MLB Picks: April 11th 2012
Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros
Pick: Houston Astros +113
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Wandy Rodriguez deserves to be here right now he went 6.1 IP while giving up 0 ER on opening day and now has a 2.69 ERA over the last 3 years at home where he’s always dominated. Speaking of domination that is exactly what he’s done against the Braves. Over his last 6 starts he posts a 1.66 ERA and when he’s faced them at home he’s been even more dominating posting a 0.66 ERA and a 0.77 WHIP over his last 4. The Braves have had their own struggles this year and last year vs. LHP.

The Braves last year were 29th with a .642 OPS vs. LHP and so far this year they have been terrible with a .434 OPS good for 27th while their overall OPS is not much better at just .511. I don’t think that changes with the domination that Rodriguez has on Atlanta and at home. Atlanta sends Delgado to the mound an unproven starter with just 7 starts last year and the Astros have been at least hitting the ball with a .783 OPS thus far. Braves now 6-16 in their last 22 on the road after Tuesday night’s win.

Notable Hot Starters:
Jaime Garcia (2.08 ERA Last April) (3GS vs. CIN LY w/1.42 ERA)
Johny Cueto (2.01 ERA Day Last Year) (1.38 ERA at home) (2.60 ERA w/ 1.12 WHIP vs. STL over 4GS LY)
Roy Halladay (8 IP 0ER 1st GS) (Last Year – 2.48 ERA home, 2.14 April)
Justin Masterson (4GS vs. CHW 1.61 ERA)
Jon Lester (7 IP 1 ER 1st Start & 2.52 ERA Last April) (2.08 ERA 5GS vs. TOR last year)

Cold Starter Of The Day:
The cold starter of the day for us is going to be Joe Saunders despite his 5.93 ERA last year he was actually good with a 3.14 ERA during his road games and even more importantly he dominated the Padres who struggle big time vs. LHP. He had 4 starts and a 1.47 ERA vs. the Padres. Padres start Luebke for the second time and he had a 5.14 ERA last April and over 3 starts vs. the Dbacks had a 5.50 ERA. Justin Upton alone is 5-10 with 3 HR off him. Get more MLB picks from Freddy Wills at Touthouse.com each day

Notable Cold Starters:
Ricky Romero (7.12 ERA in 13 GS Last 3 Year vs. Boston) (4ER in 5 IP @ Cleveland on Opening Day)
Yovani Gallardo (6ER on Opening Day) (6.23 ERA April and 4.05 ERA away last year) -Freddy Wills