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Brandon Lee betting the ‘Under’ in the Nats vs. Padres game on August 20th 2017

Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres
MLB Over-Under Pick: Under 7.5 runs +100 odds (August 20th 2017)
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Small total here but I still like the UNDER in Sunday’s showdown between the Nationals and Padres. Both of these offenses come into the weekend struggling at the plate. Washington clearly misses Bryce Harper in the middle of the lineup and the Padres just don’t have a ton of talent. More than anything, I like the pitching matchup. Nationals send out Gio Gonzalez, who has put up Cy Young type numbers with a 2.49 ERA and 1.120 WHIP in 24 starts. That includes an amazing 0.43 ERA and 0.762 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Padres will send out Dinelson Lamet, who is a strong talent that is throwing the ball exceptionally well right now with a 2.04 ERA and 0.792 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Give me the UNDER 7.5!

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NFL Preseason Pick: Covers betting the Ravens +2.5 points on August 17th 2017

Baltimore Ravens vs. Miami Dolphins
NFL Preseason Pick: Baltimore +2.5 (August 17th 2017)
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The Miami Dolphins have no business as favorites in this ballgame.  One of the biggest ‘red flags’ in preseason for any team – let alone a favorite – is when a coach starts whining about his injury situation.  That’s exactly what Adam Gase has done this week.  When a coach can’t handle any more injuries, the entire team seems to feel it, and you tend to see significantly less intensity for a meaningless August game.  And Gase has been dealing with the cumulative effect of the injury bug all week, even cancelling practice on Tuesday to go through a ‘no pads’ walk through.

Gase has every reason to whine considering the state of his offensive line right now.  Jay Cutler is supposed to get his first game action with Miami here, but how long he’ll be on the field is very much in question, especially given the state of the Dolphins offensive line right now.  Center Mike Pouncey (hip) isn’t likely to play.  Right tackle Ja’Wuan James (shoulder), has missed practices all week as has guard-center Kraig Urbik (back).  Guard Ted Larson (biceps) is already out.

This quote speaks volumes, when it comes to ‘coach speak’:  Gase:“Coach Harbaugh always has his crew ready to go very early, and they’re going to be looking to work on certain things. and for us to be able to play them, that’s good for our guys.”  Read between the lines here.  Gase wants competition.  He couldn’t care less about winning.

Baltimore has been hit by the injury bug as well, but John Harbaugh has taken a different approach to the Ravens injury woes.  Ozzie Newsome is one of the best GM’s in football, and Baltimore routinely has better depth than the vast majority of NFL teams.  Harbaugh sat most of the Ravens veterans last week, but he’s said that he expects a number of those vets to suit up and play tonight.

And Harbaugh is clearly a ‘bet-on’ coach in August.  Baltimore went 4-0 SU in the preseason last year, winning SU as an underdog twice; the second time in three years that the Ravens went 4-0 in August both SU and ATS.  They won SU as an underdog in their preseason debut against Washington last week; worth backing again even without starting QB Joe Flacco expected to play.  Live dog here! Take the Ravens.

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Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres Odds & Pick: August 17th 2017

Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres
MLB Pick: San Diego -107 odds (August 17th 2017)
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The Washington Nationals will open a seven-game road trip with the first of four on Thursday night against the Padres In San Diego. Washington has lost Bryce Harper to a deep knee bruise but Stephen Strasburg is expected to rejoin the rotation this weekend. The Nationals lost 3-2 loss to the Angels on Wednesday, ending a nine-game hometand at 6-3. Washington owns a 13 1/2-game in the NL East and will take its impressive 36-22 road record into San Diego, which opened its seven-game homestand this week by by completing a three-game sweep of Philadelphia (owners of MLB’s worst record at 43-75), winning the series finale 3-0 on Wednesday. The 54-66 Padres sit 31 1/2 games back of the Dodgers in the NL West.

Edwin Jackson (3-2, 3.86 ERA) will start for Washington and Jhoulys Chacin (11-8, 4.06 ERA) for San Diego. Jackson signed a minor league deal with the Nationals on June 16, 2017, making it his second stint with the franchise. After several outings with the Class-AAA Syracuse Chiefs, allowing just one ER in 20.1 innings of work (0.44 ERA), Jackson was promoted to the Nationals’ major league roster to take injured starter Joe Ross’ rotation spot for a July 18 start. Jackson’s signing has turned out to be a shrewd move by the Nationals, who are 3-2 in his five starts since he was inserted into an injury-plagued rotation. He registered his third quality start with Washington by limiting San Francisco to one run on five hits over six innings last time out.

Chacin rebounded from a rocky outing in a loss at Cincinnati on Aug 7 (allowed five ERs over six innings  in an 11-3 loss) to hold the Dodgers to just one run and four hits over five innings in a no-decision last time out (LA won 6-3). Prior to the setback versus the Reds, he was 5-0 during a six-start span while giving up a combined eight ERs (Padres were 6-0 and Chacin’s ERA was 2.02). Chacin did not factor in the decision at Washington on May 28, allowing three runs on eight hits across 4.1 innings and is 3-2 with a 3.43 ERA in seven career starts vs the Nats.

Now here’s the rub. Jackson has certainly been an excellent addition for the Nats but how can one ignore that he’s 0-6 with a 6.98 ERA in 10 career starts vs the Padres (teams are 1-9)? As for Chacin, save that start against Cincy on Aug 7, his ERA sits at 1.99 over his other seven starts in an eight-start stretch since the beginning of July. I’ll back the home team.


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