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Rangers vs. Angels Betting Odds & Pick from Brandon Shively: April 13th 2017

Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels
MLB Betting Pick: Texas -131 odds (April 13th 2017)

The Texas Rangers are underpriced on Thursday afternoon in Anaheim. Yu Darvish over Ricky Nolasco is a massive starting pitching mismatch. Nolasco is at the very best an average pitcher in the majors. Yu Darvish has some of the best stuff in the majors, and if he can stay healthy I expect a great season out of him.

Texas has certainly had their fair share of bullpen blowups this year, and those have been highly publicized. I believe those have given us some extra value here. Remember, the Angels don’t have a good bullpen at all either. In fact, I’m not convinced it is better than the Texas bullpen.

The Angels have pulled out a lot of magic in the early going this year, but they aren’t going to consistently win games where they dig a deep hole. The Rangers clearly have the deeper lineup. Texas is much more dangerous now that Joey Gallo is providing the team with consistent power near the bottom of the order.

The Rangers are 7-1 in Darvish’s last 8 starts vs. the Angels. This is a fair price to lay with the much better pitcher and the better lineup.

Orioles vs. Red Sox MLB Betting Odds & Pick from Will Rogers: April 12th 2017

Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox
MLB Betting Pick: Boston -134 odds (April 12th 2017)

The set-up: Boston opened the season with two wins over the Pirates in Fenway. A return to Fenway helped last night, as the Red Sox beat the Orioles 8-1 in the first of a short two-game series with Baltimore. The loss was Baltimore’s second in a row, after a 4-0 start to the season. A worry has to be Baltimore’s bullpen. It surrendered five runs over the last two innings to blow a 3-2 lead in Sunday’s home setback against the New York Yankees, then gave up three runs in both the seventh and eighth innings on Tuesday.

The pitching matchup: Ubaldo Jimenez (0-0 & 10.38 ERA) gets the nod for Baltimore and knuckkleballer Steven Wright (0-0 & 5.40 ERA) for Boston. Jimenez struggled through a chilly night last Friday but escaped with a no-decision versus the New York Yankees after giving up five runs and seven hits (including two HRs) over 4 1/3 innings. He has struggled more against Boston than any other American League team over his career, going 2-7 with a 6.63 ERA in 15 starts (teams are 6-9), including 0-3 with a 5.94 ERA in five starts last year. Wright did factor in the decision Friday at Detroit, permitting four runs on seven hits and three walks in 6 2/3 innings. A worry is that posted a 4.05 ERA at Fenway Park last year, compared to a 2.09 road ERA. He was hammered over his final three starts at home, going 0-1 with a 10.44 ERA. However, he was he exceptional against the Orioles last season, winning both of his starts while posting a 2.76 ERA and holding them to a .175 average.

The pick: Jimenez has ‘ugly career number against teh Red Sox and the Baltimore bullpen, after working 17 1/3 scoreless innings to begin the season, has surrendered 12 runs (11 earned) over its last five innings (that’s a 19.80 ERA). Boston is 3-0 at home so far in 2017, outscoring opponents 5.33-to-1.33 RPG. Play the Red Sox

Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels MLB Pick from Dave Price: April 11th 2017

Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Angels
MLB Betting Pick: Rangers +106 odds (April 11th 2017)

I like the price we are getting with the Texas Rangers today with ace Cole Hamels on the mound.  Hamels has been the model of consistency throughout his big league career.  He has also owned the Los Angeles Angels, going 2-1 with a 3.27 ERA and 1.121 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts against them.  Tyler Scaggs gave up 5 earned runs in 5 1/3 innings at Oakland in his first start this season.  Skaggs sports a 5.49 ERA and 1.576 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts versus Texas.  The Rangers are 16-3 in Hamels’ last 19 starts vs. American League West opponents.  Texas is 35-11 in Hamels’ last 46 starts overall.  The Angels are 2-8 in Skaggs’ last 10 starts.  Take Texas.

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