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Brandon Shively betting the Seahawks +4.5 over the Falcons: January 14th 2017

Seattle Seahawks vs. Atlanta Falcons
NFL Playoffs Pick: Seattle +4.5 (January 14th 2017)

After initial money poured in on the Falcons and pushed this line from -3.5 to -5, late steam has pushed this spread back down to -4/ -4.5. I like Seattle in this spot for numerous reasons. Seattle is the more experienced team as far as the playoffs are concerned. This game is played in a dome, where I feel the Seahawks are better suited when playing on the road.

Seattle comes into this game having outgained their last 6 opponents. There is a good possibility that running back C.J. Prosise plays here and Rawls is healthy also. This 1-2 combination could be huge to go along with Russell Wilson who is also 100% and can be effective outside of the pocket. C.J. Prosise had come on strong in 2 games in November before getting injured. He was huge for them out of the backfield as a receiver in a 31-24 victory at New England.

The ‘Over’ is 8-0 in Seattle’s last 8 Playoff games when they have been an underdog and they are averaging about 28 ppg in these 8 games which gives me confidence they put up a big number here. While the Falcons have the NFL’s highest scoring offense, they continue to be a bad bet when laying points at home. They are 0-2 ATS in their 2 most recent Playoff games as a favorite, in 2013 and 2011.

Going back to the 2013-14 season, the Falcons are 6-16 ATS as a home favorite. As a home favorite of 5 points or less, they are 1-10 ATS their last 11. The Seahawks are 5-0 ATS their L5 games as a road dog of more than 3.5 points.

Looking at the officiating crew for this game, Gene Steratore’s crew called the NFL’s lowest combined total of defensive-holding, illegal-contact and defensive-pass-interference penalties (22 in 15 games). This could be an edge for the Seahawks with Sherman and company allowed to be more physical against Julio Jones and the Falcons receivers.

All 4 favorites covered last week. Do they all cover this week? That’s highly unlikely and there is a far higher probability of the underdogs cashing as the public is lining up once again laying the chalk. I am following the late steam here on the Seahawks. (1* Seattle)

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Brandon is 15-5 (75%) the last 3 years in the NFL Playoffs. He went 1-1 last weekend, missing on his big play. Saturday, Brandon has another BIG Play and he is 9-3 (75%) his L12 Games of the W/M/Y in the NFL. Join him for this Winner Saturday and let’s have a huge weekend!

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Wichita State vs. Illinois State Basketball Pick from Matt Fargo: January 14th 2017

Wichita State vs. Illinois State
College Basketball Pick: Illinois State +2.5 (January 14th 2017)

First place in the Missouri Valley Conference is on the line in Normal, Illinois on Saturday night and the Redbirds home floor should propel them to the victory. Illinois St. and Wichita St. are both 5-0 in the conference and riding six-game winning streaks yet it is the Shockers who comes in as the favorites with a lot of that based on name and past history. This is a very solid team which has yet to lose a true road game, going 3-0 on the season, but this is by far their biggest test. The Redbirds have taken care of business on their home floor with a perfect 8-0 record and Illinois St. has won 14 straight games at Redbird Arena, tied for the second-longest streak since the building opened in 1989. They are getting it done with defense as they are allowing opponents to shoot just 37.7 percent from the floor which is sixth in the country and in five conference games, that drops to 35.4 percent. The Redbirds have not been alone in first place in the MVC since 1998 when they won their last regular-season title so this is definitely a big game to prove they are for real. Wichita St. is 0-4 ATS this season as a single digit favorite while the Redbirds are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games against teams with a winning road record. Play (648) Illinois St. Redbirds.

Fargo has a big Saturday planned in College Hoops and you should not miss a single play! He has SEVEN Winners going throughout the day and night so take advantage! He went a SIZZLING 5-1 last Saturday and is now +$24,370 since the start of last season!

The NFL Playoffs have always been the time to shine for Fargo and is already off to a 2-1 start! Matt is on a SWEET 30-22 NFL Playoff Run since 2013 and has WON a PHENOMENAL $37,275 in the NFL the last 3+ seasons! TWO Winners Saturday!

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Detroit Pistons vs. Utah Jazz NBA Prediction from Larry Ness: January 13th 2017

Detroit Pistons vs. Utah Jazz
NBA Prediction: Utah -8.5 (January 13th 2017)

The 24-16 Utah Jazz are tied with OKC atop the Northwest Division and the team’s most recent win, 100-92 at home vs the defending champion Cavs,  signaled this team’s rising status in the Western Conference.The Jazz host the 18-23 Detroit Pistons Friday night (late game in the ESPN doubleheader), who come in having lost 10 of their last 14 games overall.

Detroit will be playing its fourth contest of a five-game road trip with last night’s 127-107 loss to the Warriors leaving them 1-2 on the trip, after opening with a one-point win at Portland. I guess one could say they are lucky to not be 0-3. The Pistons rank 5th on the season in points allowed (100.9 per game) but have struggled to slow opponents since enduring a five-game losing skid in mid-December. In  the team’s 3-3 start to January, they are allowing 117.2 PPG (note: one game was a double-OT contest).

Defense has been Utah’s strength all season, as the Jazz rank first in both points allowed (94.9 PPG) and opponents’ FG percentage (36.9%) plus while the Jazz are near the bottom in points scored (98.4 PPG ranks 28th), the team shoots well (46.3% overall, including 36.9% on threes, both of which rank 8th). Six players scored in double figures for Utah in the win over the Cavs, including all five starters. Gordon Hayward led the way with one of his best performances of the season (28 points on 10-of-12 shooting). “When he is playing like that, he is a real leader, and that’s what we need,” Utah center Rudy Gobert said. Hayward and Gobert both continue to make strong cases for All-Star consideration. Hayward is averaging a career-best 22.2 points per game this season on 45.9 percent shooting (adds 5.9 RPG and 3.5 APG). Gobert is imposing on the defensive end and has 10-plus rebounds in 25 straight games and has notched 27 double-doubles this season. Gobert is also averaging career highs in points (12.3 per game), rebounds (12.3) and blocks (2.5).

The Pistons have covered their last three visits to Salt Lake City, including winning SU last season. In fact, Detroit sweep the season series last year but did so in averaging only 93.5 PPG. That won’t cut it here. The Jazz are more efficient with PG with George Hill returning to the lineup and he’s been back the last three games (Hill averages 18.2 PPG and 4.4 APG in the 12 games he’s played TY). This marks Detroit’s FOURTH game in seven nights and expect them to lose again here. Lay the points.

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