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SMU vs. Baylor Football Over-Under Odds & Pick from Teddy Covers: September 10th 2016

SMU VS. BAYLOR BETTINGSMU Mustangs vs. Baylor Bears
Football Over-Under Betting Pick: Over 76 points (September 10th 2016)
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SMU went 1-11 in 2014, and the one win came in their season finale against an ‘almost-as-dismal’ 2-10 UConn squad. Last year, Chad Morris – the architect of the Clemson offense that hung 40 on ‘Bama in the National Championship Game in January – took over as head coach.

There was a thorough housecleaning. Former Texas A&M QB Matt Davis – a Top 10 dual threat prospect coming out of high school – got his feet wet in the first year as the starter and the first year of Morris’ offense. But it wasn’t a successful season – SMU went 2-10.

This year, Davis is ready to take the next step, and SMU is primed to explode into an uptempo, high scoring offensive juggernaut. Their skill position talent has been dramatically upgraded – talented, fast kids want to play in this offense — and they’re healthy. After being forced to start freshmen on the line last year, this year, SMU returns 73 career starts on the OL. An offense that returns nine starters improved from 11.1 to 27.8 points per game between 2014 and 2015. Expect another fairly dramatic jump this year!

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Here’s the Chad Morris quote that stands out:
“I felt like last year we started out playing fast. As the year went on, we kind of scaled our offense back to help our football team out. We didn’t have the depth, we couldn’t hold up in the long run on defense, and so we actually slowed things down, which goes totally against everything I’m about, everything I’ve stood for the last five six years. And my response to that is, we still went 2-10.

“That didn’t work. We really have depth in our defensive line, which is a plus for us. That will help keep a lot of guys fresh. But we’re going to go back to doing what we do. We’re going to play fast, extremely fast. I felt like in the spring we played as fast as we’ve ever played, going back to our time at Clemson. That was our method, that was our goal coming out of the spring, to continue to play fast, and that’s what we’re going to do.

“We’re not going to get away from what got us here. Our guys have really adapted to that. We want to turn it loose, get in the left lane and have some fun with this thing.”

Davis is a little bit banged up, and we’re not going to know for sure if he is playing until gameday. That being said, his backup Ben Hicks threw an 88 yard TD in relief of Davis last week. Hicks drew recruiting interest from the likes of Michigan, Florida, Houston, Indiana and Texas Tech – he’s no scrub, and I’m comfortable recommending an Over wager here whether Davis of Hicks is behind center on Saturday.

Get more Baylor Bears and SMU Mustangs betting prediction throughout the season from Teddy Covers at Touthouse.com

Baylor averaged 52 points per game in 2013, 48 points per game in 2014 and 48 points per game in 2015. They hung 56 on SMU last year. While Art Briles is gone, the skill position speed and talent he recruited to Waco is most assuredly still present, bad news for an undersized, slower stop unit like the one the Mustangs possess.

The betting markets haven’t put much upwards pressure on the highest total on the board this week, offering very reasonable value for an Over wager in a game between two explosive offenses that should be played at a ridiculously fast pace. Take the Over.

Louisville vs. Syracuse Football Point Spread & Over-Under Betting Pick: September 9th 2016

LOUISVILLE VS. SYRACUSE POINT SPREAD PICKLouisville Cardinals vs. Syracuse Orange – 8:00pm ET September 9th 2016

Point Spread: The Louisville Cardinals are 14.5 point favorites over the Syracuse Orange. The over/under for this game is posted at 67.5 points.

Public Perception: As of September 6th, 67% of the wagering public is betting that the Cardinals will cover the two touchdown spread against the Orange. Public betting percentages on the over/under is currently split at 50%.

Past Meetings: These two teams met in the 2015 season in Louisville. The Cardinals were installed as a 17 point favorite in that matchup and the over/under was 50.5 points. Louisville had a solid game, putting up almost 600 yards on offense and covered the point spread. The game went over the total. Final Score: Louisville 41 Syracuse 17

Side Betting Trends: Syracuse is 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. Syracuse is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on fieldturf. Syracuse is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Syracuse is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September. Syracuse is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Louisville is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Louisville is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game. Louisville is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Friday games. Louisville is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference games.

Get more Syracuse Orange and Louisville Cardinals predictions each week at Touthouse.com

Over/Under Betting Trends: The over is 5-1 in Syracuse’s last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 4-1 in Syracuse’s last 5 games in September. The over is 4-1 in Syracuse’s last 5 conference games. The over is 10-3 in Syracuse’s last 13 games overall. The over is 5-2 in Louisville’s last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game. The over is 5-2-1 in Louisville’s last 8 road games. The under is 14-6-1 in Louisville’s last 21 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. The over is 11-5 in Louisville’s last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Head-to-Head Trends: Louisville is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. The underdog is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

  • Louisville’s QB, Lamar Jackson had a stellar outing in their opener vs. Charlotte. He amassed 8 touchdowns which included 6 TD passes, setting a new school record.
  • The Cardinals had a almost 700 total yards of offense and did not allow Charlotte to convert on 3rd down at all in that game.
  • Jordan Fredericks of Syracuse, who was one of their best assets on the ground last season with over 600 yards, only ran for 10 yards against Colgate in Week 1.

Betting Pick: Syracuse +14.5
Over-Under Pick: Over 67.5 points

Carolina Panthers vs. Denver Broncos Week 1 Point Spread & Over-Under Pick: September 8th 2016

CAROLINA PANTHERS VS. DENVER BRONCOS ODDSCarolina Panthers vs. Denver Broncos – 8:30pm ET September 8th 2016

Week 1 Point Spread and Odds: The Carolina Panthers are currently 3 point favorites over the Denver Broncos in this years NFL regular season opener. The over/under for this game is 41.5 points. Moneyline odds for this game are Carolina -180/Broncos +160

Public Perception: As of September 6th, 74% of the wagering public believe that the Panthers will cover the point spread over the Broncos. 65% think that this game will stay under the posted total of 41.5 points. (Source: Covers)

Past Meetings: The last time that these two teams took to the field was last year on February 7th. The Carolina Panthers were a 4.5 point chalk in that game and the over/under was 43 points. Denver won that game outright by a score of 24-10, covering the spread as an underdog and keeping the game under the posted betting total.

Betting Trends: Denver is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Thursday games. Denver is 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games in September. Carolina is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass. Carolina is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games overall. Carolina is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 1. Carolina is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.

Don’t miss out on more Denver Broncos and Carolina Panthers predictions for week 1 at Handicapperspicks.com

Under is 5-1 in Broncos last 6 home games. Over is 5-1 in Broncos last 6 games in Week 1. Under is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games in September. Under is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games overall. Under is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games on grass. Under is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 games in Week 1. Over is 3-1-1 in Panthers last 5 games in September. Over is 12-5-1 in Panthers last 18 games overall. Over is 12-5 in Panthers last 17 road games.

Point Spread Pick: Carolina Panthers -3
Moneyline Odds Pick: Carolina Panthers -180
Over-Under Pick: Over 41.5 points


If you are looking for more information on the subject of sports wagering or simply looking for free football picks for this weekends games we recommend Predictem.com. Take advantage of even more complimentary NFL picks in our news section at Touthouse.com. Get college football predictions, previews and advice updated daily throughout the entire season at Handicapperspicks.com