MLB Predictions: Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds: August 11th 2011
White Sox -124 (1* FREE PLAY) Mark Buehrle has been on a roll with a 0.90 ERA over his last 3 starts with a 1.15 WHIP. He’s having one of his better seasons this year and has been great during night starts with a 2.77 ERA and pretty consistent on the road with a 3.77 ERA. I look for him to have a lot of success vs. Baltimore where he has 3 starts in his last 10 vs. Baltimore and posts a 2.18 ERA at Camden Yards. He had 6.2 innings pitched in May without giving up a run. Baltimore is far worse with the bats than they were in May and in fact at home they only score 3.56 runs per 9 vs. LHP more than a run worse than what they do vs. RHP. Their bullpen at home also more than a run higher than the White Sox bullpen ERA on the road. White Sox are 13-3 in their last 16 road games vs. a RH starter which they will face tomorrow and they are 37-15 in Buehlrles last 52 games as a favorite -110 to -150.
Baltimore will be playing in a game #4 something they have not played well in 19-40 in their last 59. Chris Tillman will try to have a good start and despite giving up just 1 ER in 5 innings I fail to see him being able to win vs. the White Sox on Thursday. He’s not going to go deep and that turns over to a Baltimore bullpen that just got worse after the trade deadline. Also note he did not strike anyone out in his start vs. the White Sox and that proves to be very dangerous when the Sox are putting balls in play as they are an extremely aggressive club. Orioles are 8-17 in their last 25 starts as an under dog with Tillman on the mound.