Duke Blue Devils vs. Oregon Ducks NCAA Tournament Betting Pick: March 24th 2016
Duke Blue Devils vs. Oregon Ducks
NCAA Tournament Betting Pick: Duke +3 points (March 24th 2016)
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They Duke Blue Devils are an underdog to Pac-12 champs Oregon in the Sweet 16, and I think this is one line that is way out of whack. Oregon is a good team that has been impressive all year, but Duke is a defending champion, with championship experience, superior coaching and all the tools to do it again this year. My money is on the Blue Devils getting the points.
Here are my keys to the game:
1. Previous History – Duke owns the best winning percentage in NCAA Tournament history, and the Blue Devils have covered the spread in seven of their last eight tournament games. Oregon struggled against St. Joseph’s, needing a late rally to win 69-64. The Ducks haven’t played a team as good as Duke all year, and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four versus teams from the ACC.
2. Grayson Allen – Duke’s star guard went off for 29 points in the win over Yale, hitting 5-of-7 from beyond the arc. He’s been money from the free-throw line this post-season, hitting a staggering 27-of-29 (93%) of his attempts. The sophomore has stepped up to the plate when it counts, dating back to last year’s championship game when he scored 16 points in just 21 minutes in the win over Wisconsin.
3. X-Factor – Duke lost to Utah at Madison Square Garden early in the season, and I think a lot of people are looking at that and expecting the same result here against an Oregon team that roughed up the Utes. That was then and this is now. Duke is a much better team than it was then, and their young players have since gained a ton of experience. It’s also worth noting that Duke’s leading scorer was battling illness in the loss to Utah, and scored just seven points on 3-of-18 shooting. You can bet the farm on a better showing from Allen in tonight’s game.
Selection: This is a play on the Duke Blue Devils (10*)