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Astros vs. Yankees MLB Playoffs Odds & Pick from Brandon Lee: October 16th 2017

Houston Astros vs. New York Yankees
MLB Playoffs Pick: Yankees -129 odds (October 16th 2017)

The Astros held serve at home to take a 2-0 series lead in the ALCS over the Yankees, but I look for New York to respond as they head home for Game 3 and have veteran C.C. Sabathia on the mound. Sabathia has been one of the Yankees most consistent starters down the stretch. He started twice against the Indians in the ALDS and gave up just 4 runs (2 each start) on 8 hits with 14 strikeouts in 9 2/3 innings of work. While he’s not gone deep in games, that’s just fine with the outstanding bullpen of New York. The Yankees offense should get going here against Houston’s Charlie Morton, who has a 4.17 ERA and 1.352 WHIP in 10 road starts. One of those was at NY against these Yankees, where he gave up 4 runs in just 5 2/3 innings. Give me the Yankees -129!

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Steelers vs. Chiefs Week 6 NFL Point Spread Pick from Will Rogers: October 15th 2017

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Week 6 NFL Pick: KC -4 points (October 15th 2017)

The set-up: The Kansas City Chiefs are the NFL’s lone remaining unbeaten team at 5-0 (also 5-0 ATS) and no one will need to remind Andy Reid nor his team that the last time the Chiefs lost a meaningful football game (we don’t count the preseason) was last January in the AFC playoffs, 18-16 at home to the team they’ll face this Sunday, the Pittsburgh Steelers. The Chiefs welcome the 3-2 Pittsburgh Steelers to Arrowhead Stadium for this Week 6 contest, with Pittsburgh coming off a shocking 30-9 home loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars last Sunday, a game in which QB Ben Roethlisberger tossed five interceptions. The frustration of his performance prompted Big Ben to tell reporters after the game that “maybe I doesn’t have it in me anymore.”

Pittsburgh: I doubt many believe that Big Ben is through. Surely, KC’s Andy Reid doesn’t buy that Roethlisberger is anything less today than a year ago. “I think that was more just to back people off from the questions,” Reid said. “We get hit with a couple questions and that can be kind of a back off deal. I know we have to play against a heck of a player, a future Hall of Fame player. We got to get ourselves ready, we don’t think much about all those comments. KC’s QB Alex Smith added, “I know he was frustrated in the moment,” Smith said. “I know he said this and it is easy to make too much of it. I think he is still playing at a pretty good level from afar.” BTW…Roethlisberger completed 60 percent of his passes for 312 yards against the Jags, as well. Pittsburgh’s offense has struggled more than expected in 2017, despite boasting RB Le’Veon Bell and the league’s leading receiver in Antonio Brown, who has already recorded three 100-yard performances this season. However, that Steelers D allows 17.8 PPG (6th), struggling against the run (136.6 YPG ranks 28th) but leading the NFL in pass D, allowing only 139.6 YPG!

Kansas City: The Chiefs, simply put, have easily been the NFL’s best in 2017. KC is averaging a league-leading 32.8 PPG, as Alex Smith is delivering a “career year,” He’s completed 76.6 percent, while averaging 258.0 YPG (8th-best) and throwing 11 TDs with not a single INT in 158 attempts (125.8 QB rating is tops in the league). Rookie RB Kareem Hunt is running away (literally) with top rookie honors, rushing for a league–best 609 yards (6.3 YPC and 4 TDs), while catching 16 passes for two more TDs. KC ranks second in rushing at 156.2 YPG. Smith’s top targets are TE Kelce (29 catches) and WR Hill (25). KC’s defense has not needed to to great and it hasn’t, as the Chiefs come in allowing 22.2 PPG (17th) on 366.0 YPG (27th).

The pick: The key here is that Big Ben is 5-1 as a starting QB in his career against Kansas City and his 118.7 QB rating against the Chiefs ranks as his best against any team he’s played more than twice. Roethlisberger has thrown 13 TD passes and just three interceptions in his six regular-season meetings with the Chiefs. The Steelers handed Kansas City a 43-14 shellacking in last year’s regular season in Pittsburgh and then, as noted above, defeated the Chiefs 18-16 in the playoffs at KC, holding the Chiefs to only 227 total yards. Pittsburgh didn’t score a TD (just six FGs) but Big Ben threw for 224 yards and Bell ran for 170! So, does this mean Pittsburgh and Big Ben “have KC’s number?” Not this year’s KC team! Lay the points!

NCAAF Pick: Teddy Covers betting UCLA -2 points on October 14th 2017

UCLA Bruins vs. Arizona Wildcats
College Football Pick: UCLA -2 (October 14th 2017)

Bye weeks are very meaningful in college football.  Banged up players get a chance to get healthy.  Coaches have extra time to shore up flaws and prepare gameplans.  Players get a much needed break and tend to come back with full focus.  As we approach the college football season’s halfway point, we should take note to adjust power ratings up a notch or two for teams coming off their break.

UCLA is in that exact situation this week.  The Bruins faced a brutal non-conference slate, including Texas A&M and Memphis.  They opened their PAC-12 slate with Stanford and Colorado.  The Arizona team they’ll face on Saturday Night is as weak as any foe they’ve seen all year, with the lone exception of Hawaii.  And it’s surely worth noting that the Bruins beat Hawaii 56-23, covering the spread as 24 point favorites.

The Bruins defense currently ranks #128 in the country against the run, allowing 284 yards per game and 6.3 yards per carry, truly awful numbers.  But those season long stats don’t tell the true story of what we can expect from UCLA on Saturday.  Injured defensive starters Jaelan Phillips, Lokeni Toailoa and Dechaun Holiday are all expected back on the field this week; a SIGNIFICANT upgrade for their Front Seven on ‘D’.

That matters, a lot, because Arizona might have found themselves a QB last week.  Sophomore Khalil Tate was mostly a running threat as a true frosh last year, attempting only 45 pass attempts for the season.  Tate was injured over the summer and didn’t get a chance to compete for the starting job.  But he’s healthy now and coming off a truly brilliant starting debut, rushing for more than 300 yards while compiling a QB rating of 217.2, throwing only one incomplete pass all day.

Can Tate do it again, or is he just a one hit wonder?  Here’s what UCLA head coach Jim Mora had to say: “It’s like playing a wildcat offense with a quarterback that can throw. We have to play hard but play with patience, play with speed but play with patience, and that’s sometimes a difficult combination. But we’ve been working really hard on it, and our guys have a great understanding of what we’re up against.”

UCLA’s defense should be better with three key starters back. They’ve got film on Tate to work with and extra time to prep for Rich Rodriguez’s attack.  The Bruins own offense is loaded with quality skill position talent, and QB Josh Rosen is still very much alive to be the first QB chosen in the draft next spring.  And Arizona’s defense is a long, long way from being an elite unit, capable of shutting the Bruins down.

Let’s not forget about the head-to-head matchup record between Jim Mora and RichRod!  In five previous meetings between these two head coaches, Mora is 5-0 SU, 5-0 ATS, covering the spread by an AVERAGE of more than 19 points per game.  Now that’s a track record worthy of support!  Recommendation: Take UCLA.

Teddy is primed to deliver the goods in the NFL this week, locked and loaded with three rock solid Sunday winners along with four strong college football winners for Saturday!  Don’t miss a single ‘right side’ cash!

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