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Archive for January, 2012

College Basketball Picks for January 31st 2012: Clemson vs. Virginia

Clemson vs. Virginia
College Basketball Pick: Clemson +9 (January 31st 2012)

This line is higher than I expected it to be and we will take a shot with Clemson in this spot as the Tigers are in need of a solid quality win. They are riding a modest two-game winning streak and those wins came against Georgia Tech and Wake Forest which are certainly nothing special. Clemson lost three in a row prior to that and while it included road losses at Boston College and Miami, both of those games could have and should have been won.

Virginia is coming off another narrow victory as it won at NC State by a point to move to 4-2 in the ACC. The two losses have come by five points combined so while Clemson should have a better record than it does, Virginia is right in the same boat. The Cavaliers have been the big surprise of the season in the conference and one of the biggest in the country with a 17-3 record after finishing only a game over .500 last year. Virginia is just 2-5 ATS as a favorite of more than seven points.

This figures to be a defensive battle and that makes the points a premium and even more so when we are dealing with a large pointspread. Virginia leads the ACC by allowing its opponents just 50.6 ppg, while Clemson is yielding only 59.7 ppg, second in the conference. Clemson has also produced 297 turnovers this season, turnovers that head coach Brad Brownell says makes what the Tigers do a little bit different than what the Cavaliers do and that is be more aggressive which can in fact lead to easy baskets.

Clemson has covered five of its last eight games as a road underdog and it is 19-8 ATS in its last 27 games coming off a home win where it did not cover. The Cavaliers as mentioned have struggled with the role of the large favorite and a lot of that is due to the style of play as they will be more than happy to just grind it out and win a low scoring, close game. They have failed to cover their last four games at home and the underdog is on an 11-5 ATS run in this series. 3* (515) Clemson Tigers. If you enjoyed this Clemson vs. Virginia college basketball pick from Matt Fargo, be sure to purchase his premium basketball picks today.

NBA Picks for January 30th 2012: Orlando Magic vs. Philadelphia 76ers

Orlando Magic vs. Philadelphia 76ers
NBA Pick: Orlando Magic +7.5 (January 30th 2012)

The Orlando Magic are showing some of their best value of the season tonight as a big underdog to the Philadelphia 76ers. The Magic have lost three straight coming in, which is the reason they are getting overlooked here. This is still one of the best teams in the Eastern Conference.

I look for the Magic to right the ship tonight against the Philadelphia 76ers. Orlando has played well on the road this year, going 6-4 SU & 6-4 ATS away from home. They have had Philly’s number and it’s simply not a good match-up for the 76ers. The Magic are 10-1 SU & 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings with Philly.

This play falls into a system that is 29-11 (72.5%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. It tells us to bet on road teams (ORLANDO) – after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread, extremely tired team – playing 9 or more games in 14 days. The Magic are 26-10-1 ATS in their last 37 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points. Orlando is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Bet the Magic Monday.

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Princeton vs. Pennsylvania Prediction: College Basketball Picks: January 30th 2012

Princeton vs. Pennsylvania
College Basketball Pick: Penn -2 (January 30th 2012)
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The biggest rivalry in the Ivy League continues tonight with Princeton heading to Philadelphia to take on the Quakers at the Palestra. It has been a very quiet month for the Tigers as they have played only four games in all of January and have not played a game in 16 days due to exams. They are 3-1 in January but any sort of rhythm has been lost because of the time off and this is not a good time for that. This is just the second time since 1996 that these teams have played in January.

While Penn has seen limited action in January as well, it has played six games and is coming off a big win in its last game nine days ago. The Quakers defeated Big Five rival St. Josephs to make it three straight victories as well as making it four wins in their last five home games. Penn is off to a 2-0 start in the Ancient Eight and after dominating this series for a while, Penn has fallen the last five meetings against the Tigers. With this being the best team over that span, it will be payback time.

The Quakers should have a significant edge on the defensive side of the ball. Princeton is shooting only 42.4 percent on the season while Penn has held 12 of its 19 opponents to 45 percent shooting or less from the floor including seven at 40 percent or lower. This is a big improvement from last year when the Quakers held just 14 of their 28 opponents below 45 percent shooting, and only eight below 40 percent. Princeton shot 48.8 percent from the floor at the Palestra last year so Penn is much better off now.

The Quakers are 8-2 ATS over their last 10 games while going 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a game where they covered the spread. Penn falls into a great situation as well as we play on home teams where the line is +3 to -3 that are coming off a win as a home underdog going up against an opponent that is coming off a road win. This situation is 53-24 ATS (68.8 percent) since 1997. We take advantage of the short number with the home team. 3* (744) Penn Quakers. If you enjoyed this Princeton vs. Penn college basketball picks for January 30th 2012, be sure to purchase Matt Fargo premium predictions today at Touthouse.com

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Giants vs. Patriots Against The Spread Pick, Point Spread & Odds: February 5th 2012

New York Giants vs. New England Patriots
Against The Spread Pick Preview, Odds & Point Spread

Okay Touthouse NFL gamblers, if you’re looking to get the low-down on all of the most pertinent Super Bowl 46 betting information there is, then you’ve undoubtedly come to the right place! Thanks to this expert Super Bowl 46 preview, NFL gridiron gamblers will have a great idea of just what to expect when Eli Manning the New York Giants take on three-time Super Bowl winner, Tom Brady and the New England Patriots on February 5, live from Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, Indiana at 6:30 PM ET. The New England Patriots have reeled off a whopping 10 consecutive victories while the New York Giants have won an impressive five straight games. The Pats reached Super Bowl XLV by beating the Baltimore Ravens 23-20 in the AFC Championship game despite failing to cover the spread as a 7-point home favorite while New York gritted out a tough 20-17 overtime win over the 49ers in their NFC Championship game showdown to cash in as a 2.5-point road underdog.

Super Bowl XLVI
When: February 5, at 6:30 PM ET.
Where: Live from Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis, IN TV: NBC

Against the spread pick: Click here for the Giants vs. Patriots winner
NFL Super Bowl XLVI Point Spread: New England Patriots -3 / New York Giants +3
Betting Total: Over/Under 55 points
Moneyline Odds: Giants +120 / Patriots -140

New England Patriots (17-5 SU, 12-10 ATS, 14-8 O/U)
While New England has looked absolutely fantastic on winning 10 straight games (until last week that is) they’ve also struggled mightily to cash in recently, compiling a discouraging 3-4 ATS mark over their last seven games, all of which they’ve been favored in, including the AFC title game which had the Pats as a 7-point home favorite. The good news for the Pats is that they have one of the most explosive offenses in all of football – and it all starts with future Hall of Famer, Tom Brady. New England finished the regular season ranked second in total yards (428.2 ypg), second in scoring during the regular season (31.8 ppg) and third in scoring (32.1 ppg) with Brady completing an impressive 65.6 percent of his passes for an incredible 5,239 yards with 39 touchdown passes and just 12 interceptions. Defensively, the Pats were mostly mediocre as they finished the regular season ranked 31st in total yards allowed (411.1 ypg), an identical 31st against the pass (293.9 ypg) and 15th in scoring defense (24.0 ppg).

Here is a look at some of New England’s key trends this season.
The Patriots are 9-3 ATS in their last dozen games following an ATS loss.
New England is just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 Super Bowl games.
The Patriots are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as a favorite.
Bill Belichick’s boys are just 1-7 ATS in their L/8 playoff games.
The Over has gone 4-0 in the Patriots’ last four games following an ATS loss.
The Over is 22-7 in the Patriots’ last 29 games overall.
The Over is 24-8 in New England’s last 32 games as a favorite.
The Over has gone 14-5 in Patriots last 19 vs. a team with a winning record.
The Over is 8-3-1 in Patriots last dozen games as a favorite of three points or less.

New York Giants (14-9 SU, 13-9-1 ATS, 10-12-1 O/U)
Not only have the Giants won five straight games, but they’ve also cashed in for their betting faithful in every single victory! Want more? Well, New York’s defense has undergone a massive transformed since just before the end of the regular season. Despite finishing the regular season ranked 27th in total yards, 29th against the pass and 25th in scoring (25.0 ppg), the Giants have not allowed more than the 20 points they gave up to Green Bay in their NFC Division round matchup, in any of their last five games while holding Atlanta to a shocking two pints, Frisco to 17 points and Dallas and the Jets to 14 points apiece. New York has also scored at least 24 points in four straight of their L/5 games until getting held to an even 20 points by the defensive-minded 49ers. The G-Men finished fifth in passing during the regular season (295.9 ypg) while also ranking ninth in scoring (24.6 ppg) as Eli Manning completed a rock-solid 61.0 percent of his passes for 4,933 yards with 29 touchdowns and 16 interceptions. The Giants have 7-3 SU and ATS in 10 road games this season.

Check out some more Giants vs. Patriots against the spread pick previews at: Accuwager.com | Handicappers.com | Touthouse.com

Here is a look at New York’s key trends this season.
New York has gone 4-0 ATS in their L/4 games following an SU or ATS win.
The Giants are 7-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Eli Manning and company have gone 8-0 ATS in their L/8 playoff games as an underdog.
The G-Men are 8-1 ATS in their L/9 playoff games.
The Under is 5-1 in New York’s last half-dozen games overall.
The Under has also gone 8-2 in the Giants’ last ten playoff games.
The Under has gone 4-1 in New York’s L/5 games against a team with a winning record.
The Under is 5-2 in New York’s L/7 playoff games as an underdog.

Here is a look at the key head-to-head trends between these Super Bowl rivals.
The Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in New England.
New York is 5-1 ATS in their last half-dozen meetings against New England.
The Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
The Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.

We hope you enjoyed this Super Bowl XLVI Giants vs. Patriots against the spread pick preview. Be sure to purchase our official betting report above to receive side and total prediction as well as prop bets with analysis for this year’s big game.

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