Milwaukee Bucks vs. Portland Trailblazers
NBA Point Spread Pick: Bucks +4.5 (March 21st 2017)
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The small-market Bucks are below the radar screen having won eight of their last 10 while going 7-3 ATS. One of those defeats came to Golden State this past Saturday when Milwaukee ran out of gas playing for the third time in four days, sixth in nine days and without rest. The Warriors certainly can make a tired road team look terrible. The Bucks aren’t nearly that bad. Milwaukee enters this matchup having been idle the past two days. So the Bucks should have their full energy. This spot is fraught with danger for Portland.
The Trail Blazers are home for the first time in 10 days having gone an impressive 4-1 on their road trip that concluded Sunday at Miami. The Trail Blazers are coming off straight-up victories against the Spurs, Hawks and Heat. They were underdogs in all three of those games. Now the Trail Blazers have to adjust to being back home while avoid suffering a letdown after such heady road performances. Recent history is not on the Trail Blazers’ side here. Portland is 1-5 ATS the past six times as a home favorite with the one cover occurring against the Nets, who have the worst record in the NBA by far. On the season, Portland is just 14-17 ATS at home. I find it hard to back Portland as home chalk when it gives up 110 points per game. Only four teams surrender more points per game. The Bucks, by contrast, rank 10th defensively allowing 5 1/2 fewer points per game than the Trail Blazers. Milwaukee has been playing excellent defense lately, too. If you discount the Warriors’ game, the Bucks have held six of their last eight opponents to 98 or fewer points. The Bucks defeated the Trail Blazers, 115-107, at home on Dec. 7 in the previous meeting.
It’s not a fluke. The Bucks are active in the paint – where the Trail Blazers are vulnerable – and can match Portland’s athleticism. I would take Giannis Antekokounmpo over Damian Lillard as the best player on the court. The Bucks outscored the Trail Blazers by 24 points in the paint during their earlier victory.
(Editor’s note: Stephen Nover is 33-21 on his last 54 premium and free NBA plays for 61 percent and has won his last four NBA plays. He has a Top Ticket totals play going today in the NBA in addition to this free selection.)
Phoenix Suns vs. Miami Heat
NBA Point Spread Pick: Heat -12 (March 21st 2017)
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This is going to look like a huge number for Miami to be laying at home against the Suns. The Heat just lost 104-115 at home to the Trailblazers as a 6-point favorite and it came after the recent injury to Dion Waiters. I just don’t think not having Waiters matters against the Suns, who have packed it in and are tanking to improve their lottery status. Phoenix has just shutdown Eric Bledsoe just because. Same thing with Tyslon Chandler. They are also without Brandon Knight and likely missing Devin Booker in this one. The Suns simply don’t have the talent available to be competitive against a team like Miami, who is fighting for their playoff lives, especially on the road. Give me the Heat -12!
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Richmond vs. TCU
College Basketball Pick: Richmond +8 (March 21st 2017)
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Scott “The Bulldog” Rickenbach is RANKED among TOP CAPPERS 2017 with $35,020 YTD profit with star rated picks. He went 3-2-1 Monday in all sports with a solid profit including a +135 NHL dog! Tuesday’s star rated picks include 2 NBA, 1 CBB, and 2 NHL. He also has a CBB Free Pick below. Current runs include: 67-41 all NBA; Star rated picks: 203-162 +$36,670 all sports; 91-67 CBB; 72-58 +$20,890 NHL. Don’t miss a Terrific Tuesday! Onto the Free Pick:
Free Pick – Rickenbach Tuesday CBB Richmond Spiders (+) @ TCU Horned Frogs @ 7 ET – Certainly TCU comes from the tougher conference and has home court edge but Richmond definitely won’t be intimidated. The Spiders can play with anyone and I feel we’re getting solid line value here with Richmond as a big dog. TCU’s defense hasn’t exactly been stellar of late. In fact, the Horned Frogs have allowed 46.7% or better from three point land in their last 3 games. Overall from the field teams have averaged over 50% from the field against Texas Christian University in their last 3 games. Arguably, the only reason TCU is here is because their last two opponents have had horrible shooting games at the free throw line. Talk about leaving points off of the scoreboard, the Horned Frogs last two opponents have shot 42.1% and 52.6% from the free throw line. Also, lets not forget that TCU had lost 7 straight games before their recent stretch that has seen them win 4 of their last 5. As for Richmond, they are rolling into Fort Worth with confidence as they have won 7 of their last 8 games and, going further back, 16 of their last 22. Over their last 8 games, the Spiders have been shooting the ball very well (including from 3 point land) and before their win over Oakland Sunday, 5 of their last 6 games were away from home. In other words, the Spiders hot shooting has included plenty of action away from home. Richmond is 9-3 ATS on the road this season and 5-1 ATS when off of a game where they scored 80 points or more. The Horned Frogs are on a 5-12 ATS run against teams with a winning record. Free Pick on RICHMOND Tuesday evening. Best of luck, Scott “The Bulldog” Rickenbach
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