Tennessee vs. Oakland
College Basketball Pick: Tennessee -3.5 (November 28th 2011)
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The Tennessee Volunteers should be more heavily favored over Oakland Monday night. This team has three wins all by 23 points or more, and their losses have come against Duke (77-67) and Memphis (97-99) on neutral courts. This tough early schedule will only benefit the Vols going forward.
Oakland also has two losses, but both of those came in blowout fashion to Alabama (57-74) and to Arkansas (68-91). Their lone home win was a lackluster one as they beat Utah Valley State by a final of 89-83. It’s clear in my mind that Oakland is not on the same level as Tennessee talent-wise.
The Vols will have no problem getting motivated to play Oakland tonight. They were upset by Oakland 89-82 last year, and these returning players certainly have not forgotten that loss.
Tennessee has three studs in G Trae Golden (18.0 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 7.2 APG), F Jeronne Maymon (14.4 PPG, 9.4 RPG) and F Jordan McRae (13.4 PPG). Throw in returning starter Cameron Tatum (9.8 PPG, 3.4 RPG), and this has the makings of a potential NCAA Tournament team.
This play falls into a system that is 43-16 (72.9%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on a road team (TENNESSEE) – an explosive offensive team (>=78 PPG) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG), after scoring 85 points or more 2 straight games.
Tennessee is 9-2 ATS in November games over the last 2 seasons. The Vols are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games off a road win by 10 points or more. Tennessee is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Bet the Vols Monday.
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