NBA Picks: April 18th 2012
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Phoenix Suns
Pick: Phoenix Suns +4
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While the Oklahoma City Thunder have been at or near the top of the West all season, Phoenix (32-29) had the conference’s third-worst record two months ago. The Suns have one of the worst records since the All-Star Break, going 18-9 in their last 27 games. That includes an 11-2 home record.

“People had us for dead beginning of the season, middle of the season, All-Star break,” forward Jared Dudley said. “And we’ve worked our butts off, we’ve played through it, guys have learned their roles and I think we’re ready to do it.”

Phoenix would be the No. 8 seed in the West if the season were to end today, but they are far from in. I believe the Suns have shown that they have the mental toughness to play well in this circumstance, and they have the leadership behind Steve Nash to finish strong.

Oklahoma City has proven to be vulnerable down the stretch as they try and earn that No. 1 seed in the West. The Thunder have lost five of their last nine, going 3-6 ATS during that stretch. Their only wins have come against non-playoff teams in the Timberwolves, Kings, Raptors and Bucks.

The Thunder are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The Suns are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 home games, including 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog. Phoenix is 19-8 ATS in their last 27 games overall. Bet the Suns Wednesday.

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