Los Angeles Clippers vs. Utah Jazz NBA Over-Under Prediction: February 13th 2017
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Utah Jazz
NBA Over-Under Prediction: Under 206.5 points (February 13th 2017)
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Anytime I see a Utah game on their homecourt with a total over 202 points, I will look closer. After handicapping this game, I do like it ‘Under’ tonight. The posted total is higher than what it normally would be because, 1) the Jazz are on a 5-0 OVER run, and 2) the Clippers have the worst defensive rating in the NBA the last 10 games.
The Jazz are more of a ‘under’ team and trends and statistics support that. It’s not often you will find them go ‘over’ 6 straight games. The Jazz play at a very slow pace and also play very good defense. The Jazz are the slowest paced team in the NBA the last 10 games. Since 2010, the Jazz have played six consecutive games to the ‘Over only once! There were 6 other times where they were on a 5-0 ‘Over’ run and the 6th game went ‘Under’ by an average of 9.7 points. Now is an opportune time to take the Jazz ‘Under’.
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The Clippers started off their road trip slow, but have won their last 2 and are headed back towards home after this stop in Utah. The Clippers are a better defensive team than what they have shown as of late. And Doc Rivers does not like to be known as a bad defensive team. He is having his guys play better and harder as of late. They locked down Kemba Walker vs Charlotte and held the Hornets to 43% shooting, which included only 30% in the 3rd quarter.
Utah is 1-16 SU the last 17 meetings vs the Clippers. The last 3 home meetings when the total was 200 or higher, the Jazz only scored 87, 89, and 96 points. Utah is coming off two losses and this is a game they definitely want to win. I expect them to want to do that with their usual hard nosed defensive style and slow pace on offense. This year as a home favorite and coming off a home loss, the Jazz have given up only 84, 88, 85, and 98 points the following game. The UNDER is 15-6 since 2012 when the Jazz are a home favorite and coming off a home loss. Bring the opponent in off a win, and the UNDER is 7-2 since 2012. I think we see a tough fought game with a final score in the 101-94 range. (1* UNDER)
We are on a HUGE 17-7 (+$9.4K) run on ALL 10* NBA Picks since the New Year, including 11-4 (73%) on ALL ‘ATS’ Plays. We are also on a STRONG 7-2 run on College Totals! Monday we have a BIG 10* Release in BOTH the NBA and College Basketball and are looking to build on a strong 7-2 (78%) run in all sports the last 5 days. Let’s get Monday started off properly, and that’s with TWO EASY WINNERS!