NBA Picks: April 8th 2012
Houston Rockets vs. Sacramento Kings
Prediction: Houston -3
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The Houston Rockets are showing solid value as a mere 3-point road favorite over the lowly Sacramento Kings Sunday. Houston is playing their best basketball of the season of late to jump up to the No. 6 seed in the Western Conference. However, the Rockets are only 1.5 games ahead of ninth-place Phoenix, so they’re not about to let their foot off the gas.

Houston’s two best wins this season have arguably been in their last two contests. They went on the road and beat Chicago 99-93 as an 8-point underdog, followed by a 112-107 win at the Los Angeles Lakers as a 6-point dog. This will be just their 2nd game in 6 days, so the Rockets come in well-rested.

The Sacramento Kings (19-37) appear to have finally packed it in. Sacramento is just 2-8 SU & 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Unlike Houston, this is a very tired team right now. The Kings will be playing the second of a back-to-back, their 3rd game in 4 days, and their 5th game in 7 days.

The Rockets are 20-5 ATS versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game over the last 2 seasons. The Kings are 10-31 ATS when playing 9 or more games in 14 days since 1996. Sacramento is 18-38-1 ATS in their last 57 games as a home underdog of 0.5-4.5. Houston is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 0.5-4.5. Bet the Rockets Sunday.

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