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Archive for October, 2011

World Series Game 6 Prediction & Odds: Texas vs. St. Louis: October 26th 2011

Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals
World Series Game 6 Prediction: Under 7.5 -110 odds (October 26th 2011)
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These two have played to the under in four of five games this series, and I expect this trend to continue tonight. When Garcia and Lewis faced off in Game 2, we only saw a total of 3 runs scored. Low-scoring games in St. Louis have been common of late. In fact, the Cards have combined with their opponents to score 7 runs or less in 8 of their last 10 and 14 of their last 20 home games. The under is 7-1 in the Rangers’ last 8 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5 and 7-1 in their last 8 World Series games. It’s also 6-0 in Lewis’ last 6 starts versus NL clubs. The under is 5-1 in the Cardinals’ last 6 World Series games and 6-1 in their last 7 World Series home games. Also, St. Louis is 11-2 under all-time under manager La Russa in a playoff game when facing elimination. We’ve only seen an average of 5.5 runs scored in this situation. Bet the Under. PERFECT 3-0 THIS WEEK! The perfection continues tonight with Jimmy’s UConn/Pitt 5* Humpday NCAAF *BEST BET* (ESPN) & TEX/STL 4* World Series Gm 6 SMASH (FOX)! SAVE $200 w/ a 1 Wk Sampler. Get more MLB picks from Jimmy Boyd at Touthouse.com.

Florida Intl vs. Troy Betting Prediction: October 25th 2011

Florida Intl vs. Troy
Betting Prediction: Under 55.5 (October 25th 2011)
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We saw 87 total points scored in last year’s meeting. So for the books to release a line of 55.5, we know where they want the money to go. We won’t oblige them. Neither of these teams have been as explosive offensively as many expected. The Golden Panthers rank 73rd in the country with 26.1 points per game and the Trojans rank 93rd with 22.7 points per contest. Because they haven’t met expectations in terms of offensive production, they have been a solid unders play.

The Trojans are 3-0 under in their last 3 games and the Golden Panthers are 5-1 under in their last 6. The under is 7-3-2 in the Golden Panthers’ last 12 home games and 5-0-2 in their last 7 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0 points. The under is also 4-1 in the Trojans’ last 5 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0 points and 4-1 in their last 5 conference games. We’ll take the Under tonight.

Jimmy Boyd took the books to school Monday with a 2-0 SWEEP, which included a 4-2 winner on the Rangers and an outright winner on the 11-point underdog Jaguars! He’s ready to build on that performance Tuesday night with his Troy/FIU 10-0 ATS NCAAF Tuesday Night SMASH (ESPN2)! Jimmy has logged long hours in the research room so you can reap the reward. A PERFECT 10-0 ATS GAME-BREAKING ANGLE pegs the winning side in his game report. You’re guaranteed to cash this ticket or Wednesday’s football card is ON THE HOUSE! Get more college football betting predictions from Jimmy Boyd at Touthouse.com.

World Series Game 5 Pick & Odds: St. Louis vs. Texas: October 24th 2011

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Texas Rangers
World Series Game 5 Pick: Over 8 Runs -110 odds (October 24th 2011)
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I am siding with the OVER in Game 5 of the World Series between the St. Louis Cardinals and Texas Rangers. I believe odds makers are putting too much stock into their Game 1 performance, which was a pitcher’s duel between scheduled Game 5 starters C.J. Wilson and Chris Carpenter.

The Cardinals won the opener 3-2. The thing you have to remember is that St. Louis is already a pitcher’s park, and that’s before you even factor in the weather. It was a very cold night in Game 1 and the ball simply wasn’t flying off the bats. There were at least three balls hit in that game that would have been home runs in Texas, but instead came up just short on the warning track.

I believe both Carpenter and Wilson will struggle to get outs tonight in a hitter’s park in Arlington. Texas is batting .294 and scoring 6.2 runs/game at home this season. Their opponents are averaging 5.0 runs/game, so their average combined score at home is 11.2 runs/game.

St. Louis has been much better at the plate on the road than they have been at home. The Cardinals are hitting at a .278 clip while scoring 5.3 runs/game away from St. Louis. While I don’t expect there to be 23 combined runs like in Game 3, I do expect this one to easily go OVER the number by the time both Wilson and Carpenter depart.

Carpenter sports a sub-par 3.77 ERA on the road this season. Wilson has posted a 3.94 ERA at home home, which is much higher than his sub-3.00 ERA on the road. The OVER is 17-6-3 in Wilson’s last 26 home starts. The OVER is 17-8-2 in Wilson’s last 27 starts with a total set of 7.0-8.5. The OVER is 10-4 in Carpenter’s last 14 road starts with a total set of 7.0-8.5.

The OVER is 51-25-1 in Cardinals last 77 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5, and the OVER is 9-2 in Cardinals last 11 road games overall. The OVER is 33-16-2 in Rangers last 51 home games overall, and the OVER is 4-1 in Rangers last 5 home games with a total set of 7.0-8.5. All signs point to a slugfest tonight folks. Bet the OVER in Game 5. (Touthouse.com)

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Arizona Cardinals Pick & Odds: October 23rd 2011

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Arizona Cardinals
Pick: Arizona Cardinals +4.5 -110 odds (October 23rd 2011)
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Motivated by a 1-4 start and having had a bye week to prepare, look for the Cardinals to take the Steelers right down to the wire this afternoon. The defending AFC champion Steelers have been overvalued this season as one might expect, and they are just 2-4 ATS as a result. They have performed well at home for the most part but are just 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS on the road. They were lucky to escape with a win against the lowly Colts in Indy, and I’m here to tell you the Cards are a better football team than the Manning-less Colts.

If there’s one thing you don’t want to do, it’s dismiss the Cards at home in the underdog role. That’s because they are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games as a home underdog and 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 home games as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. Arizona has lost 4 in a row, but this is no time for us to turn our back. The Cards are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 home games after 3 or more consecutive losses. They are also 15-5 ATS in their last 20 home games after 3 or more consecutive losses against the spread. We’ll take the points.

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