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Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds: MLB Picks for May 30th 2011

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds
MLB Pick: Cincinnati Reds -121 (May 30th 2011)

The Cincinnati Reds get the call Monday as just a small home favorite against the Milwaukee Brewers. These are two very evenly matched starting pitchers tonight, but we’ll back the Reds due to home-field advantage in this one. Plus, Cincinnati has owned Milwaukee. The Reds are 24-11 in all meetings with the Brewers over the last three seasons, including 5-1 this year. Cincinnati has won 13 of their last 17 home meetings with the Brewers. Travis Wood is 2-0 with a 2.95 ERA and 0.764 WHIP in three career starts versus Milwaukee, while Chris Narveson is 0-2 with a 7.25 ERA and 1.464 WHIP in three career starts versus Cincinnati. The Brewers are one of the worst road teams in the league this year, going 8-17 away from home while hitting .220 and scoring 2.8 runs/game. Cincinnati is 15-11 at home where they are hitting .282 and scoring 5.7 runs/game. Plus, the Reds are hitting .296 and scoring 6.6 runs/game against left-handed starters in 2011. Take Cincinnati on the Money Line. -Black Widow (Touthouse.com)

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: MLB Picks for May 30th 2011

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals
MLB Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -185 (May 30th 2011)

5* graded play on the Phillies as they take on the Nationals set to start at 1:05 PM ET. The Phillies are coming off a loss yesterday to the Mets, but still have 13 more games to play against sub-.500 teams in the weeks ahead. They already own the best record on the National League and all of baseball. That record has been attained after a 20 game stretch against winning record teams and a host of significant injuries. The Phillies are a team that has yet to reach their full playing power and when they get all personnel back they may be on their way to a 110 win season. My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that the Phillies will win the game. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 40-10 for 80% winners making 27.3 units per one unit wagered since 1997. Play on NL road favorites with a money line of -110 or higher and is a struggling hitting team batting <=.255 and is now facing an average starting pitcher sporting an ERA between 3.70 and 4.20 and with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better on the season. Philadelphia is also a solid 96-45 making 37.3 units against the money line facing teams whose hitters strike out seven or more times per game over the last two seasons. Halladay is 10-1 with a 2.01 ERA against the Expos and Nationals in 14 appearances with 13 of those starts. He is 5-0 against the Nationals with a 1.15 ERA in five starts since joining the Phillies and is 8-0 against the Nationals since they moved to D.C. take the Phillies. -John Ryan (Touthouse.com)


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