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MLB Lines: Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Pick: July 8th 2011

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -172 MLB Lines (July 8th 2011)
Visit Touthouse.com for more expert MLB picks from Ray Monohan

Halladay will be aiming for his 12th win of 2011 when he leads the Phillies into a three-game series against their National League East rivals from Atlanta on Friday. He’s now (11-3, 2.44) and tossed his 6th complete game of the season in his return to Toronto as the Phillies won 5-3, and he gave up 3 runs on 8 hits, with 8 strikeouts and a walk. Halladay didn’t seem fazed at all as he stepped onto the mound where he became the best pitcher in baseball over 12 seasons, but you expect that out of the two-time (and reigning) Cy Young winner. Brandon Beachy (3-1, 3.23) came away with a no-decision in a 5-4 loss at home to Baltimore, allowing 3 runs on 7 hits over 5 innings of work, scattering 6 strikeouts with no walks along the way. The rookie has now allowed 3 runs or less in his last 8 starts. Unless Beachy can toss a shutout, it’s unlikely that the Braves will give him enough support for the win. Like the Phils on Friday night.

MLB Baseball Picks: Blue Jays vs. Indians Odds: July 8th 2011

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Indians
MLB Baseball Pick: Over 9.5 -110 odds (July 8th 2011)
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These two teams played 4 times this season, with each game going OVER, averaging 13 RPG. Toronto comes into this matchup with 5 OVERS in their L7, while Cleveland boasts 6 OVERS and a PUSH in their L10. The Blue Jay’s rank 6th in the league in scoring with 4.53 RPG, 7th in OPS at .737, and 3rd in HR’s with 103. Bautista and Escobar have combined for 115 runs and 186 hits. Patterson, Hill, and Lind are each putting up incredible numbers as well. The Tribe has been crushing the ball, averaging almost 5 RPG over the L2 weeks. The entire lineup is producing. The Cabrera’s, Brantley, and Santana are each hitting, scoring, and driving in runs. The Blue Jay’s send Jo-Jo Reyes to the bump. The LH is 3-7 with a 4.85 ERA, including a 0-2, 8.40 record in his L3 starts. The Indian’s have Mitch Talbot on the hill. The RH is 2-5 with a 5.60 ERA, including a 0-1, 7.04 mark in his L3 starts. The OVER is 4-0-1 in their L5 meetings, 5-2 in the Blue Jay’s L7 overall, 8-3 in the Blue Jay’s L11 vs. the AL Central, 6-1-1 in the Indian’s L8 games following a win, and 7-1-1 in Talbot’s L9 games vs. the AL East. Take the OVER. Thank you.

MLB Odds: Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals Pick: July 7th 2011

Detroit Tigers vs. Kansas City Royals
Pick: Kansas City Royals +114 MLB odds (July 7th 2011)
Visit Touthouse.com for more expert MLB picks from Ben Burns

Burns ran his streak on top rated plays to 16-1 yesterday. Here he takes a look at tonight’s Detroit/KC matchup. The Tigers are favored for this evening’s opener. They’ve got the better overall record and will likely be a popular choice. I feel the Royals have a solid shot at scoring the upset though. Let’s check it out. The Royals have won two straight and three of their last four. With a win tonight, they can move back to .500 (24-24) at home for the season.

The Tigers won yesterday but still lost two of three vs. the Angels. They had to travel from the West Coast after yesterday’s game and are now 19-23 away from Detroit on the season. That brings them to a money-burning 84-122 (-34.2) on the road, the past 2 1/2 seasons. Duffy got roughed up on the road (at Coors Field) last time out, giving up five runs in five innings. (He did have 6 K’s and only 1 walk, so it wasn’t like he was out of control.) His most recent home start saw him hold the Cubs to two runs through seven innings though and he’ll have the advantage of starting against the Tigers for the first time.

Scherzer was even worse than Duffy last time out. He gave up nine runs (6 earned) while lasting only two innings. Also, in his last road start, he gave up six runs in six innings. In seven road starts, he’s got a terrible 6.63 ERA and 1.703 and has given up a whopping 10 home runs. While Scherzer has pitched well at home vs. the Royals, his last start at KC saw him get rocked for nine hits and five runs in just five innings. He took the loss, as the Royals won 7-3.

With both starters having “questionable” numbers, its more important than ever to consider the relievers. Duffy is supported by a KC bullpen which has a solid 3.67 ERA and 1.334 WHIP on the season. Scherzer is supported by a Detroit bullpen which has a poor 4.85 ERA and 1.53 WHIP on the season. On the road, those numbers swell to an ugly 5.50 ERA and 1.569 WHIP. All things considered, in my opinion, getting the Royals as an underdog seems more than fair. Consider KC.


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