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Chicago Cubs vs. Houston Astros Odds: MLB Baseball Picks for August 16th 2011

Chicago Cubs vs. Houston Astros
MLB Baseball Pick: Under 7.5 -110 odds (August 16th 2011)
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Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #960 Take Chicago Cubs/Houston Astros UNDER (8:05pm ET) The Houston Astros have hit absolute rock-bottom. Sitting at 38-84, the Astros have by far the worst record in the sport and they’re fully focused on trying out everyone from Triple-A to see who can contribute for next season. A glance up and down their lineup card for the last few days shows only one true major-league quality hitter – Carlos Lee. And Carlos Lee isn’t even half the player he once was. Basically the rest of the lineup was playing in the minor leagues at the beginning of the 2011 season. Needless to say, they’ve struggled to score runs this season and especially lately. In their last four games, the Astros have scored a total of four runs.

The starting pitchers throwing in this matchup have both been a little underrated so far this season. Ryan Dempster of the Chicago Cubs comes in with a 4.70 ERA, but his strikeout and walk totals are very comparable to past seasons where he posted ERAs in the 3’s and he’s keeping the ball in the park just as frequently. He’s just had a little bit of bad luck as more hits have fallen in against him than what is normally expected. He has also been in a nice groove over his last 12 starts, going 6-3 with a 3.06 ERA. Brett Myers of the Astros has had a somewhat similar fortune as his ERA is at 4.71, but his underlying statistics point to better results. He generally keeps his team in the game and has been able to control his pitches a lot better lately. In his last four starts, he has yielded only four walks and has struck out a total of 19 batters. Myers has been very tough on the Cubs throughout his entire career as the current Cubs roster has hit only .223 against him combined. He also hasn’t allowed more than three earned runs in his last 10 starts against the Cubs. Almost everything points to the Under in this one, and with the number at 7.5, I see a lot of value with this one.

MLB Odds: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers Pick: August 15th 2011

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Pick: Milwaukee Brewers -153 MLB odds (August 15th 2011)
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The Los Angeles Dodgers are doing something their organization isn’t used to doing in mid-August, simply playing out the season. The Dodgers have won three in a row, 5-5 in their last 10 games, and 24-30 on the road this season. As a team Los Angeles is hitting .252 led by Matt Kemp at .320, Andre Ethier at .299, and Jamey Carroll at .295. As a team the Dodgers pitching staff has a combined ERA of 3.77 with the starters at 3.66 and the bullpen at 4.02. For game one at Miller Park Los Angeles starts Ted Lilly who has lost his last two starts. For the season Lilly has allowed 141 hits and 72 earned runs while striking out 106 in 137.2 innings of work.
Milwaukee is 16-3 in their last 19 home games against a team with a losing road record, 5-2 in their last seven games against a left handed starter, and 7-1 in Wolf’s last eight home starts. Los Angeles is 5-2 in their last seven road games, 5-11 in their last 16 games against a left handed starter, and 1-5 in Lilly’s last six road starts. Los Angeles has won five of the last six meetings of these two. TAKE MILWAUKEE MINUS

New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Odds: MLB Predictions for August 15th 2011

New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres
MLB Prediction: New York Mets +101 odds (August 15th 2011)
Visit for more expert MLB predictions from Jack Jones

I’m siding with the New York Mets Monday due to the edge they have on the mound, and San Diego’s struggles at home. R.A. Dickey has posted a 3.75 ERA and 1.282 WHIP this season. The knuckleballer has found a way to extend his career by perfecting his favorite pitch. Aaron Harang sports a 4.03 ERA and 1.425 WHIP on the season and has been very lucky to get 11 wins this year. Harang is 2-1 with a 7.16 ERA and 2.203 WHIP in his last three starts, yielding 13 earned runs and 36 base runners in 16 1/3 innings.
Harang is 3-3 with a 5.88 ERA and 1.812 WHIP in seven career starts against New York. In his last two starts against the Mets, he has allowed 8 earned runs and 21 base runners in 8 2/3 innings. San Diego is just 23-36 at home this year, hitting .214 and scoring 2.9 RPG at Petco Park. The Mets have played their best baseball away from home, posting a 33-30 road record while hitting .267 and scoring 4.7 RPG. The Mets are 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. New York is 5-1 in Dickey’s last 6 starts as an underdog. Bet the Mets Monday.

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