NBA Picks: April 28th 2012
Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
Pick: Dallas Mavericks +7.5
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As bad as the Mavericks have been down the stretch, I think a lot of people are overlooking this team. They still have one of the best players in the NBA in Dirk Nowitzki, and when he gets it going he is pretty much unstoppable. I’m not saying I think Dallas will go on the road and steal Game 1, but I expect them to keep this game close right down to the final minutes.

Dallas went just 1-3 against the Oklahoma City in the regular season. Only one of those losses came by more than 7-points. In fact, the Thunder won their two home games in the series by a combined six points. I wouldn’t be surprised at all if Dallas preferred to play the Thunder over the Lakers, as the Mavericks don’t have the size inside to matchup with LA.

Dallas is 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 playoff games as an underdog, 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5 (2012 regular season), and 10-1 ATS in road games versus explosive offensive teams – scoring 103+ points/game – 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons. BET THE MAVERICKS!

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