Ottawa Senators vs. Boston Bruins
NHL Pick: Under 5.5 (February 28th 2012)
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These teams just faced each other on Saturday, at Ottawa. The Bruins won that game by a score of 5-3. That high-scoring game (combined with the fact that the Senators have been on a lengthy “over” streak) has helped to create some extra value with the total this evening. The line is still 5.5, as it was on Saturday. However, we’re now able to play the ‘under’ at a cheaper price than was previously available. (The price on that one was 5.5u15.)
Just because the first game of a “home and home series” is high-scoring doesn’t mean that the second game also will be. In fact, the opposite is often true. The last time that the Bruins were involved in a “home and home series” was against the Leafs, a couple of months ago. The first game, at Toronto, produced nine goals. However, the second game, which was here at Boston, finished with only five, a 4-1 victory for the champs.
Boston’s only other home and home series this season was vs. Montreal. In that one, the first game went “over” and the second went “under.” That was also the case for the Sens’ most recent home and home series. So, you can see, in these type of situations, the “tempo” often changes when the venue shifts.
This will be Boston’s first home game in some time. In fact, the champs have only played four times here in February. Three of those four games finished with three or fewer combined goals, most recently a 3-0 loss vs. the Rangers on Valentine’s Day. I won’t be surprised if this one is also low-scoring. Consider going “Under” 5.5.
Notre Dame vs. Georgetown
Betting Prediction: Georgetown -6.5 -110 odds (February 27th 2012)
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The Georgetown Hoyas are a legit national championship contender this season. The No. 9 Hoyas are 21-6 on the year and I expect them to make easy work out of Notre Dame at home tonight. The home team has won six of the last seven in this series.
Notre Dame (20-9) went on an impressive nine-game winning streak before a 58-61 loss at St. John’s last time out. That run cemented their place in the NCAA Tournament, but with it coming to an end, I could certainly see a “hangover” effect happening tonight. In my opinion, this is the toughest game they have faced all year.
Georgetown has been absolutely destroying all comers at home this season. The Hoyas are 14-1 at home, scoring 70.4 points and allowing 52.4 points while outscoring opponents by a whopping 18.0 points/game. Each of their last four home wins have come by double-digits.
The Hoyas are a perfect 8-0 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more this season. The Hoyas are 9-1 ATS after a blowout win by 20 points or more over the last 2 seasons. Notre Dame is 1-11 ATS in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons. Bet Georgetown Monday. -Jack Jones
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Florida State vs. Miami
Prediction: Florida State +1.5 -110 odds (February 26th 2012)
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Motivated by Thursday’s loss at Duke, expect Florida State to bounce back strong against a Miami team it has defeated 6 straight times by an average of 5.5 points.
The Seminoles have been one of the premier defensive teams in the country in recent years, and strong defensive efforts have led to their winning streak against the Hurricanes. The Noles rank 3rd in the nation in field goal percentage defense (37.2%) and 40th in scoring defense (61.3 ppg). They have held Miami to an average of 60.5 points on 38.7% shooting during their winning streak in the series.
Miami ranks 108th in field goal percentage defense (41.7%) and 177th in scoring defense (66.9 ppg). Expect FSU’s “D” to once again be the difference Sunday.
The Seminoles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 6.5 points or less. The Hurricanes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite of 6.5 points or less.
The underdog is 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings, and the road team is 10-3-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings. Also, the Seminoles are 6-1-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Miami-Florida. Take FSU.
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College Basketball Predictions: February 25th 2012
NC State vs. Clemson
Prediction: Clemson -4
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The Clemson Tigers are showing solid value at home today as just a 4-point favorite over the NC State Wolfpack. The Wolfpack have lost three straight coming in, including back-to-back home losses by double-digits. It’s safe to say they are feeling pretty deflated right now.
Look for Clemson to pounce on them early while continuing to play solid basketball today. Clemson has won three of their last four with all three victories coming by double-digits. What’s most impressive is that three of those four contests were on the road.
NC State is 1-9 ATS versus good defensive teams – allowing
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