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Home > NBA Picks > Nuggets vs. Warriors NBA Point Spread Pick from Will Rogers: January 8th 2018

Nuggets vs. Warriors NBA Point Spread Pick from Will Rogers: January 8th 2018

Denver Nuggets vs. Golden State Warriors
Point Spread Pick: GS -10 (January 8th 2018)

The set-up: It must be nice to be Golden State’s Steve Kerr. He was able to wait as long as necessary to get Stephen Curry healthy with Kevin Durant around and now he can afford to wait for Durant to overcome an injury while Curry is lighting up the scoreboard. Durant (25.9-7.1-5.3) is day-to-day with a calf injury and has been held out of the last two games while Curry burned the Houston Rockets for 29 points on Thursday, before breezing to 45 in three quarters as Golden State trounced the Los Angeles Clippers 121-105 to cap a perfect three-game road trip on Saturday. “I just knew right away when I got free for a couple of 3s in the first quarter and when they went down, I started to get a rhythm,” Curry told reporters. “But beyond that, you just keep your head down and keep shooting, keep being aggressive, and that’s really it.” The Nuggets are coming off a 106-98 loss Saturday at Sacramento, where they committed a season-high 26 turnovers. “It was just poor decisions, and we just never got control of it,” Denver head coach Michael Malone told reporters. “It started in the first quarter and went all the way through the very last play. … If you do that in a couple of nights in Oakland, you’ll get beat by 50.”

Denver: The 21-18 Nuggets managed to stay in the game on Saturday thanks in part to power forward Trey Lyles, who continued his hot stretch with 19 points on 8-of-11 shooting and is averaging 20 points over the last five games, nearly double his season average of . Center Nikola Jokic (15.7-10.1-4.8) handed out 10 assists on Saturday but also committed five turnovers and was critical of his team’s play. “We just threw the ball around like we didn’t care,” Jokic told the Denver Post. “We need to pass it with more of a sense of urgency. We need to take care of it, because that’s the problem we’ve had the whole season. It sounds simple, but it’s not simple for us.” The Nuggets continue to be without PF Paul Millsap (15.3 & 6.2), who underwent surgery on a torn ligament in his wrist in November. He might be out until March.

Golden State: Curry (27.9-5.2-6.3) sat out 11 games with an ankle sprain (Warriors went 9-2) and has shown no rust in four games since his return, averaging 36 points while shooting 58.4 percent from the floor, including 53.8 percent from beyond the arc. “Honestly, I always feel like I’m hot,” Curry told reporters. “…Coming off of that injury, obviously, I got fresh legs, I got a nice rhythm. I was able to put some good work in a week and a half before I came back on the floor, and that’s pretty much it.” Golden State is averaging 127.8 points in the four games since Curry’s return, raising its league-leading mark to 115.8. Golden State alos leads the NBA in FG pee4centage (50.7), three-point percentage (38.9) and FT percentgae (81.5). If thgat’s not enough for teams to deal with, the Warriors rank second-best in defensive FG percentage (43.3), so it’s not hard to see why they own the NBA’s best record at 32-8.

The pick: The Warriors get an opportunity to avenge one of their most stunning defeats in recent years on Monday. Golden State had won an NBA-best 11 straight games when the Nuggets came to town on Dec. 23 and clobbered them 96-81. It not only was the Warriors’ most lopsided home loss of the season, but also the second-largest margin of defeat in a home game in Steve Kerr’s four years as head coach. Also, the 81-point total was the Warriors’ lowest at home in the Kerr era. Lay it!

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