Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals
MLB Prediction: Washington Nationals -140 (July 31st 2012)
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The Nationals, winners of 8 of their last 9, have the edge tonight with Strasburg on the hill. He’s 11-4 (14-6 on the money line) with an ERA of 2.76 on the season. The Nationals are 12-4 in Strasburg’s last 16 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150 and 8-2 in his last 10 starts vs. the National League East.

It’s been a forgettable season for Philly’s Lee, who is 1-6 (5-12 on the money line) with an ERA of 3.95. The Phillies are 2-7 in Lee’s last 9 starts and 1-5 in his last 6 road starts.

Philadelphia has lost 9 of its last 11 versus the Nats and 6 of its last 8 in Washington. Take the Nationals on the money line.

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MLB Picks: July 30th 2012
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox
Pick: Boston Red Sox -118
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Boston took two of three in New York against the Yankees to get back to .500 on the season and this is the start of a big 10-game homestand. The home field edge for the Red Sox has not been there this season as they are three games under .500 at home but they do own a 3-1 record at home against the Tigers this season. The offense remains inconsistent but Boston has a good shot at breaking out on Monday and the Red Sox are 11-4 in their last 15 games as home favorites between -110 and -150.

Detroit was able to salvage the series finale in Toronto but it is just 2-4 on this current roadtrip. The Tigers entered it in first place in the American League Central but a big run by the White Sox has knocked them back down into second place and the offense is to blame. Detroit has scored just 18 runs through these first six road games and it is hitting only .218 over its last five games. The pitching hasn’t fared much better as the starters ERA over that same stretch is 4.76.

Clay Buchholz takes the hill for Boston and he is coming off consecutive quality starts as he allowed just one run in each of those games, posting a 1.20 ERA in the process. This came after a rough outing in his first start back from injury but he is again looking like the ace Boston has pegged him for. The Red Sox are 6-1 in his last seven starts and while he was hit hard in his lone start against the Tigers in Detroit this year, in three home starts against the Tigers he has a 0.82 ERA with all three starts being quality outings. Be sure to purchase Matt Fargo’s expert MLB picks for July 30th 2012 today!

The Tigers go with Max Scherzer who has been equally impressive of late with two quality starts in his last two games. He allowed only three runs and six hits combined in those two games but he walked eight batters and that remains an issue. He has a 1.38 WHIP on the season including 1.45 on the road and allowing too many baserunners has caught up to him many times this year. He has pitched well at Fenway Park but in five career starts against Boston, he is 1-2 with a 9.82 ERA and 2.09 WHIP. (916) Boston Red Sox

MLB Picks: July 28th 2012
Cincinnati Reds vs. Colorado Rockies
Pick: Cincinnati -146 odds
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The Cincinnati Reds (59-40) are simply rolling right now. They have won eight straight with no signs of slowing down. Now, they send ace Johnny Cueto to the mound, and he’ll have little trouble shutting down the lowly Colorado Rockies (37-61).

Cueto is 12-5 with a 2.23 ERA and 1.170 WHIP in 20 starts this season, including 3-0 with a 1.45 ERA in his last three. He’ll be up against Colorado’s Christian Friedrich, who is 5-7 with a 5.71 ERA and 1.557 WHIP in 15 starts, including 2-4 with an 8.23 ERA and 1.914 WHIP in seven home starts.

The Reds are 7-0 in their last 7 road games. Cincinnati is 7-0 in its last 7 games as a road favorite. The Reds are 14-3 in Cueto’s last 17 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Cincinnati is 22-6 in Cueto’s last 28 starts as a favorite. The Rockies are 1-8 in Friedrich’s last 9 starts. Bet the Reds Saturday.

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Bills vs. Jets Week 1 Preview
BY SBRForum.com

The Jets, who will be playing at home in MetLife Stadium,  are favored in the NFL odds for their Week 1 meeting with division rival Buffalo.

Some big things have happened for each of these teams during the offseason.

New York’s main storyline was that revolving around the signing of Tim Tebow, who immediately became out of favor as the starting quarterback in Denver once Peyton Manning was brought on board.

Tebow wasn’t exactly welcomed with open arms by teammates, but he definitely adds another dimension to the Jets.

For now, Mark Sanchez remains the starter, with Tebow backing him up. How soon do you think we’ll see the former Gator under center?

The Bills meanwhile made some huge splashes in free agency, signing prized defensive end Mario Williams and also getting Mark Anderson. Williams should make an immediate impact for a Buffalo defense that already has some talented players.

For this Week 1 AFC East battle, we’re forecasting a tough, defensive 60 minutes of football.

Everyone knows that the Jets, when at their best, are a top-five defense, led by Darrelle Revis in the secondary. The Bills are going to have trouble beating New York through the air, with Ryan Fitzpatrick only really having Stevie Johnson as a legitimate wide receiver option.

Buffalo instead is likely to get their ground game going, with Fred Jackson and CJ Spiller one of the more dangerous duos around.

The Jets have Shonn Greene at running back, but maybe Sanchez will get a little more freedom to pass down the field. He has serviceable targets like Santonio Holmes, Stephen Hill and Dustin Keller to rely on.

In the end, New York has to be the favorite to win here, but we wouldn’t be surprised in the least to see the Bills keep this close or even score a Week 1 upset.