MLB Picks: Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: July 7th 2012
MLB Picks: July 7th 2012
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres
Pick: San Diego Padres +103
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The San Diego Padres are showing solid value as a home underdog to the Cincinnati Reds Saturday. San Diego is playing its best baseball of the season right now, winning six of their last seven games overall. Cincinnati has lost three of four coming in.
Clayton Richard is one of the most underrated starters in the league. The left-hander is 6-8 with a 3.64 ERA and 1.205 WHIP in 17 starts, including 3-3 with a 2.91 ERA and 1.122 WHIP in seven home starts. Richard is 4-1 with a 1.70 ERA in his last five outings, and has yielded two runs or fewer in seven of his last 10.
Homer Bailey is 6-6 with a 4.24 ERA and 1.321 WHIP in 16 starts this season, including 1-2 with a 5.19 ERA and 1.443 WHIP in his last three. In his last start against the Reds, Richard gave up just one earned runs and seven base runners over 7 2/3 innings.
The Reds are 11-27 against the money line in road games after allowing 2 runs or less over the last 2 seasons. Cincinnati is 0-4 in Bailey’s last 4 starts as a favorite. The Padres are 6-1 in their last 7 games as an underdog. Bet San Diego Saturday.
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