through two contests. The Jaguars are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. There’s no question that after watching both teams the first two weeks, Carolina is the superior squad and it will show at home Sunday. Take the Panthers and lay the points.
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Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings
Week 3 NFL Pick: Detroit Lions -3 -110 odds (September 25th 2011)
The Detroit Lions have something special going right now, and I’m going to back them Sunday because of it. The Lions have won 10 straight games dating back to last season. They won their final four games of 2010, went 4-0 in the preseason, and have opened their 2011 campaign 2-0 with victories over the Bucs and Chiefs. That was the same Tampa Bay team that Minnesota could not put away at home last week. They lost 20-24 to the Bucs to drop to 0-2 on the season. So for this year, the Vikings are getting outgained 292.5 to 371. Detroit is scoring 37.5 points per game on the season while averaging 421 total yards. The Lions have held their opponents to 11.5 points and 290 yards per contest. Not only is this team winning, but they have been dominant in the process. The Lions are 14-3 ATS in all games over the last 2 seasons. Detroit is a perfect 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games following a win. Minnesota is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog, and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog of 0.5-3.0. Roll with the Lions Sunday.
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