Chicago Bears vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Week 13 NFL Pick: Chicago Bears -8 -110 odds (December 4th 2011)
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Chicago lost 25-20 at Oakland last Sunday, but they’re still one of the hottest teams in the NFL, owning a 5-1 SU & ATS record during their last six games! For the third straight week the Bears face an opponent from the AFC West and expect them to rebound against the struggling Chiefs, who are now 0-2 while scoring a total of 12 points behind replacement QB Tyler Palko. Bear’s RB Forte matches up extremely well against this Kansas City defense, ranked 28th in the NFL against the run, allowing an average of 134 rushing yards per game on 4.5 yards per carry. With the Bears dominating the line of scrimmage, clock and field position behind RB Forte, we’re laying the points with this home Favorite as we find them at 16-5 ATS against AFC West division opponents, including a solid 31-20 win over San Diego two weeks ago. Get more week 13 NFL picks from Carlo Campanella on December 4th 2011 at Touthouse.com

Louisville vs. Long Beach State
Betting Pick: Under 135 points -110 odds (November 28th 2011)
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Rick Pitino lost his top scorer from last year’s edition of Louisville basketball in Preston Knowles. With just two starters returning this year, Pitino will look to the incoming class to fill the void. And Pitino has one of the best of the freshman class in 6-foot-5 Wayne Blackshear. Pitino also looks forward to the addition of power forward Chane Behanan. Meanwhile, Long Beach State returns four starters to coach Dan Monson’s team. Long Beach is 3-2 S/U, 2-3 ATS to start the season. Meanwhile, Louisville is 5-0 S/U and 3-1 ATS in 2011. In the three games with total lines, the Cardinals have gone UNDER in each contest. Louisville held Arkansas State to just 27 points and both Butler and Ohio U to under 55 points. In fact, Ohio University’s 54 points was the most scored against Louisville in five games. The defense has been outstanding for Rick Pitino, holding three opponents to under 30% from the field and the other two to under 40%. I don’t see Long Beach doing much offensively here either. This game is on national television, and the total opened at 134 1/2 and has dropped slightly to 133 1/2. I don’t look for these two clubs to come close to that number as I’m going UNDER in this contest. -Jim Feist

Tennessee vs. Oakland
College Basketball Pick: Tennessee -3.5 (November 28th 2011)
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The Tennessee Volunteers should be more heavily favored over Oakland Monday night. This team has three wins all by 23 points or more, and their losses have come against Duke (77-67) and Memphis (97-99) on neutral courts. This tough early schedule will only benefit the Vols going forward.

Oakland also has two losses, but both of those came in blowout fashion to Alabama (57-74) and to Arkansas (68-91). Their lone home win was a lackluster one as they beat Utah Valley State by a final of 89-83. It’s clear in my mind that Oakland is not on the same level as Tennessee talent-wise.

The Vols will have no problem getting motivated to play Oakland tonight. They were upset by Oakland 89-82 last year, and these returning players certainly have not forgotten that loss.

Tennessee has three studs in G Trae Golden (18.0 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 7.2 APG), F Jeronne Maymon (14.4 PPG, 9.4 RPG) and F Jordan McRae (13.4 PPG). Throw in returning starter Cameron Tatum (9.8 PPG, 3.4 RPG), and this has the makings of a potential NCAA Tournament team.

This play falls into a system that is 43-16 (72.9%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on a road team (TENNESSEE) – an explosive offensive team (>=78 PPG) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG), after scoring 85 points or more 2 straight games.

Tennessee is 9-2 ATS in November games over the last 2 seasons. The Vols are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games off a road win by 10 points or more. Tennessee is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Bet the Vols Monday.

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Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Minnesota Wild
NHL Pick: Minnesota Wild -113 (November 28th 2011)
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Minnesota will be out to end its homestand on a winning note following two straight losses which came on the heels of opening up a perfect 3-0 on this current six-game homestand. The Wild have lost their last two games by identical 5-2 scores, the latest coming last night against Calgary. Playing in the second of back-to-back nights should not be an issue as Minnesota won its last game playing with no rest which ironically came after a 5-2 loss against Los Angeles the previous night.

Tampa Bay meanwhile has won two straight games as it took back-to-back games against in-state rival Florida on Friday and Saturday. The Lightning have won only twice in their last six road games and both happened to come against Florida, neither of which took place in regulation. The four losses came by an average of 2.5 gpg and the defense has hurt on the road all season as Tampa Bay is allowing 3.42 gpg away from home. The Lightning are getting outshot by nearly five shots per game on the road.

Niklas Backstrom struggled last night in goal as he allowed three goals in the first nine minutes of the game and was pulled. It was his first game back after missing three games due to the birth of his child and rust was a definite factor last night. He is likely to get the start tonight and should be in much better shape. Even after last night he still has a solid 2.17 GAA and this is a team he has had success against as Backstrom is 4-1-1 with a 1.80 goals-against average against the Lightning.

Tampa Bay is 0-7 in its last seven road games following a win by four or more goals while going 1-6 in its last seven games after scoring five or more goals in its previous game. Meanwhile Minnesota is 7-2 in its last nine games after scoring two goals or fewer in its previous game. This is an ideal bounceback situation for Minnesota as it needs to end the homestand strong while extending its two-point lead over Vancouver in the Northwest Division. 3* (2) Minnesota Wild -Matt Fargo