MLB Picks: July 1st 2012
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Pick: Detroit Tigers +112
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The Detroit Tigers are showing solid value as an underdog to the Tampa Bay Rays Sunday. I believe Detroit has the edge on the mound in this one with talented rookie Drew Smyly over Alex Cobb.

Smyly has posted a 4.48 ERA and 1.332 WHIP in 13 starts this season. Those numbers are a bit inflated due to a poor start at Texas his last time out, giving up 6 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings. He’ll be much sharper at Tampa Bay this time around.

Cobb is 3-4 with a 4.73 ERA in seven starts this year. He’s nothing more than a fill-in starter for the Rays, and really shouldn’t even be in the big leagues. Smyly gave up one earned run over 4 innings of a 7-2 win over the Rays on April 12th.

The Tigers are 37-14 in their last 51 Sunday games. Detroit is 4-1 in their last 5 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. The Rays are 1-8 in their last 9 vs. American League Central. Tampa is 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. The Rays are 0-5 in their last 5 games as a favorite. Tampa is 1-4 in Cobb’s last 4 starts. Bet the Tigers Sunday.

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