Iowa vs. Michigan State
Prediction: Iowa +3 (November 12th 2011)
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The Iowa Hawkeyes simply aren’t getting the respect they deserve in this game. Michigan State has not looked like the same team since that huge upset win over Wisconsin a few weeks back. The Spartans went on the road and got handled by Nebraska 3-24 and then struggled to put away Minnesota at home last week. Iowa had that awful loss at Minnesota, but the Hawkeyes are a completely different team at home. They are 6-0 at home this season, and are coming in off a 24-16 home win over Michigan last week, who was also favored in Iowa City.

The Hawkeyes offense has been extremely effective at home this season, averaging 36.7 ppg. They have a very balanced attack with sophomore running back Marcus Coker and the passing combination of James Vandenberg and future NFL wide out Marvin McNutt. The Spartans defense was a big reason why Michigan State got off to such a strong start, but they have not looked that great of late, allowing at least 24 points in each of their last three games.

Defensively the Hawkeyes have had their struggles this season, but the same can be said for the Michigan State offense. Iowa will be playing with a ton of motivation knowing they still have a shot at winning the Big Ten Legends division, and I expect them to force a couple of key turnovers to secure an outright win over the Spartans.

Iowa is 18-8-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, and 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog. BET THE HAWKEYES!

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