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Missouri Tigers vs. Baylor Bears Betting Pick & Odds: November 5th 2011

Missouri Tigers vs. Baylor Bears
Betting Pick: Baylor -2.5 (November 5th 2011)

After opening the season with three straight up wins over TCU, Stephen F. Austin and Rice, Baylor has hit the skids in their last four battles posting a weak 1-3 SU record. With three of their next five contests inside the friendly confines of Floyd Casey Stadium, the Bears need to protect their hometurf if they have visions of going bowling this season.

Off its shocking 38-31 victory at College Station last Saturday, Missouri is ripe for a beating too. The Tigers (+10’) stunned the Aggies and they’ll look to do the same to the Bears in this their final true road game of the regular season. If my college football database has anything to do with the outcome of this game, Mizzou won’t accomplish its mission. Since 1980, teams coming off a straight up win at Texas A&M are a soft 16-27 ATS in their next game.

At home, Baylor has played extremely well this season. The Bears have posted a 4-0 SU record and knocked off TCU, Stephen F. Austin, Rice and Iowa State in the process. Equally impressive, as home chalk, BU has posted a decent 16-10 ATS mark in its last 26 tries. In comparison, Missouri has struggled something fierce in the second of two or more away notching a disturbing 0-10 SU and 2-8 ATS record in its last 10 tries.

Under the direction of quarterback Robert Griffin III, the Bears have been a force offensively. Baylor is averaging 41.4 points and 560.0 yards per game. That’s good enough to rank ninth in the nation in scoring and third in total offense! UB is the only FBS school that averages over 300 yards per game passing and 200 yards per game rushing! Matched up against a Tigers secondary that allows an average of 250.4 yards per game and is currently ranked 94th in the nation, Griffin should have a monster night!

Turnovers killed the Bears in their 59-24 loss at Oklahoma State last Saturday. Baylor’s first eight possessions ended in Cowboys territory but, thanks to three fumbles, two picks and two drives that ended on downs, the Bears only had three points to show for their work. Provided head coach Art Briles’ kids take care of the football, they should have no trouble racking up points and picking up the win. Take Baylor! Thank you and best of luck, Tom Stryker.

Michigan Wolverines vs. Iowa Hawkeyes Betting Pick & Odds: November 5th 2011

Michigan Wolverines vs. Iowa Hawkeyes
Betting Pick: Over 57.5 -110 odds (November 5th 2011)

These two teams combined for 66 points in a 38-28 Iowa win at Michigan last year. I think there is a great chance that they score even more than that this time around. The oddsmakers have been raising this total like crazy to try and get people on the under, but they still don’t have it high enough to keep me away.

Iowa is coming off a miserable 21-22 loss at Minnesota last week, a game they were favored by 15 points. While Iowa scored just 21 points, they should have had closer to 40 points if they had just executed in Minnesota territory. Iowa had 446 yard of total offense in the loss. Look for the Hawkeyes offense to get back on track at home, where they are averaging 39 points and just over 430 yards of offense.

If you look at Michigan’s defensive numbers you might think Iowa will struggle offensively. The Wolverines are 48th against the run (138.3) and 25th against the pass (194.6). However, that defense has not been all that great on the road. Michigan is allowing 26 points and 386 yards a game outside of the Big House.

With Michigan coming in averaging 34.7 ppg you should already be thinking shootout in Iowa City, but we haven’t even got into just how bad the Iowa defense is in 2011. Iowa is 66th against the run (163.6 ppg) and 75th against the pass (238.6). What Michigan does best is run the ball with Denard Robinson and Fitzgerald Troussaint. Iowa has struggled against mobile quarterbacks who like to run the ball. Just a couple weeks back the Hawkeyes allowed Indiana quarterback Tre Roberson to rush for 84 yards on 16 attempts. Just imagine what Robinson is going to do to this defense on Saturday!

The OVER is 12-5 in Wolverines last 17 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 6-2 in Hawkeyes last 8 games as a home underdog, 13-4 in Hawkeyes last 17 home games versus good offensive teams – averaging >=425 yards/game since 1992! BET THE OVER 57.5! -Steve Janus

Central Michigan vs. Kent State Betting Prediction: November 4th 2011

Central Michigan vs. Kent State
Betting Prediction: Kent State -1 (November 4th 2011)

I’m fading Central Michigan on the road this evening. The Chippewas are 1-5 SU and 0-6 ATS on the road this season where they are scoring just 18 ppg on 373 yards of offense. The Chipps won’t be getting anything easy in this one against a Kent State defense that ranks 33rd in the country with 337 yards allowed per contest. This number goes down to 286 yards allowed at home.

Turnovers have been an issue for Central Michigan, especially on the road where they have committed 16 in 6 games. There’s a better than good chance turnovers will haunt the Chipps tonight as they go up against a team that has come up with 22 takeaways in 8 games. The Golden Flashes even got Alabama to cough it up 5 times. Offense has been the issue for Kent State this season, but the Golden Flashes should find some success tonight against a defense that gives up 34.5 points and 422 yards per game on the road. Take Kent State.

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