Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Pick: Toronto Blue Jays +108 odds (July 6th 2011)
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Tonight at 7:10PM ET at Fenway its the Jays vs. Red Sox. Last game out Ricky Romero (7-7, 2.75) took a no-decision in a 7-6 loss at home against Philadelphia, allowing four runs (two earned) on six hits over 6.1 innings, while walking four and striking out three. The 26-year-old southpaw gave up five runs in 4.1 innings in Boston earlier this year, taking his record to 2-5 in 10 starts against the Red Sox with an ERA of 7.69. He is also 2-2 in five starts at Fenway Park with a 5.53 ERA. Tim Wakefield (4-3, 4.82) was tagged for five runs for the second straight start in a 7-5 loss to Houston, taking a no-decision for his efforts. Wakefield also gave up 11 hits in 5.1 innings, while registering no walks or strikeouts, and he continues to be inconsistent. It’s very difficult to pick a knuckleballer, especially one who is 44 years old and has been prone to poor outings as of late. Romero only needs a few runs to help his team win, pound the Jays.
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New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Indians
Pick: Cleveland Indians +102 betting odds (July 6th 2011)
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Indians -105 (1.5* FREE PLAY) Justin Masterson has been on fire he’s 2-1 with a 0.97 WHIP and 1.37 ERA over his last 3 starts he faces off against the red hot Yankees who return with Phil Hughes for the first time in some time. Masterson has a 1.85 ERA over his last 5 starts combined and he’s 1-1 with a 3.00 ERA in 3 career starts vs. the Yankees who have a combined .266 average and .619 OPS. A lot comes from Jeter who is 5-12 vs. Masterson and is likely to be sitting out tonight against the Indians, advantage Masterson. Masterson’s splits are impressive as he has a 5-3 record at night with a 2.34 ERA and 1.12 WHIP and I expect him to pitch well vs. a Yankees line up that gets most of it’s runs from home runs and they hit much better vs. LHP on the road.
Masterson does not give up HR’s in fact he is #2 with 0.32 HR/9 innings pitched. He’s got a 55% ground ball rate which is also 10th in the league the perfect make up to shut down a hot hitting Yankees team that does not hit righties as well as lefties on the road. Hughes makes his first start in some time for the Yankees and I’m not sure he’s ready to face the Indians who are the #8 with a .766 OPS at home. Vs. RHP they have a .258 average and are averaging 5.32 runs per 9 vs. RHP with a 2.97 bullpen ERA. Hughes at Cleveland over his career has pitched 11 IP, 5 ER so nothing too impressive and although he’s been solid in AA in 3 starts with a 1.80 ERA he’s stepping up big time in competition and I expect him to show a little rust. Indians are 22-4 in their last 26 games as a home favorite and 22-9 in their last 31 home games vs. RH starter while the Yankees are 0-5 last 5 road starts with Hughes on the mound.
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds
Prediction: St. Louis cardinals -123 odds (July 6th 2011)
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Albert Pujols is expected back in the lineup as the Cardinals try for a three-game sweep of the visiting Cincinnati Reds on Wednesday night. He’ll be licking his chops at an opportunity to face Bronson Arroyo, who is coming off one of his ugliest outings of the season. He surrendered eight runs and nine hits in 4 2-3 innings of Friday’s 8-2 loss to Cleveland. Arroyo has posted a 10.53 ERA in his last four road starts, and he is 1-5 with a 7.13 ERA in his last seven visits to St. Louis, allowing five runs or more in four of those games.
Jake Westbrook allowed a season-low two hits and struck out seven over seven scoreless innings in a 5-3 road win over the Tampa Bay Rays last time out. The right-hander recorded a similar line April 24 versus the Reds, giving up three hits in six innings of a 3-0 victory. He is 2-1 with a 3.23 ERA over five career starts against Cincinnati. The Cards are 24-7 in home games after allowing 1 run or less over the last 2 seasons. The Reds are 1-6 in Arroyo’s last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. St. Louis is 45-18 in their last 63 home meetings with Cincinnati, including 4-0 in their last 4 home games versus the Reds when facing Arroyo. Take the Cardinals Wednesday.
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